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MCY vs UFCS
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MCY is a Hold and UFCS is a StrongBuy.
MCY in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026
MCY moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 21 of 37 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MCY as a result. In 38 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MCY turned negative on October 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 52%.
The 10-day moving average for MCY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.94% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCY advanced for three days, in 228 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
MCY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 185 of 254 cases where MCY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 24 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.613) is normal, around the industry mean (-2.070). P/E Ratio (4.882) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.942). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is also within normal values, averaging (3.303). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.890) is also within normal values, averaging (1.594).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 50, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MCY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
UFCS's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for UFCS moved out of oversold territory on November 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 18 of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +7.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UFCS advanced for three days, in 202 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
UFCS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 102 of 211 cases where UFCS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 48%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UFCS as a result. In 46 of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UFCS turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 63%.
UFCS moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for UFCS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UFCS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 50, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 38 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.255) is normal, around the industry mean (-2.070). P/E Ratio (8.647) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.942). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.930) is also within normal values, averaging (3.303). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.971) is also within normal values, averaging (1.594).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UFCS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
MCY | UFCS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 81 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 24 Undervalued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 19 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 29 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 92 | 44 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MCY's Valuation (24) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as UFCS (38). This means that MCY’s stock grew similarly to UFCS’s over the last 12 months.
UFCS's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as MCY (38). This means that UFCS’s stock grew similarly to MCY’s over the last 12 months.
MCY's SMR Rating (29) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as UFCS (59). This means that MCY’s stock grew similarly to UFCS’s over the last 12 months.
UFCS's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as MCY (64). This means that UFCS’s stock grew similarly to MCY’s over the last 12 months.
UFCS's P/E Growth Rating (44) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCY (92). This means that UFCS’s stock grew somewhat faster than MCY’s over the last 12 months.
| MCY | UFCS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 47% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 56% | 7 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 48% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCY’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while UFCS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MCY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- UFCS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCY’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UFCS’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- UFCS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MCY (@Property/Casualty Insurance) experienced а -18.01% price change this week, while UFCS (@Property/Casualty Insurance) price change was -9.07% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Property/Casualty Insurance industry was -0.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.44%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.32%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCY is expected to report earnings on Feb 16, 2027.
UFCS is expected to report earnings on Feb 16, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Property/Casualty Insurance (-0.68% weekly)Property and casualty companies insure against accidents of non-physical harm, such as lawsuits, damage to personal assets, car crashes and more. Progressive Corporation, Travelers Companies, Inc. and Allstate Corporation are some of the biggest providers of such products.
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MCY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCY has been loosely correlated with UFCS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MCY jumps, then UFCS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCY | 100% | +1.78% | ||
| UFCS - MCY | 62% Loosely correlated | +5.40% | ||
| HIG - MCY | 53% Loosely correlated | +2.18% | ||
| ACIC - MCY | 48% Loosely correlated | +2.50% | ||
| L - MCY | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.90% | ||
| UVE - MCY | 47% Loosely correlated | +3.64% | ||
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UFCS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UFCS has been loosely correlated with HIG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if UFCS jumps, then HIG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UFCS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFCS | 100% | +5.40% | ||
| HIG - UFCS | 57% Loosely correlated | +2.18% | ||
| THG - UFCS | 52% Loosely correlated | +2.03% | ||
| HMN - UFCS | 52% Loosely correlated | +1.19% | ||
| UVE - UFCS | 51% Loosely correlated | +3.64% | ||
| MCY - UFCS | 51% Loosely correlated | +1.78% | ||
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