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NI vs OGS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? NiSource Inc. (NI) vs. ONE Gas, Inc. (OGS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both NI and OGS have posted strong year-to-date gains around 16%, reflecting resilience in the utilities sector amid market volatility.
- NI shows superior one-year performance at approximately 27%, outperforming OGS's 18%, driven by infrastructure investments and data center demand.
- OGS offers a higher dividend yield of 3.06% versus NI's 2.50%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Recent 30-day momentum favors OGS with about 3% gains over NI's 1.2%, amid steady sector tailwinds.
- Low betas (NI: 0.57, OGS: 0.74) indicate defensive profiles suitable for risk-averse portfolios, where beta measures volatility relative to the market.
- NI's larger market cap ($23B vs. $5.6B) supports greater scale and growth catalysts like data center contracts.
Introduction
NiSource Inc. (NI) and ONE Gas, Inc. (OGS) are prominent regulated natural gas utilities operating in the U.S., offering stability in volatile markets. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance, and market positioning, aiding dividend seekers, income investors, and those favoring defensive sectors. With utilities benefiting from steady demand and infrastructure spending, traders can assess relative momentum and growth drivers to inform portfolio decisions in the current environment.
NI Overview and Recent Performance
NiSource Inc. (NI) is a leading natural gas distribution and transmission company serving Midwest and Northeast regions through fully regulated operations. In recent market activity, NI shares have traded near their 52-week high of $48.98, reflecting a year-to-date gain of about 17% and a one-year return exceeding 26%. Sentiment has been bolstered by strategic data center power and gas supply agreements with tech giants like Alphabet and Amazon, alongside planned $20 billion in regulated infrastructure investments over five years. Upcoming first-quarter 2026 earnings on May 6 are anticipated to show EPS growth of 5.1% to $1.03, supporting positive price behavior despite broader interest rate pressures on utilities. A quarterly dividend of $0.30 underscores commitment to shareholder returns.
OGS Overview and Recent Performance
ONE Gas, Inc. (OGS) operates as a 100% regulated natural gas utility across Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas, emphasizing reliable distribution to residential and commercial customers. Shares have advanced roughly 16% year-to-date and 18% over the past year, hovering near the 52-week high of $90.78 in recent weeks. Performance reflects a recent dividend increase to $0.68 quarterly ($2.72 annualized), enhancing yield appeal, following solid full-year 2025 EPS of $4.37 reported in February. Steady regulated operations and participation in industry conferences have sustained investor interest, though exposure to regional weather and economic factors influences short-term sentiment. The stock's lower P/E ratio of 20.35 (price-to-earnings) signals relative value compared to peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both NI and OGS thrive in the regulated natural gas utility space, prioritizing infrastructure reliability over aggressive expansion. NI's larger scale ($23B market cap) enables broader growth drivers like data center contracts and multi-state operations, contrasting OGS's focused regional footprint in three states. Recent momentum shows OGS edging ahead short-term, but NI leads in longer-term returns and EPS growth outlook. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity and regulatory approvals, with NI's lower beta offering marginally higher stability. OGS counters with superior dividend yield and valuation, balancing income versus growth trade-offs in sector exposure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis currently leans toward NI based on stronger trend consistency, superior one-year relative performance, and emerging catalysts from data center demand. While OGS provides attractive yield and recent stability, NI's scale and infrastructure momentum position it favorably in the utilities landscape, though outcomes depend on earnings delivery and sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NI is a StrongBuy and OGS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOGS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- NI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OGS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OGS’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OGS’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
NI (@Gas Distributors) experienced а -2.08% price change this week, while OGS (@Gas Distributors) price change was -2.20% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Gas Distributors industry was -0.93%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
NI is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
OGS is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Gas Distributors (-0.93% weekly)Gas distributors are involved in moving and selling gas – from wellheads or over-distribution systems operated by other firms – to residential and non-residential customers. These companies perform tasks such as the gathering and processing of gas, intrastate and interstate transport, and delivery to the customer. Some of the biggest gas distributing companies in the U.S. include Sempra Energy, Avangrid Inc and Atmos Energy Corporation.
| NI | OGS | NI / OGS | |
| Capitalization | 22.6B | 5.33B | 424% |
| EBITDA | 3.14B | 783M | 402% |
| Gain YTD | 14.491 | 10.862 | 133% |
| P/E Ratio | 23.48 | 19.18 | 122% |
| Revenue | 6.82B | 2.32B | 294% |
| Total Cash | 71.9M | 11.4M | 631% |
| Total Debt | 16.8B | 3.38B | 497% |
NI | OGS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 52 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 55 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 59 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 69 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 56 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 55 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OGS's Valuation (55) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NI (74). This means that OGS’s stock grew similarly to NI’s over the last 12 months.
NI's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Gas Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OGS (59). This means that NI’s stock grew somewhat faster than OGS’s over the last 12 months.
NI's SMR Rating (69) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as OGS (77). This means that NI’s stock grew similarly to OGS’s over the last 12 months.
NI's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as OGS (56). This means that NI’s stock grew similarly to OGS’s over the last 12 months.
NI's P/E Growth Rating (36) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as OGS (42). This means that NI’s stock grew similarly to OGS’s over the last 12 months.
| NI | OGS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 50% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 31% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 29% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 52% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 31% | 5 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 44% |
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