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ITW vs ROP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Illinois Tool Works (ITW) vs. Roper Technologies (ROP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Illinois Tool Works (ITW) and Roper Technologies (ROP) both operate in the industrial sector but differ in focus, with ITW emphasizing diversified manufacturing and ROP leaning toward software-enabled solutions and recurring revenue streams.
- Recent market activity shows ITW posting gains of approximately 7% over the past 30 days amid anticipation of its Q2 2026 earnings release scheduled for July 28, 2026.
- ROP reported strong Q2 2026 results with 9% revenue growth to $2.11 billion, 5% organic growth, and raised full-year guidance, contributing to positive sentiment in recent weeks.
- ITW's performance reflects steady industrial demand mixed with organic growth concerns, while ROP benefits from acquisition contributions and high-margin software businesses.
- Sector exposure places both stocks in industrials, yet ROP's higher software weighting offers different growth drivers compared to ITW's broad product portfolio.
- Relative positioning favors consistency in earnings delivery for ROP in the near term, though both companies maintain solid balance sheets and cash flow profiles.
Introduction
Illinois Tool Works (ITW) and Roper Technologies (ROP) represent two established players in the industrials space, each with distinct business models that appeal to investors seeking exposure to manufacturing and technology-enabled solutions. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, operational highlights, and market positioning to assist traders and long-term investors evaluating relative performance in the current environment. The analysis draws on observable metrics such as earnings trends and sector dynamics, providing context for those monitoring industrial equities amid evolving economic conditions.
ITW Overview and Recent Performance
Illinois Tool Works (ITW) is a diversified industrial manufacturer offering products across automotive, food equipment, welding, construction, and specialty segments. In recent weeks, the stock has shown resilience with gains of about 7% over the trailing 30 days, supported by broader market recovery in industrials. Performance has been influenced by anticipation surrounding the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings report on July 28, 2026, where analysts project EPS of $2.80 and revenue near $4.18 billion. Sentiment reflects steady execution on margins alongside ongoing attention to organic sales growth amid mixed industrial demand signals. Year-to-date returns stand around 14-16%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark in that timeframe.
ROP Overview and Recent Performance
Roper Technologies (ROP) focuses on software, technology-enabled products, and services with significant recurring revenue components across medical, water, and energy markets. The company delivered Q2 2026 results showing revenue of $2.11 billion, up 9% year-over-year with 5% organic growth and additional contribution from acquisitions. Adjusted diluted EPS rose 10% to $5.38, prompting an upward revision to full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $22.15–$22.30 and total revenue growth outlook above 8%. Recent market activity has incorporated these results positively, with emphasis on strong cash flow generation and margin expansion in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Illinois Tool Works (ITW) and Roper Technologies (ROP) differ markedly in business models: ITW operates a broad manufacturing portfolio with emphasis on physical products and operational efficiency, while ROP prioritizes software and recurring revenue streams that support higher margins and visibility. Growth drivers for ITW center on industrial end-markets and margin discipline, whereas ROP benefits from acquisition integration and organic expansion in technology niches. Recent momentum has tilted toward ROP following its earnings beat and guidance raise, contrasting with ITW’s pre-earnings positioning. Risk factors include cyclical exposure for both, though ROP’s software weighting may moderate volatility relative to ITW’s more traditional industrial mix. Market sentiment currently reflects stronger near-term catalysts for ROP amid its reported results, while ITW awaits its own update.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including recent earnings consistency, organic growth delivery, and guidance momentum, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a modest probabilistic edge to Roper Technologies (ROP) in the current environment. ROP’s demonstrated ability to exceed expectations and raise outlooks provides a clearer near-term catalyst compared to ITW’s upcoming report. However, outcomes remain subject to broader market conditions and individual company execution, underscoring the probabilistic nature of any such assessment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ITW is a Hold and ROP is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ITW’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileROP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ITW’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- ROP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ITW’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ROP’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ITW’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ROP’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ITW (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +4.83% price change this week, while ROP (@Packaged Software) price change was +3.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -1.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.42%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -1.82%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.57%.
Reported Earning Dates
ITW is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
ROP is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-1.47% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Packaged Software (-1.82% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| ITW | ROP | ITW / ROP | |
| Capitalization | 81.9B | 37.1B | 221% |
| EBITDA | 4.74B | 3.43B | 138% |
| Gain YTD | 17.075 | -15.150 | -113% |
| P/E Ratio | 26.45 | 15.63 | 169% |
| Revenue | 16.2B | 8.12B | 200% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 256M | - |
| Total Debt | 9.15B | 10.5B | 87% |
ITW | ROP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 90 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 21 Undervalued | 15 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 12 | 75 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 26 | 54 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ROP's Valuation (15) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as ITW (21) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that ROP’s stock grew similarly to ITW’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ROP (100) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than ROP’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's SMR Rating (12) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ROP (75) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than ROP’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's Price Growth Rating (26) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as ROP (54) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew similarly to ROP’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ROP (96) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than ROP’s over the last 12 months.
| ITW | ROP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 34% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 33% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 39% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 33% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 39% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 40% | 7 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 39% | 1 day ago 33% |
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ITW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ITW has been closely correlated with AOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ITW jumps, then AOS could also see price increases.
ROP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ROP has been closely correlated with AME. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ROP jumps, then AME could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ROP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROP | 100% | +2.09% | ||
| AME - ROP | 75% Closely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| GGG - ROP | 71% Closely correlated | +1.18% | ||
| IEX - ROP | 69% Closely correlated | +0.25% | ||
| OTIS - ROP | 69% Closely correlated | +1.75% | ||
| NDSN - ROP | 68% Closely correlated | +0.55% | ||
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