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PFGC vs SYY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) vs. Sysco Corporation (SYY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PFGC (PFGC) shows stronger recent momentum with shares up approximately 6.7% over the past month, driven by robust Q2 fiscal 2026 results including 3.4% case volume growth.
- SYY (SYY) provides a higher dividend yield of 2.81%, appealing to income-focused investors, with a recent payout increase.
- PFGC trades at a trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of 40.85 but a forward P/E of 17.06, signaling anticipated earnings acceleration, compared to SYY's 20.64 trailing and 14.73 forward.
- SYY boasts a larger market cap of $36.7 billion versus PFGC's $14.2 billion, reflecting greater scale and stability in the foodservice distribution sector.
- Analyst price targets suggest greater upside potential for PFGC at around $118 (30% above current levels) compared to SYY's $87 (14% upside).
- Both stocks have delivered positive 52-week returns, with PFGC at 13.5% and SYY at 8.7%, amid steady demand in food distribution.
Introduction
Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) and Sysco Corporation (SYY) are prominent players in the foodservice distribution industry, supplying restaurants, healthcare facilities, and educational institutions with food and related products. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for investors seeking exposure to consumer staples with resilient demand, as well as traders monitoring relative performance in a sector influenced by economic cycles, inflation, and dining trends. By examining recent market activity, financial metrics, and growth trajectories, readers can gauge which stock aligns better with current conditions, whether prioritizing growth potential or dividend stability.
PFGC Overview and Recent Performance
Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) operates as a leading foodservice distributor through segments like Foodservice, Vistar, and Convenience, serving independent restaurants and convenience stores across North America. In recent market activity, PFGC shares have climbed about 6.7% over the past month and 0.4% year-to-date (YTD), trading near $90 with a market cap of $14.2 billion. This uptick follows strong second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with net sales reaching $16.4 billion and total case volume up 3.4%, alongside quarterly earnings growth of 45.5% year-over-year (yoy). Sentiment has been bolstered by positive analyst updates and a consensus target implying significant upside, though shares remain below the 52-week high of $109. Factors like operational efficiency and market share gains in independent foodservice have supported performance amid broader sector pressures.
SYY Overview and Recent Performance
Sysco Corporation (SYY), the largest U.S. foodservice distributor, delivers a wide range of products to over 730,000 customer locations globally through its core Sysco brand and international operations. Recently, SYY shares have shown resilience, up 5.5% YTD and trading around $76.50 with a $36.7 billion market cap, despite some pullbacks ahead of third-quarter earnings. Second-quarter fiscal 2026 results featured $20.8 billion in revenue and EPS of $0.99, slightly beating estimates, complemented by a dividend hike to $0.55 per share. Trading within a 52-week range of $68 to $92, sentiment reflects steady demand but moderated growth, with quarterly revenue up 3% yoy. Upcoming earnings and productivity initiatives continue to influence trader focus.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both PFGC and SYY thrive in broadline foodservice distribution, but SYY's scale provides broader geographic exposure and a higher ROE (return on equity) of 82%, versus PFGC's 7.8%. Growth drivers differ: PFGC benefits from faster case volume expansion and 5.2% quarterly revenue growth, while SYY emphasizes margin stability at 3% growth. Recent momentum favors PFGC with superior 52-week returns, though SYY counters with a 2.8% dividend yield and lower forward P/E. Risk profiles show PFGC's lower debt-to-equity (172%) versus SYY's 640%, but both face sector risks like commodity inflation. Market sentiment leans toward PFGC for growth trades, SYY for defensive positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward PFGC with moderate conviction, citing consistent trend strength, superior recent earnings growth at 45.5% yoy, and analyst targets projecting 30% upside amid favorable foodservice momentum. While SYY offers stability and dividends, its slower growth may lag in the near term. This assessment reflects probabilistic patterns rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PFGC is a Buy and SYY is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PFGC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSYY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- PFGC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SYY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PFGC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SYY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PFGC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SYY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
PFGC (@Food Distributors) experienced а +7.16% price change this week, while SYY (@Food Distributors) price change was +3.80% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Distributors industry was +2.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.33%.
Reported Earning Dates
PFGC is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
SYY is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food Distributors (+2.44% weekly)Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.
| PFGC | SYY | PFGC / SYY | |
| Capitalization | 16.3B | 37.9B | 43% |
| EBITDA | 1.64B | 4.06B | 40% |
| Gain YTD | 15.736 | 9.073 | 173% |
| P/E Ratio | 49.56 | 22.00 | 225% |
| Revenue | 66.7B | 83.6B | 80% |
| Total Cash | 45.9M | 1.9B | 2% |
| Total Debt | 7.88B | 15.4B | 51% |
PFGC | SYY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 52 Fair valued | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 83 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 80 | 14 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 25 | 40 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SYY's Valuation (28) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as PFGC (52). This means that SYY’s stock grew similarly to PFGC’s over the last 12 months.
PFGC's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Food Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SYY (83). This means that PFGC’s stock grew somewhat faster than SYY’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's SMR Rating (14) in the Food Distributors industry is significantly better than the same rating for PFGC (80). This means that SYY’s stock grew significantly faster than PFGC’s over the last 12 months.
PFGC's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as SYY (50). This means that PFGC’s stock grew similarly to SYY’s over the last 12 months.
PFGC's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as SYY (40). This means that PFGC’s stock grew similarly to SYY’s over the last 12 months.
| PFGC | SYY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 48% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 68% | 14 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 50% |
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PFGC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PFGC has been loosely correlated with USFD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PFGC jumps, then USFD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PFGC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFGC | 100% | +0.01% | ||
| USFD - PFGC | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.29% | ||
| CHEF - PFGC | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.10% | ||
| SYY - PFGC | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.57% | ||
| UNFI - PFGC | 37% Loosely correlated | +1.06% | ||
| ANDE - PFGC | 32% Poorly correlated | +1.71% | ||
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SYY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SYY has been loosely correlated with USFD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 40% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SYY jumps, then USFD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SYY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYY | 100% | -0.57% | ||
| USFD - SYY | 40% Loosely correlated | +2.29% | ||
| PFGC - SYY | 40% Loosely correlated | +0.01% | ||
| UNFI - SYY | 28% Poorly correlated | +1.06% | ||
| CHEF - SYY | 23% Poorly correlated | +1.10% | ||
| AVO - SYY | 21% Poorly correlated | +0.63% | ||
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