MPLX
Price
$59.48
Change
+$0.66 (+1.12%)
Updated
Aug 14, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
59.64B
81 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
PAGP
Price
$25.85
Change
+$0.36 (+1.41%)
Updated
Aug 14, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
5.04B
76 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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MPLX vs PAGP

MPLX vs PAGP Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Aug 03, 2026

Which Stock Would AI Choose? MPLX LP (MPLX) vs. Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (PAGP) Stock Comparison

Key Takeaways

  • MPLX LP, a major midstream energy master limited partnership (MLP), has demonstrated stronger historical annualized returns compared to PAGP in available long-term data.
  • Both companies operate in the midstream energy sector, providing stable fee-based revenue from pipelines and storage, though MPLX benefits from broader asset integration with Marathon Petroleum.
  • Recent market activity shows MPLX maintaining resilience amid energy sector fluctuations, while PAGP reflects its role as the general partner of Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA).
  • Growth metrics favor MPLX in certain analyses, whereas valuation scores have at times highlighted advantages for Plains-related entities.
  • Sector exposure for both remains tied to crude oil, natural gas liquids, and transportation volumes, with limited direct exposure to upstream volatility due to contract structures.
  • Market sentiment in recent weeks has been influenced by broader energy infrastructure demand, including potential data center-related gas expansion opportunities for MPLX.

Introduction

Midstream energy companies play a critical role in the transportation and storage of oil and natural gas, offering investors exposure to fee-based revenues that are often less sensitive to commodity price swings than upstream producers. MPLX LP and PAGP represent two established players in this space, making them relevant for comparison by income-focused investors, those seeking relative performance insights within the energy infrastructure sector, and traders monitoring MLP structures. This analysis examines their business models, recent market behavior, and positioning to provide a factual overview of how the two compare in the current environment.

MPLX Overview and Recent Performance

MPLX LP operates as a master limited partnership (MLP) focused on midstream energy assets, including pipelines, storage facilities, and processing plants primarily in the United States. Its business benefits from long-term contracts with producers and refiners, providing relatively stable cash flows. In recent market activity, the stock has shown resilience, supported by its integration with parent Marathon Petroleum and expansion initiatives in natural gas infrastructure. Broader sector dynamics, including demand for energy transportation, have influenced performance over recent weeks, with analysts noting steady distribution coverage and potential growth from data center-related gas needs. Sentiment remains tied to overall energy demand trends rather than short-term volatility.

PAGP Overview and Recent Performance

Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (PAGP) serves as the general partner of Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA), another key midstream MLP with extensive crude oil and natural gas liquids pipeline networks across North America. The structure provides PAGP with incentive distribution rights tied to PAA’s performance. Recent market activity for PAGP has reflected steady operations in the midstream sector, with performance influenced by volume trends in key basins. Over recent weeks, the stock has moved in line with broader energy infrastructure peers, supported by stable fee-based revenues but sensitive to overall market sentiment around commodity flows and regulatory developments.

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Head-to-Head Comparison

MPLX LP and PAGP both derive revenue from midstream infrastructure but differ in scale and structure. MPLX maintains a larger, more diversified asset base with direct operational integration, supporting potentially stronger growth drivers in natural gas segments. In contrast, PAGP’s economics are closely linked to its general partner role in PAA, which can introduce different incentive alignments and risk exposures. Recent momentum has generally favored MPLX in comparative return metrics, though PAGP may offer distinct valuation characteristics at times. Risk factors for both include volume sensitivity to production levels and regulatory changes, while sector exposure centers on stable transportation fees. Market sentiment for MPLX has benefited from expansion narratives, whereas PAGP reflects more measured positioning tied to PAA operations.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative stability, and positioning within the midstream sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to MPLX over PAGP. This assessment draws from stronger historical performance patterns and broader asset resilience noted in available comparisons, though outcomes remain subject to ongoing market conditions and sector developments.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations
VS
MPLX vs. PAGP commentary
Aug 15, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MPLX is a Buy and PAGP is a Buy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Aug 15, 2026
Stock price -- (MPLX: $58.82 vs. PAGP: $25.49)
Brand notoriety: MPLX: Not notable vs. PAGP: Notable
Both companies represent the Oil & Gas Pipelines industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: MPLX: 96% vs. PAGP: 135%
Market capitalization -- MPLX: $59.64B vs. PAGP: $5.04B
MPLX [@Oil & Gas Pipelines] is valued at $59.64B. PAGP’s [@Oil & Gas Pipelines] market capitalization is $5.04B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Oil & Gas Pipelines] industry ranges from $112.13B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Oil & Gas Pipelines] industry is $16.89B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

