Investors comparing QQQ and QTR are effectively weighing two ways to access the same growth-heavy universe: one raw and one risk-buffered. The Invesco QQQ Trust tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index outright, while the Global X Nasdaq 100 Tail Risk ETF holds that same equity basket and adds a protective put overlay. They do not compete as differentiated sector bets; instead, QTR is best understood as a hedged variant of QQQ for investors worried about sharp selloffs. Understanding the trade-off between cost and downside cushioning is central to choosing between them in the current market environment.
QQQ is a passively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the Nasdaq-100 Index, a benchmark of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq. The fund holds roughly 101 securities and is heavily concentrated in information technology, which represents approximately 60% of assets, followed by communication services and consumer discretionary. Its top positions include NVDA (NVIDIA), AAPL (Apple), MSFT (Microsoft), MU (Micron Technology), and AMZN (Amazon). With a 0.18% expense ratio and assets under management (AUM, the total value of assets held by the fund) in the hundreds of billions of dollars, QQQ is among the most liquid and cost-efficient large-cap growth vehicles available, offering full, unhedged participation in the index's upside and downside.
QTR tracks the Nasdaq-100 Quarterly Protective Put 90 Index, a risk management strategy that holds the underlying Nasdaq-100 stocks while purchasing quarterly put options on the index. This overlay is designed to buffer the portfolio against significant downward moves, effectively capping some tail risk at the cost of ongoing option premiums. The fund is non-diversified, holds approximately 101 equity positions, and mirrors QQQ's sector profile, with technology near 60% of assets. Its largest holdings include NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, MU, and AMD (Advanced Micro Devices). QTR carries a 0.25% net expense ratio and a substantially smaller asset base, making it less liquid than QQQ despite near-identical equity exposure.
Both ETFs sit at the intersection of the artificial intelligence, semiconductor, and mega-cap technology themes that have driven market leadership across recent market cycles. Capital flows have favored large, cash-rich technology franchises, while earnings from names such as NVDA and MSFT continue to anchor index-level sentiment. At the same time, the sector remains sensitive to interest-rate expectations, since higher discount rates pressure valuations of long-duration growth equities. Regulatory scrutiny of large platforms, semiconductor supply-chain concentration, and periodic rotation into value or defensive segments represent recurring risks. In this environment, QQQ captures the theme without filters, while QTR packages the same exposure with built-in drawdown mitigation.
Over recent weeks and months, the two funds have generally moved in tandem because their equity sleeves are nearly identical; the differentiator is the put overlay. In steadily rising periods, QQQ has tended to outpace QTR, as the cost of rolling quarterly puts weighs on QTR's total return. During sharp, sudden selloffs, however, QTR's protective structure has the potential to dampen losses relative to an unhedged position. This makes the comparison less about which fund is "better" and more about an investor's relative positioning and volatility tolerance. QQQ offers cleaner beta to the Nasdaq-100, while QTR trades some expected return for reduced downside risk. Liquidity also differs materially: QQQ's deep secondary market supports tight spreads, whereas QTR's smaller size can translate into wider trading costs.
Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening, enabling more disciplined, data-informed decision-making. Explore the AI Screener to surface ideas aligned with your own research process.
On balance, Tickeron's AI would likely favor QQQ over QTR in the current environment. QQQ's advantages are structural and durable: a lower expense ratio, vastly greater liquidity, and unhedged capture of the mega-cap technology trend. While QTR's protective puts offer genuine drawdown mitigation, that protection carries an ongoing cost that tends to suppress returns during the rallies that have historically defined this growth-heavy universe. For investors with a longer horizon and tolerance for volatility, the cost efficiency and clean beta of QQQ appear more compelling. QTR remains a reasonable alternative for those specifically seeking reduced tail risk, but it is better viewed as a risk-managed complement rather than a replacement for broad technology exposure.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
QQQ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 35 of 38 cases where QQQ's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QQQ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 46 of 56 cases where QQQ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Following a +4.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QQQ advanced for three days, in 308 of 365 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QQQ as a result. In 65 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for QQQ turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 78%.
QQQ moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for QQQ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QQQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Aroon Indicator for QQQ entered a downward trend on November 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
QTR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 28 of 32 cases where QTR's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QTR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 61 cases where QTR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +2.58% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QTR advanced for three days, in 210 of 262 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QTR as a result. In 53 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for QTR turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.
QTR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for QTR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QTR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator for QTR entered a downward trend on November 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
| QQQ | QTR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 84% | 5 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 81% | 12 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 80% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QTR has been loosely correlated with SWKS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if QTR jumps, then SWKS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To QTR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QTR | 100% | -0.17% | ||
| SWKS - QTR | 61% Loosely correlated | +2.73% | ||
| ZM - QTR | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.39% | ||
| ALAB - QTR | 39% Loosely correlated | -1.35% | ||
| VRSN - QTR | 38% Loosely correlated | -0.51% | ||
| DOCU - QTR | 38% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| UUP | 29.42 | 0.07 | +0.24% |
| Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) | |||
| GSEE | 63.95 | N/A | N/A |
| Goldman Sachs MarketBeta Emerging Markets Equity ETF (GSEE) | |||
| RNTY | 47.89 | -0.16 | -0.34% |
| Yieldmax Target 12 Real Estate Option Income ETF | |||
| JMOM | 79.37 | -0.47 | -0.59% |
| JPMorgan U.S. Momentum Factor ETF (JMOM) | |||
| TSMU | 58.38 | -2.09 | -3.45% |
| GraniteShares 2x Long TSM Daily ETF (TSMU) | |||