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JBHT vs UPS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) vs. United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- JBHT has delivered stronger year-to-date gains of approximately 28%, outpacing UPS's 9% rise amid robust intermodal segment performance.
- JBHT reported record Q1 2026 results with revenue growth and earnings beats, boosting recent momentum.
- UPS maintains a larger market capitalization of over $90 billion and a higher dividend yield around 6%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Both stocks operate in transportation but differ in scale: JBHT emphasizes trucking and intermodal, while UPS dominates parcel delivery.
- JBHT's trailing PE ratio (price-to-earnings) stands higher at 38.6 versus UPS's 16.3, reflecting growth expectations versus value positioning.
- Recent analyst upgrades favor JBHT for transport sector rebound potential.
Introduction
J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) and United Parcel Service (UPS) represent key players in the transportation sector, with JBHT focusing on trucking, intermodal, and dedicated services, and UPS leading in global package delivery. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market performance, financial metrics, and sector dynamics, aiding traders seeking momentum plays and investors prioritizing stability or dividends. In a freight market influenced by fuel costs, e-commerce trends, and economic signals, understanding relative strengths helps inform portfolio decisions amid shifting sentiment.
JBHT Overview and Recent Performance
J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) provides integrated transportation, including truckload, intermodal, and logistics solutions. In recent market activity, shares have surged, reflecting a 96% gain over the past year and strong year-to-date returns around 28%. Key drivers include a record first-quarter 2026 performance, with revenue up 4.6% year-over-year to $3.06 billion and earnings beating estimates, fueled by intermodal volume growth and truckload improvements. Analyst price targets have risen, with some reaching $290, signaling optimism on structural freight demand recovery. Sentiment has shifted positively on operational efficiencies and sector rebound, though high PE ratios indicate growth pricing risks.
UPS Overview and Recent Performance
United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global leader in package delivery, supply chain management, and logistics. Recent weeks have seen mixed stock movement, with year-to-date gains of about 9% and shares trading near $107, within a 52-week range of $82 to $122. Influences include new surge fees for fuel cost mitigation, expansions in RFID tracking and returns networks, and anticipation for upcoming quarterly results. The company boasts a substantial market cap over $90 billion and ROE (return on equity) of 33.8%, but faces parcel volume pressures and higher debt levels. Dividend reliability supports defensive positioning, tempering volatility from macroeconomic headwinds.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models diverge: JBHT leverages asset-light intermodal and truckload for flexibility, contrasting UPS's asset-heavy parcel network for scale. Growth drivers favor JBHT's recent intermodal surge versus UPS's e-commerce reliance amid softening volumes. Momentum tilts to JBHT with superior YTD and post-earnings gains, while UPS offers stability via lower valuation multiples and dividends. Risk factors include JBHT's elevated PE and freight cyclicality versus UPS's debt-to-equity ratio (175%) and fuel sensitivity. Sector exposure overlaps in transportation, but UPS benefits from international diversification. Market sentiment leans bullish on JBHT's catalysts amid rebound hopes.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely favor JBHT in the current environment, given consistent upward trends, earnings momentum, and relative outperformance in recent market activity. Factors like intermodal strength and analyst upgrades suggest higher probability of near-term upside compared to UPS's steadier but lower-growth profile ahead of earnings. This positioning reflects observable catalysts rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is JBHT is a Hold and UPS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
JBHT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileUPS’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- JBHT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- UPS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
JBHT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UPS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- JBHT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- UPS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
JBHT (@Other Transportation) experienced а +6.85% price change this week, while UPS (@Other Transportation) price change was -1.84% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was -1.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
JBHT is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
UPS is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (-1.91% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
| JBHT | UPS | JBHT / UPS | |
| Capitalization | 24.7B | 84.1B | 29% |
| EBITDA | 1.61B | 11.6B | 14% |
| Gain YTD | 35.445 | 1.129 | 3,140% |
| P/E Ratio | 40.70 | 16.01 | 254% |
| Revenue | 12.1B | 88.3B | 14% |
| Total Cash | 4.56M | 5.8B | 0% |
| Total Debt | 1.3B | 28.7B | 5% |
JBHT | UPS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 94 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | 29 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 51 | 30 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UPS's Valuation (29) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for JBHT (87) in the Trucking industry. This means that UPS’s stock grew somewhat faster than JBHT’s over the last 12 months.
JBHT's Profit vs Risk Rating (45) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UPS (100) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that JBHT’s stock grew somewhat faster than UPS’s over the last 12 months.
UPS's SMR Rating (30) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as JBHT (51) in the Trucking industry. This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to JBHT’s over the last 12 months.
JBHT's Price Growth Rating (13) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UPS (59) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that JBHT’s stock grew somewhat faster than UPS’s over the last 12 months.
JBHT's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as UPS (38) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that JBHT’s stock grew similarly to UPS’s over the last 12 months.
| JBHT | UPS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 10 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 57% | 6 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 47% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SPXS | 27.69 | 1.00 | +3.75% |
| Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 3X ETF | |||
| TBXU | 30.62 | N/A | N/A |
| Direxion Daily Biotech Top 5 Bull 2X ETF | |||
| QB | 46.31 | -0.15 | -0.32% |
| ProShares Nasdaq-100 Dynamic Buffer ETF | |||
| TRTY | 30.88 | -0.39 | -1.24% |
| Cambria Trinity ETF | |||
| ILCG | 115.26 | -2.04 | -1.74% |
| iShares Morningstar Growth ETF | |||
JBHT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JBHT has been closely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JBHT jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JBHT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JBHT | 100% | +2.96% | ||
| XPO - JBHT | 68% Closely correlated | -0.64% | ||
| LSTR - JBHT | 64% Loosely correlated | +4.82% | ||
| UPS - JBHT | 59% Loosely correlated | +0.52% | ||
| HUBG - JBHT | 59% Loosely correlated | +0.16% | ||
| EXPD - JBHT | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.20% | ||
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