MPLX’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePAGP’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).

  • MPLX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
  • PAGP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
According to our system of comparison, PAGP is a better buy in the long-term than MPLX.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

MPLX’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAGP’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • MPLX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • PAGP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, MPLX is a better buy in the short-term than PAGP.

Price Growth

MPLX (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а -0.88% price change this week, while PAGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was +0.43% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was +7.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.82%.

Reported Earning Dates

MPLX is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.

PAGP is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Oil & Gas Pipelines (+7.28% weekly)

Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
MPLX($59.6B) has a higher market cap than PAGP($5.05B). PAGP has higher P/E ratio than MPLX: PAGP (72.83) vs MPLX (12.65). PAGP YTD gains are higher at: 40.469 vs. MPLX (16.642). MPLX has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 7.35B vs. PAGP (2.81B). PAGP has less debt than MPLX: PAGP (11.6B) vs MPLX (26.1B). PAGP has higher revenues than MPLX: PAGP (45.3B) vs MPLX (11.7B).
MPLXPAGPMPLX / PAGP
Capitalization59.6B5.05B1,181%
EBITDA7.35B2.81B262%
Gain YTD16.64240.46941%
P/E Ratio12.6572.8317%
Revenue11.7B45.3B26%
Total CashN/AN/A-
Total Debt26.1B11.6B225%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
MPLX vs PAGP: Fundamental Ratings
MPLX
PAGP
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
2077
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
8
Undervalued
10
Undervalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
23
SMR RATING
1..100
8757
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
4646
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
417
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
5050

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

MPLX's Valuation (8) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAGP (10). This means that MPLX’s stock grew similarly to PAGP’s over the last 12 months.

MPLX's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAGP (3). This means that MPLX’s stock grew similarly to PAGP’s over the last 12 months.

PAGP's SMR Rating (57) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as MPLX (87). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to MPLX’s over the last 12 months.

PAGP's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as MPLX (46). This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to MPLX’s over the last 12 months.

PAGP's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MPLX (41). This means that PAGP’s stock grew somewhat faster than MPLX’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
MPLXPAGP
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
39%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
63%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
27%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
68%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
56%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
53%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
59%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
61%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
29%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
64%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
48%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
61%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
52%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
66%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 16 days ago
31%
Bearish Trend 10 days ago
51%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
37%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
43%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
67%
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MPLX
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
PAGP
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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MPLX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPLX has been loosely correlated with DKL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MPLX jumps, then DKL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MPLX
1D Price
Change %
MPLX100%
-1.87%
DKL - MPLX
52%
Loosely correlated
-12.83%
ET - MPLX
48%
Loosely correlated
-0.91%
PAA - MPLX
44%
Loosely correlated
+0.90%
PAGP - MPLX
44%
Loosely correlated
+1.35%
EPD - MPLX
43%
Loosely correlated
+0.26%
More

PAGP and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAGP has been closely correlated with PAA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAGP jumps, then PAA could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PAGP
1D Price
Change %
PAGP100%
+1.35%
PAA - PAGP
97%
Closely correlated
+0.90%
EPD - PAGP
63%
Loosely correlated
+0.26%
OKE - PAGP
61%
Loosely correlated
+0.18%
TRGP - PAGP
55%
Loosely correlated
-0.67%
WES - PAGP
55%
Loosely correlated
+0.25%
More