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MZDAY vs TM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Mazda Motor Corporation (MZDAY) vs. Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MZDAY trades at a lower price-to-book ratio of 0.35 compared to TM's 1.16, suggesting potential undervaluation on a relative basis.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks facing pressure from automotive sector challenges like sales declines in China and geopolitical disruptions, with TM down about 15% over the past 30 days.
- TM offers superior scale with a market cap over $222B versus MZDAY's $4B, alongside stronger profitability margins around 7-9%.
- Tickeron's comparison tool indicates TM as a better short-term buy based on technical indicators, while MZDAY edges long-term on fundamentals.
- Both exhibit low betas (MZDAY 0.52, TM 0.33), reflecting defensive positioning amid volatile auto sector trends.
- Year-to-date, TM outperforms with +12% gains versus MZDAY's negative returns.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines MZDAY and TM, two prominent Japanese automakers navigating a dynamic global market. Both companies focus on vehicle manufacturing amid shifting demands for hybrids, EVs (electric vehicles), and hydrogen technologies, while contending with supply chain issues, tariffs, and regional sales fluctuations. Traders seeking short-term momentum or investors eyeing long-term value in the auto sector will find this analysis relevant for assessing relative performance, valuation, and sector exposure in the current environment.
MZDAY Overview and Recent Performance
Mazda Motor Corporation (MZDAY) designs and manufactures passenger vehicles, known for its efficient Skyactiv engines and stylish models like the CX-5 and Mazda3. Operating primarily in Japan with global reach, Mazda emphasizes premium positioning in a competitive field. Recent market activity has seen MZDAY trading around $3.15, within a 52-week range of $2.70-$4.55, reflecting volatility from suspended Middle East production due to shipping disruptions and softer North American sales down 17% in April. Sentiment has been tempered by global sales declines, tariff concerns estimated at ¥145 billion impact on operating profit, and broader auto sector weakness in China. Despite this, its low price-to-sales ratio of 0.13 and forward P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of 6.81 signal potential value, with shares underperforming YTD but holding above recent lows amid ongoing supply chain issues.
TM Overview and Recent Performance
Toyota Motor Corporation (TM), the world's largest automaker by volume, produces a vast lineup under Toyota and Lexus brands, spanning hybrids, EVs, and commercial vehicles. Its diversified segments include financial services and connected mobility via GAZOO.com. Shares recently closed near $188, in a 52-week range of $167-$249, pressured by a 15% drop over the past 30 days amid 2.3% global sales decline in February, sharp 13.9% fall in China from EV competition, repeated recalls (e.g., 560,000 SUVs), and production halts. Positive catalysts include hydrogen fuel cell collaborations like Hyroad Energy and EV campaigns, alongside executive shifts toward sustainability. With a trailing P/E of 10.59 and robust profit margins near 7%, TM maintains stability, though inflationary costs and geopolitical risks weigh on recent momentum.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MZDAY and TM share Japanese auto roots but diverge in scale and strategy. Mazda pursues niche premium growth with lower debt (47.57% debt/equity vs. TM's 105%) and superior profit-vs-risk ratings, trading at a discount (P/B 0.35 vs. 1.16) amid undervalued metrics like EV/EBITDA of 2.31. Toyota leverages massive revenue ($50T vs. $4.86T) and ROE (10% vs. 0.52%), driving hybrid dominance but exposing it to higher recall risks and China EV pressures. Recent momentum favors TM short-term (4 bullish TA signals vs. 3), while MZDAY leads long-term fundamentals. Risks include tariffs and geopolitics for both, with Mazda's smaller size amplifying volatility but offering trade-offs in agility versus Toyota's sector-leading stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis leans toward MZDAY as the preferable long-term hold over TM, driven by stronger fundamental ratings (3 green vs. 2), undervaluation signals, and lower relative debt amid consistent auto trends. Short-term, TM shows edge with balanced technicals and scale advantages. Probabilistic factors like Mazda's outlook score (64 vs. 51) and sector positioning suggest higher upside potential for MZDAY if catalysts like resolved supply chains materialize.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MZDAY is a Hold and TM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MZDAY’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MZDAY’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MZDAY’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MZDAY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MZDAY (@Motor Vehicles) experienced а +2.48% price change this week, while TM (@Motor Vehicles) price change was +2.09% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Motor Vehicles industry was +0.55%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
TM is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Motor Vehicles (+0.55% weekly)Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
| MZDAY | TM | MZDAY / TM | |
| Capitalization | 4.33B | 243B | 2% |
| EBITDA | 160B | 7.63T | 2% |
| Gain YTD | -14.286 | -13.356 | 107% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.18 | 9.98 | 192% |
| Revenue | 4.86T | 50.69T | 10% |
| Total Cash | 1.06T | 16.64T | 6% |
| Total Debt | 819B | 43.21T | 2% |
MZDAY | TM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 2 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 10 Undervalued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 73 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 4 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 22 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MZDAY's Valuation (10) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TM (73) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that MZDAY’s stock grew somewhat faster than TM’s over the last 12 months.
TM's Profit vs Risk Rating (73) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as MZDAY (100) in the null industry. This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to MZDAY’s over the last 12 months.
MZDAY's SMR Rating (4) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TM (65) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that MZDAY’s stock grew somewhat faster than TM’s over the last 12 months.
MZDAY's Price Growth Rating (62) in the null industry is in the same range as TM (64) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that MZDAY’s stock grew similarly to TM’s over the last 12 months.
MZDAY's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the null industry is in the same range as TM (22) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that MZDAY’s stock grew similarly to TM’s over the last 12 months.
| MZDAY | TM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 54% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 71% | 6 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 48% |
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MZDAY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MZDAY has been closely correlated with FUJHY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MZDAY jumps, then FUJHY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MZDAY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MZDAY | 100% | -0.60% | ||
| FUJHY - MZDAY | 74% Closely correlated | +1.19% | ||
| TM - MZDAY | 66% Closely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| HMC - MZDAY | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| NSANY - MZDAY | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.54% | ||
| ISUZY - MZDAY | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.14% | ||
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TM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TM has been closely correlated with TOYOF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TM jumps, then TOYOF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TM | 100% | -1.01% | ||
| TOYOF - TM | 83% Closely correlated | -6.72% | ||
| HMC - TM | 73% Closely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| FUJHY - TM | 66% Closely correlated | +1.19% | ||
| MZDAY - TM | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.60% | ||
| NSANY - TM | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.54% | ||
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