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KDP vs KO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. Coca-Cola (KO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KDP delivered a top-line surge in its latest quarter, but revenue growth was driven largely by the JDE Peet's acquisition, while its legacy U.S. coffee business showed softer demand.
- KO posted broad-based organic growth, expanded margins, and raised its full-year profit and free cash flow guidance.
- Both names trade near 52-week highs, but KO has shown more consistent trend strength and fewer execution risks in recent weeks.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, margin momentum, and catalyst quality, the AI would currently favor KO over KDP.
- For deeper context on these names, explore KDP Major News and KDP Today's Price Move, as well as KO Major News and KO Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated systems are positioning across the broader market, browse the Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) and The Coca-Cola Company (KO) are two of the most closely watched names in the non-alcoholic beverage sector, yet they represent very different business models and risk profiles. KDP is a North America-centric beverage and coffee platform navigating a major acquisition and a planned corporate separation, while KO is a globally diversified, asset-light concentrate business with unmatched brand scale. This stock comparison is relevant for investors weighing growth and transformation against stability and cash-flow quality, and for traders monitoring relative performance and market positioning across the consumer staples space.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
Keurig Dr Pepper operates a portfolio spanning carbonated soft drinks, water, juice, energy, and coffee, anchored by brands such as Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Snapple, Ghost, and the Keurig brewing system. In recent weeks, KDP reported a sharp jump in reported net sales, up roughly 70% year over year to about $7.34 billion, though most of that increase reflected the completion of its roughly $18 billion acquisition of coffee and tea company JDE Peet's. Excluding the acquisition, legacy sales rose about 8.6%, led by an eighth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth in U.S. Refreshment Beverages.
Despite beating earnings and revenue expectations, shares pulled back in the latest trading sessions. Investors focused on a softer-than-expected U.S. single-serve coffee market, as value-conscious consumers shifted toward lower-cost formats, and on margin compression, with gross margin falling to roughly 48% from about 54% a year earlier. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance but trimmed its legacy earnings growth outlook, citing a slower coffee recovery. KDP also continues to advance plans to split into two independent public companies in early 2027, a catalyst that carries both potential value-creation benefits and execution uncertainty.
KO Overview and Recent Performance
The Coca-Cola Company is the world's largest non-alcoholic beverage producer, selling concentrate and finished products across more than 200 countries and regions through its bottling network. In its most recent quarter, KO grew net operating revenues about 7.4% to roughly $13.38 billion, with organic revenue up about 7% and global unit case volume up 5%, led by markets including India, China, Mexico, and Brazil. Comparable earnings per share (EPS) rose about 11%, while comparable operating margin expanded.
Following the results, KO raised its full-year comparable EPS growth outlook to at least 11% and lifted its free cash flow forecast to at least $13 billion. Sentiment also benefited from a high-profile win: KFC announced it would switch its U.S. beverage supply from PepsiCo to Coca-Cola beginning in January 2027. The stock has rallied strongly year to date, recently trading near its 52-week high, supported by resilient demand for zero-sugar products and continued value-share gains across its portfolio.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a large ecosystem of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance record, and universe of symbols. Because not every bot is well suited to every market condition, Tickeron curates a dedicated Trending AI Robots section that highlights the strategies currently performing best and most aligned with the prevailing market environment. Investors can browse bots across styles ranging from short-term swing trading to longer-horizon trend following, and review metrics such as trade frequency, win rate, and drawdown. For traders seeking a systematic, data-driven lens on names like KDP and KO, exploring the Trending AI Robots page is a practical next step.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ most clearly in business model and geographic exposure. KO operates a largely asset-light, globally diversified concentrate model, generating significant overseas revenue and free cash flow, while KDP is more concentrated in North America and carries a heavier manufacturing and distribution footprint, plus elevated leverage following the JDE Peet's acquisition. In terms of growth drivers, KDP is leaning on beverage momentum, energy brands, and a transformative coffee deal, whereas KO is compounding through pricing, mix, and volume gains across emerging markets and zero-sugar innovation.
Risk profiles also diverge. KDP faces near-term pressure from a softening single-serve coffee category, margin erosion, and the complexity of its planned separation. KO faces a more stretched valuation after its rally and ongoing pricing/mix headwinds, but its trend and earnings revision momentum have been steadier. In recent market activity, KO has demonstrated greater consistency, with upgraded guidance and multiple positive catalysts, while KDP has shown stronger headline growth tempered by quality-of-earnings questions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, margin momentum, guidance revisions, and catalyst quality, Tickeron's AI would likely favor KO over KDP in the current environment. KO has demonstrated more stable relative performance, raised its profit and free cash flow outlook, and secured a notable distribution win, all while holding near record levels. KDP offers a potentially larger structural catalyst in its pending separation, but its softer coffee trends and margin compression introduce greater near-term uncertainty. The assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive and reflects observable factors rather than a forecast of future returns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KDP is a Hold and KO is a Buy.
KDP in +3.55% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on November 11, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where KDP advanced for three days, in 176 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KDP as a result. In 48 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
KDP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KDP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 105 of 209 cases where KDP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 50%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KDP moved out of overbought territory on November 12, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 12 of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 35%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 29 of 64 cases where KDP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KDP turned negative on November 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 44%.
KDP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. KDP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.991) is normal, around the industry mean (-3.208). P/E Ratio (37.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.786). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.971) is also within normal values, averaging (3.732). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.158) is also within normal values, averaging (2.785).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
KO's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KO turned positive on October 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where KO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KO as a result. In 36 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
KO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 4 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 27%.
Following a +1.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KO advanced for three days, in 145 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 115 of 304 cases where KO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 38%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 28%.
KO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. KO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.387) is normal, around the industry mean (-3.208). P/E Ratio (28.730) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.786). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.960) is also within normal values, averaging (3.732). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. KO's P/S Ratio (7.559) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.785).
KDP | KO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 37 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 80 Overvalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 82 | 24 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 15 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KDP's Valuation (80) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KO (87). This means that KDP’s stock grew similarly to KO’s over the last 12 months.
KO's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (66). This means that KO’s stock grew somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
KO's SMR Rating (24) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (82). This means that KO’s stock grew somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
KDP's Price Growth Rating (12) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KO (15). This means that KDP’s stock grew similarly to KO’s over the last 12 months.
KDP's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KO (20). This means that KDP’s stock grew similarly to KO’s over the last 12 months.
| KDP | KO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 35% | 3 days ago 24% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 28% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 46% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 42% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 55% | 5 days ago 44% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 10 days ago 28% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 26% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 38% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KDP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while KO’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- KDP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KO’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KDP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KDP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а -0.79% price change this week, while KO (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was +3.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +4.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.42%.
Reported Earning Dates
KDP is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
KO is expected to report earnings on Feb 16, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+4.71% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
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KDP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KDP has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KDP jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KDP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | 100% | +2.60% | ||
| PEP - KDP | 48% Loosely correlated | +2.24% | ||
| FIZZ - KDP | 43% Loosely correlated | +2.68% | ||
| MNST - KDP | 41% Loosely correlated | +1.95% | ||
| CCEP - KDP | 40% Loosely correlated | +1.40% | ||
| COKE - KDP | 31% Poorly correlated | +3.55% | ||
More | ||||
KO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KO has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 37% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KO jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.