Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) and Global X Nasdaq 100® Tail Risk ETF (QTR) both provide exposure to the innovative companies within the Nasdaq-100 Index, yet they employ fundamentally different approaches to risk and return. QQQ offers straightforward passive tracking of large-cap growth equities, while QTR incorporates a quarterly protective put overlay designed to cushion against sharp selloffs. These characteristics make the pair relevant for investors evaluating growth opportunities alongside varying levels of downside defense in the current environment of sector rotation and macroeconomic uncertainty.
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) is a passively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index before fees and expenses. The index comprises approximately 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq exchange, with quarterly rebalancing and annual reconstitution. The fund typically holds around 105 securities, led by major positions in NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Apple Inc. (AAPL), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO). Sector allocations are concentrated in information technology, communication services, and consumer discretionary. The expense ratio stands at 0.18%. QQQ operates as a unit investment trust structure, providing high liquidity through substantial trading volume on the Nasdaq exchange.
Global X Nasdaq 100® Tail Risk ETF (QTR) is a passively managed fund that seeks to replicate the Nasdaq-100 Quarterly Protective Put 90 Index. This strategy combines ownership of the underlying Nasdaq-100 stocks with the purchase of 10% out-of-the-money put options on the Nasdaq-100 Index, reset quarterly. The fund holds approximately 103 to 104 securities, with top holdings mirroring those of the broader Nasdaq-100, including NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Apple Inc. (AAPL), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Micron Technology Inc. (MU), and Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN). Sector exposure remains concentrated in information technology, communication services, and consumer discretionary. The expense ratio is 0.25%. QTR employs a rules-based approach with annual reconstitution and quarterly rebalancing to maintain the protective options overlay.
The technology and innovation themes driving the Nasdaq-100 continue to influence both ETFs amid ongoing advancements in artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and semiconductor demand. Capital flows into growth-oriented equities have remained resilient across recent market cycles, supported by corporate earnings strength in leading holdings. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate expectations and geopolitical developments introduce periodic volatility, prompting greater interest in risk-managed strategies. Regulatory scrutiny on large technology platforms and supply-chain considerations represent ongoing considerations for sector participants.
In recent weeks and months, Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) has reflected the broader momentum of Nasdaq-100 constituents, benefiting from strength in technology earnings cycles. Global X Nasdaq 100® Tail Risk ETF (QTR) has exhibited more muted participation in upward moves due to the cost of the protective puts, while providing a buffer during periods of elevated market stress. Relative positioning highlights QQQ’s greater sensitivity to sector rotation favoring growth stocks, whereas QTR’s options overlay contributes to lower volatility in downturn scenarios across recent market cycles. Both funds remain positioned for long-term exposure to innovation-driven companies, with differences centered on cost efficiency versus explicit downside mitigation.
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking tailored insights on ETFs like QQQ and QTR may explore the platform for additional screening capabilities.
Based on structural strength, cost efficiency, and consistent trend alignment with Nasdaq-100 growth momentum, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorability to Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) for investors prioritizing broad participation and lower expenses. QTR offers a differentiated profile for those emphasizing explicit tail-risk buffering, though its incremental cost and options drag may moderate relative appeal in stable or upward-trending environments.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
QQQ saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 13, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 89%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QQQ as a result. In 67 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
QQQ moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QQQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QQQ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QQQ advanced for three days, in 313 of 368 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
QQQ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 318 of 354 cases where QQQ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
The 10-day moving average for QTR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QTR as a result. In 57 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for QTR turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.
QTR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QTR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QTR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QTR advanced for three days, in 207 of 257 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
QTR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 286 of 332 cases where QTR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 86%.
| QQQ | QTR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 85% | 18 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 81% | 8 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 86% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QTR has been loosely correlated with SWKS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if QTR jumps, then SWKS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To QTR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QTR | 100% | -2.39% | ||
| SWKS - QTR | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| ZM - QTR | 54% Loosely correlated | -3.26% | ||
| VRSN - QTR | 38% Loosely correlated | -0.87% | ||
| DOCU - QTR | 38% Loosely correlated | +3.60% | ||
| OKTA - QTR | 37% Loosely correlated | -3.50% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| TAPR | 26.91 | N/A | N/A |
| Innovator 2 Yr to April 2027 (TAPR) | |||
| FPAG | 42.03 | -0.03 | -0.07% |
| FPA Global Equity ETF (FPAG) | |||
| XBFR | 26.93 | -0.25 | -0.92% |
| Innovator Equity Managed 10 Buffer ETF (XBFR) | |||
| THRO | 43.67 | -0.58 | -1.31% |
| iShares U.S. Thematic Rotation Active ETF (THRO) | |||
| GSGO | 42.79 | -1.46 | -3.30% |
| Goldman Sachs Growth Opportunities ETF (GSGO) | |||