Analysis and predictions MSM vs POOL
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MSM is a Hold and POOL is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MSM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whilePOOL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- MSM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- POOL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MSM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while POOL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MSM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- POOL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MSM (@Wholesale Distributors) experienced а -1.72% price change this week, while POOL (@Wholesale Distributors) price change was -1.76% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Wholesale Distributors industry was +0.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
MSM is expected to report earnings on Jul 02, 2024.
POOL is expected to report earnings on Jul 18, 2024.
Industries' Descriptions
@Wholesale Distributors (+0.24% weekly)Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.
| MSM | POOL | MSM / POOL | |
| Capitalization | 5.46B | 15.5B | 35% |
| EBITDA | 514M | 787M | 65% |
| Gain YTD | -8.730 | -8.293 | 105% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.23 | 30.08 | 57% |
| Revenue | 3.98B | 5.54B | 72% |
| Total Cash | 22.2M | 66.5M | 33% |
| Total Debt | 615M | 1.36B | 45% |
MSM | POOL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 65 Fair valued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 40 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 44 | 24 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 28 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MSM's Valuation (65) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as POOL (72). This means that MSM’s stock grew similarly to POOL’s over the last 12 months.
MSM's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as POOL (40). This means that MSM’s stock grew similarly to POOL’s over the last 12 months.
POOL's SMR Rating (24) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as MSM (44). This means that POOL’s stock grew similarly to MSM’s over the last 12 months.
POOL's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as MSM (60). This means that POOL’s stock grew similarly to MSM’s over the last 12 months.
POOL's P/E Growth Rating (28) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as MSM (38). This means that POOL’s stock grew similarly to MSM’s over the last 12 months.
| MSM | POOL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 61% | 5 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 74% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| QCON | 42.18 | 0.40 | +0.96% |
| American Century Quality Cnvtbl Scts ETF | |||
| AMJ | 28.27 | 0.25 | +0.89% |
| JPMorgan Alerian MLP ETN | |||
| XVOL | 19.92 | 0.16 | +0.82% |
| Acruence Active Hedge US Equity ETF | |||
| DWX | 34.96 | 0.27 | +0.78% |
| SPDR® S&P International Dividend ETF | |||
| HYHG | 64.30 | 0.22 | +0.35% |
| ProShares High Yield—Interest Rate Hdgd | |||
MSM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MSM has been closely correlated with FAST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MSM jumps, then FAST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MSM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 100% | +0.55% | ||
| FAST - MSM | 70% Closely correlated | +0.50% | ||
| GWW - MSM | 66% Closely correlated | +0.87% | ||
| BECN - MSM | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| AIT - MSM | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.73% | ||
| BXC - MSM | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.09% | ||
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