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HUBG vs JBHT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Hub Group (HUBG) vs. J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HUBG shares have shown modest YTD gains around 12-17%, lagging the broader market amid accounting restatements and filing delays.
- JBHT has delivered stronger performance with approximately 17% YTD and over 70% one-year returns, outpacing the S&P 500.
- Both operate in integrated freight and logistics, but JBHT benefits from diversified segments and positive analyst revisions ahead of Q1 earnings.
- HUBG faces headwinds from a $77 million understatement of expenses, triggering Nasdaq compliance issues and sentiment pressure.
- Recent geopolitical cease-fires have boosted trucking stocks like both, with falling oil prices aiding margins in recent market activity.
- Tickeron's AI analysis favors JBHT for superior momentum and stability.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines HUBG (Hub Group, Inc.) and JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.), two key players in the integrated freight and logistics sector. Both companies provide intermodal, trucking, and supply chain solutions amid fluctuating freight volumes and capacity dynamics. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing long-term sector recovery will find value in analyzing their relative performance, risk profiles, and market positioning. With recent industry tailwinds from easing oil prices and potential volume upticks, this head-to-head highlights contrasts in operational scale, recent challenges, and growth trajectories.
HUBG Overview and Recent Performance
Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) is a supply chain solutions provider offering intermodal, truck brokerage, and logistics services across North America. Operating through Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (ITS) and Logistics segments, it manages a fleet of approximately 2,300 tractors and 50,000 containers, serving retail, automotive, and consumer goods sectors.
In recent market activity, HUBG shares have traded volatilely, with YTD returns around 12-17% but underperforming the S&P 500's broader gains. Sentiment has been pressured by a disclosed $77 million understatement of purchased transportation expenses (costs paid to third-party carriers) in the first nine months of 2025, prompting restatements of quarterly financials and a delay in full-year 2025 filings. This led to a Nasdaq deficiency notice for non-compliance with timely reporting rules. Despite occasional lifts from falling crude prices amid geopolitical de-escalations, shares remain below 52-week highs, reflecting caution over internal controls and freight market softness.
JBHT Overview and Recent Performance
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT) delivers surface transportation and logistics via five segments: Intermodal (JBI), Dedicated Contract Services (DCS), Integrated Capacity Solutions (ICS), Final Mile Services (FMS), and Truckload (JBT). It operates extensive fleets, including over 124,000 trailing equipment pieces and 11,000 trucks, transporting diverse freight like consumer goods and chemicals.
Recent weeks have seen JBHT shares advance with YTD returns near 17% and one-year gains exceeding 70%, surpassing the S&P 500. Positive momentum stems from analyst upgrades, anticipation of Q1 earnings on April 15 (expected EPS $1.45, revenue $2.95 billion), and strategic moves like early adoption of heavy-duty EV charging hubs in Southern California. Broader freight recovery signals and Nasdaq Texas dual listing approval have bolstered confidence, though rising operational costs remain a watchpoint. Shares have benefited from recent oil price relief, enhancing margin outlooks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both HUBG and JBHT focus on freight and logistics, with intermodal as a core driver, but JBHT's larger scale ($12B revenue vs. $3.7B) and five-segment diversification provide broader growth avenues, including dedicated contracts and final mile. HUBG emphasizes brokerage and ITS, exposing it more to spot market volatility.
Growth drivers differ: JBHT leverages EV infrastructure and intermodal volume gains, while HUBG contends with restatement overhangs eroding trust. Recent momentum favors JBHT (70%+ one-year return vs. HUBG's 17%), with beta (market volatility measure) at 1.22 vs. 1.16.
Risk factors include freight cycles for both, but HUBG's compliance issues heighten uncertainty. Sector exposure aligns in industrials, yet JBHT shows stronger market sentiment via price target hikes. Trade-offs: HUBG offers potential value post-dip, while JBHT trades at a premium for stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors JBHT over HUBG, based on superior trend consistency, higher relative returns (17% YTD vs. mixed for HUBG), upcoming catalysts like Q1 earnings, and fewer stability risks. JBHT's diversified positioning and positive analyst momentum suggest a higher probability of outperformance in the near term, though both benefit from logistics tailwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HUBG is a Buy and JBHT is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HUBG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileJBHT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HUBG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- JBHT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HUBG’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JBHT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HUBG’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 4 bearish.
- JBHT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HUBG (@Other Transportation) experienced а +8.04% price change this week, while JBHT (@Other Transportation) price change was +1.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was +5.67%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.82%.
Reported Earning Dates
HUBG is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
JBHT is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (+5.67% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
| HUBG | JBHT | HUBG / JBHT | |
| Capitalization | 2.84B | 27.3B | 10% |
| EBITDA | 338M | 1.61B | 21% |
| Gain YTD | 9.553 | 49.469 | 19% |
| P/E Ratio | 26.66 | 44.93 | 59% |
| Revenue | 3.73B | 12.1B | 31% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 4.56M | - |
| Total Debt | 499M | 1.3B | 38% |
HUBG | JBHT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 41 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 35 Fair valued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 38 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 83 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 5 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 26 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 13 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HUBG's Valuation (35) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for JBHT (81) in the Trucking industry. This means that HUBG’s stock grew somewhat faster than JBHT’s over the last 12 months.
JBHT's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HUBG (71) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that JBHT’s stock grew somewhat faster than HUBG’s over the last 12 months.
JBHT's SMR Rating (53) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as HUBG (83) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that JBHT’s stock grew similarly to HUBG’s over the last 12 months.
JBHT's Price Growth Rating (5) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HUBG (40) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that JBHT’s stock grew somewhat faster than HUBG’s over the last 12 months.
JBHT's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as HUBG (26) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that JBHT’s stock grew similarly to HUBG’s over the last 12 months.
| HUBG | JBHT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 66% | 5 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 62% |
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HUBG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HUBG has been closely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HUBG jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HUBG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUBG | 100% | +1.27% | ||
| XPO - HUBG | 70% Closely correlated | +0.30% | ||
| JBHT - HUBG | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| FDX - HUBG | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.09% | ||
| LSTR - HUBG | 64% Loosely correlated | -0.41% | ||
| EXPD - HUBG | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.11% | ||
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JBHT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JBHT has been closely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JBHT jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JBHT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JBHT | 100% | +0.08% | ||
| XPO - JBHT | 68% Closely correlated | +0.30% | ||
| LSTR - JBHT | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.41% | ||
| UPS - JBHT | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.51% | ||
| EXPD - JBHT | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.11% | ||
| FDX - JBHT | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.09% | ||
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