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PFGC vs SYY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Performance Food Group (PFGC) vs. Sysco (SYY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PFGC has delivered stronger year-to-date returns than SYY, supported by robust sales growth in recent quarters.
- SYY maintains a larger market capitalization and offers shareholders a dividend, providing income alongside capital appreciation potential.
- Both companies operate in the foodservice distribution sector, with SYY benefiting from greater scale and PFGC showing higher revenue expansion rates recently.
- Analyst sentiment remains constructive for both, including recent upward revisions to price targets on PFGC.
- Relative performance reflects differing growth profiles, with PFGC exhibiting more momentum in the recent market environment.
- Sector exposure to foodservice and supply chain dynamics influences both stocks similarly amid broader economic conditions.
Introduction
Performance Food Group (PFGC) and Sysco (SYY) represent two leading players in the U.S. foodservice distribution industry. Investors and traders often compare these stocks to assess relative value, growth trajectories, and resilience within the consumer staples and industrials sectors. This analysis appeals to those evaluating large-cap equities for portfolio diversification, momentum strategies, or sector-specific exposure. By examining recent performance metrics, business fundamentals, and market positioning, market participants can better understand the trade-offs between the two names in the prevailing environment.
PFGC Overview and Recent Performance
Performance Food Group operates as a major distributor of food and related products to restaurants, schools, and other institutions across the United States. In recent weeks, PFGC shares have traded near $114–115, reflecting a year-to-date advance exceeding 24% amid positive earnings momentum. The company reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 results with net sales rising 10.8% year-over-year, accompanied by double-digit growth in gross profit. Broader market activity has been supported by upward analyst revisions, including a Citi price target increase. Sentiment has benefited from consistent revenue expansion and operational efficiency gains, though the stock remains sensitive to input costs and demand fluctuations in the foodservice channel.
SYY Overview and Recent Performance
Sysco serves as the largest broadline foodservice distributor in North America, supplying a wide range of products to restaurants, healthcare, and hospitality clients. Recent market activity has centered on the company’s fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 earnings release, which showed sales of $22.1 billion, up 4.7% from the prior year, and adjusted earnings per share of $1.53 that exceeded consensus estimates. Shares have hovered around $84 in recent sessions, contributing to a year-to-date gain of approximately 15%. Management outlined fiscal 2027 guidance targeting 6–7% sales growth and 9–11% adjusted EPS growth, alongside continued cost initiatives. Performance has reflected steady volume trends offset by margin considerations related to commodity and fuel costs.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
PFGC and SYY share exposure to the foodservice distribution sector yet differ in scale and capital return policies. SYY commands a significantly larger market capitalization and generates more predictable free cash flow, enabling consistent dividend payments and share repurchases. In contrast, PFGC has posted higher recent revenue growth rates and trades without a dividend, directing resources toward expansion and acquisitions. Momentum has favored PFGC on a year-to-date basis, while SYY offers greater stability and income characteristics. Both face similar risks from commodity price volatility, labor costs, and shifts in restaurant and institutional demand. Market sentiment remains constructive overall, with analysts highlighting operational resilience for each.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent revenue momentum, earnings consistency, and relative price behavior, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a modest probabilistic edge to PFGC in the current environment. Stronger year-to-date returns and sales growth provide supportive trend signals, though SYY’s larger scale and shareholder returns could narrow the gap depending on forthcoming data. Any preference remains conditional on continued execution and broader market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PFGC is a Buy and SYY is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PFGC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSYY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- PFGC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SYY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PFGC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SYY’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PFGC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SYY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
PFGC (@Food Distributors) experienced а -6.66% price change this week, while SYY (@Food Distributors) price change was -1.54% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Distributors industry was +1.90%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.76%.
Reported Earning Dates
PFGC is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
SYY is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food Distributors (+1.90% weekly)Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.
| PFGC | SYY | PFGC / SYY | |
| Capitalization | 16.8B | 39.7B | 42% |
| EBITDA | 1.64B | 4.06B | 40% |
| Gain YTD | 19.273 | 15.065 | 128% |
| P/E Ratio | 46.83 | 22.67 | 207% |
| Revenue | 66.7B | 83.6B | 80% |
| Total Cash | 45.9M | 169M | 27% |
| Total Debt | 7.88B | 15.4B | 51% |
PFGC | SYY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 73 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 61 Fair valued | 30 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 50 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 80 | 15 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SYY's Valuation (30) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as PFGC (61). This means that SYY’s stock grew similarly to PFGC’s over the last 12 months.
PFGC's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as SYY (50). This means that PFGC’s stock grew similarly to SYY’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's SMR Rating (15) in the Food Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PFGC (80). This means that SYY’s stock grew somewhat faster than PFGC’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as PFGC (51). This means that SYY’s stock grew similarly to PFGC’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as PFGC (48). This means that SYY’s stock grew similarly to PFGC’s over the last 12 months.
| PFGC | SYY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 47% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 35% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 46% |
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PFGC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PFGC has been loosely correlated with USFD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PFGC jumps, then USFD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PFGC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFGC | 100% | +2.65% | ||
| USFD - PFGC | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.06% | ||
| CHEF - PFGC | 41% Loosely correlated | -2.65% | ||
| SYY - PFGC | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.67% | ||
| UNFI - PFGC | 30% Poorly correlated | -0.33% | ||
| AVO - PFGC | 4% Poorly correlated | +0.23% | ||
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SYY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SYY has been loosely correlated with PFGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 42% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SYY jumps, then PFGC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SYY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYY | 100% | -0.67% | ||
| PFGC - SYY | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.65% | ||
| USFD - SYY | 41% Loosely correlated | -1.06% | ||
| UNFI - SYY | 25% Poorly correlated | -0.33% | ||
| AVO - SYY | 21% Poorly correlated | +0.23% | ||
| ANDE - SYY | 9% Poorly correlated | +1.17% | ||
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