PPA
Price
$158.65
Change
-$3.51 (-2.16%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
7.68B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SHLD
Price
$63.78
Change
-$1.21 (-1.86%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
6.72B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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PPA vs SHLD

PPA vs SHLD Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 25, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF (PPA) vs. Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD)

1) Key Takeaways

  • PPA is a broad, U.S.-centric aerospace and defense index fund, while SHLD is a global, defense-technology thematic fund with heavier exposure to software and AI-driven companies.
  • PPA is heavily concentrated in established U.S. prime contractors; SHLD adds meaningful international names and technology names such as Palantir.
  • Costs are similar: PPA carries a 0.58% expense ratio versus SHLD at 0.50%.
  • PPA has a two-decade track record, whereas SHLD launched in 2023 and carries a shorter performance history.
  • Risk and volatility profiles differ, with SHLD historically exhibiting higher volatility due to its tech tilt and global footprint.
  • Both are non-diversified funds, meaning their concentrated holdings can amplify single-stock risk.

2) Introduction

Defense investing has evolved rapidly as geopolitics, artificial intelligence, and software-defined warfare reshape the sector. The Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF (PPA) and the Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD) sit at the center of this shift. Although both provide exposure to aerospace and defense, they do not compete on identical terms: PPA is a broad, market-cap-weighted index fund dominated by legacy U.S. prime contractors, while SHLD is a thematic fund built around the adoption of defense technology, spanning cybersecurity, big data, and advanced hardware across multiple countries. Comparing their structure, sector allocation, and cost profiles helps investors understand which vehicle better matches a given investment objective.

3) Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF (PPA) Overview

PPA is a passively managed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks to track the SPADE Defense Index, a market-capitalization-weighted benchmark of U.S.-listed companies engaged in defense, military, homeland security, and space operations. Launched in 2005, the fund holds roughly 60 to 70 securities and is classified as non-diversified, meaning a small number of large positions can drive performance.

Its portfolio is anchored in major prime contractors. Top holdings typically include RTX, BA, LMT, GE, GD, and NOC, with the top ten positions often representing more than half of fund assets. From a sector standpoint, industrials dominate at roughly 90% of the portfolio, with a smaller information technology sleeve of roughly 7% to 10%. Geographically, the fund is overwhelmingly U.S.-focused, with more than 90% of assets in domestic companies. The net expense ratio is 0.58%.

4) Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD) Overview

SHLD is a thematic ETF that seeks to track the Global X Defense Tech Index, which targets companies positioned to benefit from the increased adoption of defense technology. This includes firms building cybersecurity systems, leveraging artificial intelligence and big data, and producing advanced military hardware such as robotics, fuel systems, and aircraft. Launched in September 2023, the fund holds roughly 50 to 60 securities and is also non-diversified.

The portfolio blends traditional defense contractors with technology companies. Top holdings typically include PLTR, RTX, LMT, GD, and NOC. Unlike PPA, SHLD is globally diversified, with U.S. exposure around 60% to 65% and notable allocations to companies in the United Kingdom, Germany, South Korea, France, Italy, Sweden, and Israel. Sector allocation is roughly 85% industrials and 15% technology, reflecting a meaningfully larger technology tilt than PPA. The expense ratio is 0.50%.

5) Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within a defense sector that has benefited from elevated global defense budgets, rising geopolitical tensions, and renewed emphasis on modernization. Governments in North America and Europe have increased procurement and replenishment spending, supporting multi-year revenue visibility for prime contractors. At the same time, a structural shift toward software-defined systems, autonomous platforms, and data analytics is redirecting capital toward technology-enabled defense names.

This backdrop creates two distinct investment currents. PPA is closely tied to traditional defense programs, aircraft production, and government space operations, making it sensitive to budget cycles and supply-chain execution. SHLD adds exposure to the faster-growing defense-technology segment, which is influenced by AI adoption, cybersecurity demand, and venture-backed innovation. Sector risks include valuation sensitivity, regulatory and export-control developments, and the potential for budget reprioritization.

6) Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, the two funds have diverged in character even when their returns have moved in the same general direction. PPA has historically tracked broad aerospace and defense momentum, driven by the earnings cycles of large prime contractors and order backlogs. SHLD, by contrast, has shown greater sensitivity to technology-sector rotation, with names such as Palantir contributing outsized influence to its performance.

Relative positioning reflects these differences. PPA offers a more established, lower-volatility profile with deep liquidity and a long track record, while SHLD introduces higher volatility and greater geographic breadth. SHLD's larger technology allocation means its performance can be amplified by shifts in growth-stock sentiment and interest-rate expectations, whereas PPA is more closely anchored to industrial earnings and government spending. For investors, the choice often comes down to whether they prefer broad, U.S.-heavy prime-contractor exposure or a global, technology-leaning thematic approach.

7) AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to help identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to apply these tools to your own research.

8) Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, sector momentum, cost efficiency, and risk exposure, Tickeron's AI would likely express a measured preference for SHLD in the current environment, while acknowledging PPA's structural advantages. SHLD's lower expense ratio, broader global diversification, and greater allocation to the faster-growing defense-technology and AI segments align more closely with prevailing momentum toward software-defined defense. However, this preference is probabilistic rather than absolute: PPA's longer track record, deeper liquidity, and lower historical volatility make it a more stable core holding. The optimal choice depends on an investor's tolerance for volatility and their desired balance between established contractors and emerging defense technology.

9) Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
PPA vs. SHLD commentary
Nov 02, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PPA is a Hold and SHLD is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for PPA with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

PPA's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for PPA moved out of oversold territory on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 20 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 19 of the 20 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 26, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PPA as a result. In 69 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PPA just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where PPA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

Following a +3.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PPA advanced for three days, in 291 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

PPA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PPA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

PPA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for PPA entered a downward trend on October 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SHLD with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

Momentum Indicator for SHLD turns positive, indicating new upward trend

SHLD saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 45 of the 47 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHLD just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where SHLD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 23 of 27 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

SHLD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SHLD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 4 of 5 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Following a +2.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHLD advanced for three days, in 220 of 242 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SHLD moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 78%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

SHLD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for SHLD entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
PPASHLD
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
78%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
70%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
85%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 10 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 20 days ago
74%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
74%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
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PPA
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SHLD
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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PPA and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PPA has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PPA jumps, then CW could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PPA
1D Price
Change %
PPA100%
-2.16%
CW - PPA
75%
Closely correlated
-4.17%
RTX - PPA
72%
Closely correlated
+0.20%
GE - PPA
70%
Closely correlated
-3.59%
SARO - PPA
70%
Closely correlated
-1.72%
BWXT - PPA
70%
Closely correlated
-5.24%
More

SHLD and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHLD has been loosely correlated with KRMN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SHLD jumps, then KRMN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SHLD
1D Price
Change %
SHLD100%
-1.86%
KRMN - SHLD
66%
Loosely correlated
-4.17%
LHX - SHLD
65%
Loosely correlated
-0.29%
GD - SHLD
64%
Loosely correlated
+0.48%
NOC - SHLD
63%
Loosely correlated
-0.86%
RTX - SHLD
63%
Loosely correlated
+0.20%
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