MGV
Price
$169.00
Change
-$0.83 (-0.49%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
14.19B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VYM
Price
$163.74
Change
-$1.08 (-0.66%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
83.08B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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MGV vs VYM

MGV vs VYM Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 27, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) vs. Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM)

1) Key Takeaways

  • MGV targets the mega-cap value segment of the U.S. market, while VYM targets higher-than-average dividend payers, creating overlapping yet structurally different portfolios.
  • Both funds lean heavily on Financials, but VYM carries materially more Technology exposure, largely through its top holding Broadcom.
  • VYM is far more diversified, holding roughly 550–600 names versus MGV's roughly 125, while both keep top-10 concentration near the mid-to-high 20% range.
  • Costs are comparable and industry-leading: roughly 0.05% for MGV and about 0.04% (net) for VYM.
  • MGV offers purer value-style, large-cap exposure; VYM blends dividend income with a growth-leaning tilt from its semiconductor stake.
  • Both are passively managed, market-cap-weighted funds with low turnover and strong liquidity.

2) Introduction

Investors comparing the Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) and the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) are essentially weighing two distinct routes toward large-cap U.S. equity income and value. They are not direct competitors in the strictest sense: MGV is a style-driven fund focused on the cheapest mega-cap stocks, while VYM is a yield-screened fund that holds any large-cap payer meeting its dividend threshold. Yet their sector profiles and top holdings overlap considerably, making this an instructive ETF comparison for anyone deciding between pure value exposure and dividend-focused positioning.

3) Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) Overview

Launched in December 2007, MGV seeks to track the CRSP US Mega Cap Value Index, a float-adjusted, market-capitalization-weighted benchmark representing the value half of the largest U.S. companies. The fund uses a passively managed, full-replication approach with roughly 125 holdings and an average market capitalization well above $200 billion. Its expense ratio is approximately 0.05%, among the lowest in the large-cap value category.

Financials dominate the portfolio at roughly 25% of assets, followed by Health Care (about 17%) and Industrials (about 16%). Top holdings include Berkshire Hathaway, JPMorgan Chase, Exxon Mobil, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson. The strategy maintains low turnover—historically around 9% annually—thanks to generous buffer rules around style and size boundaries, keeping trading costs minimal.

4) Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) Overview

Launched in November 2006, VYM tracks the FTSE High Dividend Yield Index, which screens for U.S. companies paying above-average dividends, weighted by market capitalization. The fund holds roughly 550–600 securities and carries a net expense ratio of about 0.04%, making it one of the cheapest dividend ETFs available.

Financials lead sector exposure at roughly 21%, but Technology—anchored by top holding Broadcom at roughly 7% of assets—accounts for about 17%, followed by Health Care and Industrials. Other prominent positions include JPMorgan Chase, Exxon Mobil, Johnson & Johnson, AbbVie, and Cisco Systems. Notably, the underlying index excludes real estate investment trusts (REITs), which improves the fund's after-tax dividend profile but removes a traditional income sleeve.

5) Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate in the large-cap value and dividend segments of the U.S. equity market, an area heavily influenced by the interest-rate environment, bank earnings cycles, and the performance of mature cash-flow businesses. Recent market cycles have favored diversified mega-cap names, supporting both funds, while sector rotation between Financials, Energy, and Technology has shaped their relative paths. The presence of semiconductor exposure in VYM ties it more closely to artificial intelligence-driven capital spending, whereas MGV remains more insulated from growth-stock volatility through its heavier defensive and industrial allocations. Rising Treasury yields also create competition for dividend strategies, a key macro risk for both.

6) Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and months, VYM has benefited from its outsized Technology weight, as strength in its largest holding, Broadcom, has pulled returns higher than a conventional dividend fund would typically deliver. MGV, by contrast, has exhibited more muted but steadier behavior, reflecting its greater concentration in Financials, Health Care, and Industrials. VYM's broader, 550-plus-name portfolio provides greater company-level diversification, while MGV's mega-cap tilt generally translates to lower relative volatility—its beta has historically run below 1.0. Both funds are exposed to similar bank and energy holdings, so their performance gap has largely been driven by Technology momentum rather than fundamental income differences.

7) AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs with customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own sector and style comparisons.

8) Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors such as cost efficiency, diversification breadth, sector momentum, and trend consistency, Tickeron's AI would likely favor VYM in the current environment. Its slightly lower net expense ratio, far broader holdings base, and meaningful exposure to a Technology leader with strong recent momentum give it an edge in relative positioning. That said, MGV retains advantages in pure value-style discipline, lower volatility, and more concentrated mega-cap quality. The probability-weighted view tilts toward VYM for momentum-oriented investors, while MGV remains more suitable for those prioritizing value consistency over growth sensitivity.

9) Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
MGV vs. VYM commentary
Nov 01, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MGV is a Hold and VYM is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for MGV with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

Momentum Indicator for MGV turns positive, indicating new upward trend

MGV saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 67 of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 86%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MGV just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where MGV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

MGV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MGV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Following a +1.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MGV advanced for three days, in 284 of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 279 of 354 cases where MGV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MGV moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 31 of the 52 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 60%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 15 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

MGV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VYM with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

VYM in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026

The 10-day moving average for VYM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VYM as a result. In 66 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VYM just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where VYM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

VYM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VYM advanced for three days, in 276 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 253 of 331 cases where VYM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 76%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VYM moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 34 of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 77%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 17 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VYM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

VYM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
MGVVYM
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
60%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
64%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
81%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
83%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Declines
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 18 days ago
74%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
78%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
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MGV
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
VYM
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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MGV and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MGV has been closely correlated with PRU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MGV jumps, then PRU could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MGV
1D Price
Change %
MGV100%
-0.49%
PRU - MGV
68%
Closely correlated
-0.36%
TROW - MGV
66%
Closely correlated
-2.56%
EMR - MGV
65%
Loosely correlated
-3.40%
JPM - MGV
60%
Loosely correlated
-1.90%
ITW - MGV
60%
Loosely correlated
-1.01%
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