NUGT
Price
$182.76
Change
+$3.72 (+2.08%)
Updated
Sep 11 closing price
Net Assets
1.22B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SPXL
Price
$282.93
Change
+$6.70 (+2.43%)
Updated
Sep 11 closing price
Net Assets
6.81B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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NUGT vs SPXL

NUGT vs SPXL Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Aug 26, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares (NUGT) vs. Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (SPXL)

Key Takeaways

  • NUGT seeks 200% of the daily performance of the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index through a leveraged strategy focused exclusively on gold and silver mining companies, resulting in concentrated exposure to the materials sector.
  • SPXL targets 300% of the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index, providing amplified broad-market exposure across large-cap U.S. equities with significant allocations to information technology and other growth sectors.
  • Both ETFs employ daily-reset leveraged structures using swaps and derivatives, making them suitable primarily for short-term tactical use rather than long-term buy-and-hold strategies due to compounding effects over multiple periods.
  • NUGT carries a higher expense ratio of 1.13% compared to SPXL's 0.84%, reflecting the specialized nature of its gold miners benchmark versus the more liquid S&P 500 exposure.
  • Structural differences highlight NUGT's thematic focus on precious metals mining versus SPXL's diversified large-cap equity profile, leading to distinct risk profiles tied to commodity prices versus overall equity market trends.
  • Liquidity profiles favor both products with substantial average daily trading volumes, though SPXL's broader investor base supports tighter spreads in typical market conditions.

Introduction

Investors seeking leveraged equity exposure often evaluate products like NUGT and SPXL to amplify returns within specific market segments. These exchange-traded funds do not compete directly but instead represent distinct leveraged strategies: one centered on global gold and silver miners and the other on the broad U.S. large-cap market. The comparison helps clarify how structural differences in benchmarks, leverage multiples, and sector exposures influence suitability for varying investor objectives in the current environment of fluctuating commodity prices and equity valuations.

Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares (NUGT) Overview

NUGT is a leveraged exchange-traded fund that seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 200% of the performance of the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index. The index comprises companies deriving at least 50% of revenues or mineral resources from gold and silver mining, royalties, or streaming activities. The fund maintains approximately 11 holdings, primarily through swaps on the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and cash equivalents, resulting in effectively 100% allocation to the materials sector. Its net expense ratio stands at 1.13%. As a passive, daily-reset product, NUGT uses derivatives to achieve the targeted leverage and resets exposure each trading day.

Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (SPXL) Overview

SPXL is a leveraged exchange-traded fund designed to deliver daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the S&P 500 Index performance. The underlying index includes 500 leading large-cap U.S. companies selected by market capitalization, liquidity, and sector representation. The fund holds positions via swaps, securities, and other instruments tied to the index, with top exposures including major technology names such as NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft. It features hundreds of underlying positions and allocates across sectors led by information technology at approximately 38%. SPXL maintains a net expense ratio of 0.84% and operates as a passive, daily-reset leveraged vehicle.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both ETFs operate within leveraged equity strategies amid ongoing macroeconomic influences, including interest rate expectations, inflation trends, and sector-specific drivers. Gold mining equities respond to precious metals price movements influenced by geopolitical developments and central bank policies, while the S&P 500 reflects broad corporate earnings, technological innovation, and economic growth cycles. Capital flows into thematic and leveraged products have remained active in recent market cycles, though regulatory scrutiny on leverage products emphasizes the importance of understanding daily reset mechanics. Risks include volatility amplification and potential divergence from benchmark returns over extended holding periods.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, NUGT's performance has tracked amplified movements in gold miner equities, exhibiting higher volatility tied to commodity price swings and mining sector margins. SPXL has delivered leveraged exposure to overall S&P 500 advances, with positioning benefiting from strength in technology and growth-oriented holdings during periods of favorable earnings and market sentiment. Relative positioning shows NUGT offering concentrated thematic sensitivity, while SPXL provides broader diversification across market leaders. Both products demonstrate the effects of daily rebalancing, where holding periods beyond one day can produce returns differing substantially from the stated multiple due to volatility decay.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights into leveraged products or sector exposures may find the platform useful for refining strategies.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a higher probabilistic preference to SPXL. Its lower expense ratio, broader diversification across the S&P 500, and alignment with large-cap equity momentum provide advantages in cost efficiency and risk distribution compared to NUGT’s higher-cost, concentrated gold miners exposure. Trend consistency and sector momentum considerations further support this relative positioning in a diversified market environment, though outcomes remain subject to prevailing economic conditions.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
NUGT vs. SPXL commentary
Sep 13, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NUGT is a Hold and SPXL is a StrongBuy.

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SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
SPXL has more net assets: 6.81B vs. NUGT (1.22B). SPXL has a higher annual dividend yield than NUGT: SPXL (28.801) vs NUGT (-0.257). NUGT was incepted earlier than SPXL: NUGT (16 years) vs SPXL (18 years). SPXL (0.84) has a lower expense ratio than NUGT (1.13). NUGT (74.00) and SPXL (71.00) have matching turnover.
NUGTSPXLNUGT / SPXL
Gain YTD-0.25728.801-1%
Net Assets1.22B6.81B18%
Total Expense Ratio1.130.84135%
Turnover74.0071.00104%
Yield0.380.5076%
Fund Existence16 years18 years-
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
NUGTSPXL
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 10 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 10 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
88%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
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NUGT
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SPXL
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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SPXL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPXL has been loosely correlated with MSFT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SPXL jumps, then MSFT could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SPXL
1D Price
Change %
SPXL100%
+2.43%
MSFT - SPXL
63%
Loosely correlated
+0.65%
AAPL - SPXL
62%
Loosely correlated
+1.75%
AMZN - SPXL
60%
Loosely correlated
+1.94%
META - SPXL
59%
Loosely correlated
+0.57%
NVDA - SPXL
56%
Loosely correlated
-0.03%
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