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KDP vs KO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. Coca-Cola (KO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KO has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD, a measure of performance from the start of the calendar year) returns of approximately 10% compared to KDP's 6%.
- Both stocks exhibit low beta (a measure of volatility relative to the broader market) of 0.36, signaling relative stability amid market fluctuations.
- KDP surged over 9% in recent trading following a Q1 earnings beat, highlighting short-term momentum.
- KO boasts a significantly larger market capitalization of around $330 billion versus KDP's $40 billion, underscoring its global scale.
- KDP offers a higher dividend yield at 3.15% compared to KO's 2.69%.
- Recent KDP performance reflects growth in U.S. refreshment beverages, while KO benefits from consistent dividend support and pricing power.
Introduction
KDP and KO are leading players in the non-alcoholic beverage sector, with KDP focusing on coffee systems and soft drinks in North America, and KO dominating global soft drink distribution. This stock comparison is relevant for investors seeking exposure to consumer staples amid shifting preferences toward healthier options and premium beverages. Traders monitoring relative performance may find value in their divergent momentum, dividend profiles, and growth catalysts in the current market environment, where stability and earnings surprises drive sentiment.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
KDP, or Keurig Dr Pepper Inc., operates in the beverage industry, blending single-serve coffee pods with a diverse portfolio of soft drinks and ready-to-drink options primarily in the U.S. and international markets. Trading around $29 per share with a 52-week range of $24.88 to $35.94, the stock has shown resilience with a market cap near $40 billion. In recent market activity, KDP reported Q1 revenue of $3.98 billion, up 9.4% year-over-year, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS, a key profitability metric) of $0.39, surpassing estimates. This drove a sharp rally, with shares climbing over 9% in the following sessions amid ongoing integration of JDE Peet’s acquisition. Sentiment has shifted positively due to strong U.S. refreshment beverage growth of nearly 12%, offsetting coffee segment pressures, though past-year returns lag at around -15%.
KO Overview and Recent Performance
KO, The Coca-Cola Company, is a global beverage powerhouse with iconic brands spanning soft drinks, waters, juices, and energy products distributed worldwide. Shares trade near $77, within a 52-week range of $65 to $82, supported by a massive $330 billion market cap. Recent weeks have seen steady performance, with YTD gains around 10%, bolstered by raised analyst price targets and reliable dividend payouts. Trading volume remains robust, and the stock's price-to-earnings (P/E, a valuation ratio) ratio stands at 25, reflecting premium positioning. Influences include anticipation for upcoming Q1 results and strategic investments like expansion in South Africa. While short-term moves have been modest, KO's global scale and pricing discipline have sustained positive sentiment against broader sector volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KDP and KO both anchor the beverage sector but diverge in business models: KDP emphasizes North American volume growth via coffee innovation and soda staples, while KO leverages worldwide brand equity and bottler networks for pricing power. Growth drivers contrast with KDP's recent 9%+ revenue surge from refreshment segments versus KO's steady international expansion. Momentum favors KDP short-term post-earnings, but KO leads YTD. Risk factors include KDP's acquisition integration challenges and coffee cyclicality, against KO's exposure to currency fluctuations and consumer health trends. Market sentiment tilts toward KO's stability, though KDP's higher yield appeals to income seekers.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward KO based on superior YTD relative performance, trend consistency, and robust global positioning amid upcoming earnings. While KDP shows promising momentum from its earnings catalyst, KO's scale and lower volatility offer higher probability of sustained outperformance in the near term, particularly for stability-focused strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KDP is a Buy and KO is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KDP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KDP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KDP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а -0.89% price change this week, while KO (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was -0.20% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +2.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1402.89%.
Reported Earning Dates
KDP is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
KO is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+2.22% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| KDP | KO | KDP / KO | |
| Capitalization | 39.2B | 337B | 12% |
| EBITDA | 4.05B | 19.2B | 21% |
| Gain YTD | 4.696 | 12.944 | 36% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.36 | 24.66 | 87% |
| Revenue | 16.9B | 49.3B | 34% |
| Total Cash | 898M | 13.8B | 7% |
| Total Debt | 25.7B | 43.9B | 59% |
KDP | KO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 43 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 21 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 82 | 67 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KDP's Valuation (29) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KO (43). This means that KDP’s stock grew similarly to KO’s over the last 12 months.
KO's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (100). This means that KO’s stock grew significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
KO's SMR Rating (21) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (76). This means that KO’s stock grew somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
KDP's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KO (51). This means that KDP’s stock grew similarly to KO’s over the last 12 months.
KO's P/E Growth Rating (67) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KDP (82). This means that KO’s stock grew similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
| KDP | KO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 36% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 41% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 35% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 36% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 40% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 1 day ago 30% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 17% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 33% |
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KDP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KDP has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KDP jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KDP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | 100% | +1.09% | ||
| PEP - KDP | 47% Loosely correlated | -1.07% | ||
| KO - KDP | 46% Loosely correlated | -0.01% | ||
| FIZZ - KDP | 45% Loosely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| MNST - KDP | 32% Poorly correlated | +13.58% | ||
| CCEP - KDP | 26% Poorly correlated | +1.11% | ||
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