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KGC vs SA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Kinross Gold Corp. (KGC) vs. Saudi Arabian Oil Co. (SA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Kinross Gold (KGC) posted a 26% YoY increase in Q1 earnings, driven by higher realized gold prices and cost‑control measures.
- Saudi Arabian Oil Co. (SA) saw a 26% YoY jump in Q1 adjusted net income, largely from the East‑West Pipeline reaching full capacity and strong crude price support.
- KGC’s production cost per ounce remains above $1,380, while SA’s average realized crude price climbed to $76.90 / bbl, keeping its operating margin robust.
- Both companies generated solid free cash flow, but SA’s balance sheet shows a lower gearing ratio (4.8%) versus KGC’s higher leverage of ~40% debt‑to‑equity.
- AI‑driven sentiment is broadly positive for SA due to strategic infrastructure, whereas KGC faces mixed outlook tied to gold price volatility.
Introduction
Kinross Gold Corp. (KGC) and Saudi Arabian Oil Co. (SA) represent two distinct commodity sectors—gold mining and crude oil production—each impacted by recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and shifting commodity prices. This comparison is relevant for diversified investors, commodity‑focused traders, and risk‑averse portfolio managers seeking to balance exposure between precious metals and energy assets in the current market environment.
KGC Overview and Recent Performance
Kinross Gold Corp. (KGC) is a Canadian‑based senior gold mining company with operations in the United States, Brazil, Mauritania, Chile and Canada. In its Q1 2026 results released on April 29 2026, Kinross reported attributable gold equivalent production of 492,563 oz, down 4% YoY, while revenue rose 61% to $2.41 bn on an average realized gold price of $4,873 / oz. Adjusted earnings per share increased to $0.71, beating consensus estimates. Operating margins improved to $3,476 / oz, but the attributable all‑in sustaining cost (AISC) remained high at $1,732 / oz, reflecting elevated royalty and labor costs. The company generated record free cash flow of $837.5 M and returned $350 M to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, maintaining a dividend yield near 0.5%.
SA Overview and Recent Performance
Saudi Arabian Oil Co. (SA), commonly known as Aramco, is the world’s largest integrated oil and gas producer, headquartered in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia. In Q1 2026, Aramco posted adjusted net income of $33.6 bn (≈ SAR 125 bn), a 26% YoY increase, driven by higher crude prices and the East‑West Pipeline reaching its full capacity of 7 million bbl / day. Average realized crude price rose to $76.90 / bbl, up from $64.10 in Q4 2025. Upstream output averaged 12.61 MMboe / day, slightly above the prior quarter. The company declared a $21.9 bn base dividend (SAR 0.3393 / share) and announced a 350 M‑share buyback for its employee share plan. Gearing stood at 4.8%, indicating a strong balance sheet.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
| Dimension | KGC (Kinross Gold) | SA (Saudi Arabian Oil Co.) |
|---|---|---|
| Sector Exposure | Gold Mining (Precious Metals) | Crude Oil & Integrated Energy |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | $2.41 bn (↑61% YoY) | $124.6 bn (↑9% YoY) |
| Production | 492.6 k oz gold equivalent (‑4% YoY) | 12.61 MMboe / day (↑3% QoQ) |
| Cost per Unit | All‑in sustaining cost $1,732 / oz | Average realized crude $76.90 / bbl |
| Free Cash Flow | $837.5 M (record) | $18.6 bn (slightly ↓ YoY) |
| Dividend Yield | ≈0.5% (quarterly $0.04/share) | ≈1.7% (base dividend $21.9 bn) |
| Leverage | Debt‑to‑equity ~40% (net debt $1.4 bn) | Gearing 4.8% (net debt $23.7 bn) |
| Key Catalysts | Higher gold price, development projects (Great Bear, Round Mountain Phase X) | East‑West Pipeline at capacity, geopolitical supply constraints |
| Risk Factors | Gold price volatility, rising production costs, regulatory approvals for mines | Middle‑East geopolitical tension, oil price swings, pipeline operational risk |
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trends, Tickeron’s AI currently favors Saudi Arabian Oil Co. (SA) for its stronger earnings momentum, lower leverage and strategic infrastructure that mitigates supply‑chain disruptions. The 26% YoY profit rise, full‑capacity pipeline utilization and higher dividend yield offer a more resilient risk‑adjusted profile. Kinross Gold (KGC) remains fundamentally sound but faces greater commodity‑price sensitivity and higher cost per ounce, leading to a more cautious AI stance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KGC is a Buy and SA is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KGC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSA’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- KGC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SA’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KGC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KGC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
KGC (@Precious Metals) experienced а -13.12% price change this week, while SA (@Precious Metals) price change was -19.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -13.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
KGC is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
SA is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-13.21% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| KGC | SA | KGC / SA | |
| Capitalization | 28.4B | 2.67B | 1,063% |
| EBITDA | 5.15B | -87.49M | -5,884% |
| Gain YTD | -15.617 | -10.561 | 148% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.19 | 222.18 | 5% |
| Revenue | 7.96B | 0 | - |
| Total Cash | 2.19B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 738M | N/A | - |
KGC | SA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 69 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 27 | 94 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 61 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KGC's Valuation (28) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for SA (94). This means that KGC’s stock grew significantly faster than SA’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Profit vs Risk Rating (44) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as SA (69). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to SA’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's SMR Rating (27) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for SA (94). This means that KGC’s stock grew significantly faster than SA’s over the last 12 months.
SA's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (59). This means that SA’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
SA's P/E Growth Rating (61) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (80). This means that SA’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
| KGC | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 80% | 9 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 72% |
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SA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SA has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SA jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.