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NTGR vs UI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? NETGEAR (NTGR) vs. Ubiquiti (UI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NETGEAR (NTGR) trades around $25 with modest recent gains, supported by Q1 earnings beats and FCC approvals, but shows flat YTD performance amid revenue declines.
- Ubiquiti (UI) commands over $1,000 per share, with explosive YTD gains exceeding 80% and strong momentum from earnings beats and AI infrastructure demand.
- UI demonstrates superior growth in revenue and EPS, trading at a premium P/E of ~69x versus NTGR's negative earnings, reflecting higher market expectations for networking sector expansion.
- Both operate in networking hardware, but UI benefits from enterprise Wi-Fi and data center tailwinds, while NTGR focuses on consumer and SMB with regulatory boosts.
- Recent AI bot trends on Tickeron highlight semiconductor and industrials strength, indirectly favoring UI's positioning in high-growth tech infrastructure.
- Relative performance shows UI vastly outperforming NTGR over 1-year horizons, with stronger analyst targets relative to current prices.
Introduction
This stock comparison between NTGR and UI examines two networking technology providers amid evolving market dynamics in Wi-Fi, enterprise solutions, and AI-driven infrastructure. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye UI's robust gains, while value-oriented investors could assess NTGR's turnaround potential post-earnings. Both stocks offer exposure to connectivity demand, but differ in scale, growth trajectories, and sector sentiment. This analysis draws on recent financials and performance metrics to illuminate relative strengths for informed decision-making in today's volatile environment.
NTGR Overview and Recent Performance
NETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR) designs and markets networking hardware, including Wi-Fi routers, mesh systems, and enterprise solutions for homes, SMBs (small and medium-sized businesses), and service providers. Operating in consumer and enterprise segments, the company emphasizes Wi-Fi 7 products and subscription services for security and support.
In recent market activity, NTGR shares have traded in the mid-$20s, within a 52-week range of $19-$37, reflecting volatility from quarterly results and regulatory news. Q1 2026 revenue reached $158.8 million, down 2% year-over-year but beating expectations, with record non-GAAP gross margins of 41.7% driven by enterprise mix shifts and supply chain efficiencies. Adjusted EPS of $0.06 topped consensus, though GAAP margins faced headwinds from memory costs. Sentiment improved with FCC conditional approvals for consumer routers and analyst buys from Stifel Nicolaus, boosting shares amid U.S. restrictions on foreign imports. YTD performance remains near flat at ~3%, with 1-month gains of ~7-11%, signaling stabilization but limited momentum compared to broader tech rally.
UI Overview and Recent Performance
Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) develops high-performance networking technology for enterprises, service providers, and consumers, including Wi-Fi systems, switches, and access points sold via a global distributor network. The company targets distributed Internet access, unified IT, and professional electronics, with strong enterprise adoption.
Recent weeks have seen UI shares surge above $1,000, near 52-week highs of $1,100 from a low of $337, fueled by exceptional growth. Q2 FY2026 revenue hit $814.9 million, up sharply year-over-year and beating estimates by 14%, with non-GAAP EPS of $3.88 exceeding forecasts by 38%. This propelled YTD returns over 80% and 1-year gains near 195%, outperforming amid data center and AI infrastructure hype. Positive analyst notes, including BWS Financial's raised target to $980, underscore Wi-Fi 7 momentum and sector strength. Trading volume reflects sustained interest, though high P/E signals premium valuation tied to profitability and buybacks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
NETGEAR (NTGR) and Ubiquiti (UI) both thrive in networking hardware, but diverge in business models: NTGR balances consumer Wi-Fi with growing enterprise AV-over-IP, while UI emphasizes scalable enterprise Wi-Fi and cloud-managed solutions for service providers. Growth drivers contrast sharply—UI leverages AI data center demand and Wi-Fi 7 adoption for 35%+ revenue surges, versus NTGR's modest enterprise gains offsetting consumer softness.
Recent momentum favors UI's 80%+ YTD surge over NTGR's flat performance, with UI's P/E at 69x reflecting profitability versus NTGR's negative EPS. Risk factors include NTGR's supply chain vulnerabilities and revenue volatility, contrasted by UI's high valuation prone to corrections despite buybacks. Sector exposure aligns in communications equipment, but UI captures broader tech tailwinds. Market sentiment tilts toward UI on analyst upgrades, while NTGR benefits from U.S.-centric regulatory edges, highlighting trade-offs in stability versus explosive upside.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis favors UI in the current environment, driven by superior trend consistency, earnings momentum, and positioning in high-growth AI infrastructure. UI's relative stability, with beats on revenue/EPS and analyst support, outweighs NTGR's turnaround signals like margin expansion. Observable catalysts such as UI's data center exposure align with trending AI bots in semis and industrials, suggesting higher probability of outperformance, though NTGR offers value if regulatory boosts materialize.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NTGR is a Hold and UI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NTGR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileUI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- NTGR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- UI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NTGR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NTGR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- UI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
NTGR (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а +0.08% price change this week, while UI (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was -30.68% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was -0.35%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was +63.32%.
Reported Earning Dates
NTGR is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
UI is expected to report earnings on Aug 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (-0.35% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
| NTGR | UI | NTGR / UI | |
| Capitalization | 688M | 42.6B | 2% |
| EBITDA | -16.37M | 1.13B | -1% |
| Gain YTD | 4.525 | 27.274 | 17% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.45 | 45.24 | 34% |
| Revenue | 696M | 3.1B | 22% |
| Total Cash | 297M | 369M | 80% |
| Total Debt | 48.1M | 66.9M | 72% |
NTGR | UI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 32 Undervalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 44 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 12 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | 57 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NTGR's Valuation (32) in the Computer Communications industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UI (80) in the null industry. This means that NTGR’s stock grew somewhat faster than UI’s over the last 12 months.
UI's Profit vs Risk Rating (44) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NTGR (100) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that UI’s stock grew somewhat faster than NTGR’s over the last 12 months.
UI's SMR Rating (12) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for NTGR (92) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that UI’s stock grew significantly faster than NTGR’s over the last 12 months.
NTGR's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Computer Communications industry is in the same range as UI (49) in the null industry. This means that NTGR’s stock grew similarly to UI’s over the last 12 months.
UI's P/E Growth Rating (57) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NTGR (94) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that UI’s stock grew somewhat faster than NTGR’s over the last 12 months.
| NTGR | UI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 62% | 8 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 73% |
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NTGR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NTGR has been loosely correlated with HPE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 40% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NTGR jumps, then HPE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NTGR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTGR | 100% | -2.95% | ||
| HPE - NTGR | 40% Loosely correlated | -2.14% | ||
| UI - NTGR | 39% Loosely correlated | -4.75% | ||
| EXTR - NTGR | 39% Loosely correlated | -6.19% | ||
| CLFD - NTGR | 36% Loosely correlated | -3.38% | ||
| HLIT - NTGR | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.90% | ||
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