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RIOT vs WULF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Riot Platforms (RIOT) vs. TeraWulf (WULF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both RIOT and WULF are Bitcoin mining companies showing strong year-to-date gains, with WULF up over 65% and RIOT around 32%.
- WULF demonstrates superior recent momentum, with shares surging in recent weeks amid AI infrastructure expansion and clean energy focus.
- RIOT benefits from a larger scale operation and Bitcoin holdings, contributing to a 126% one-year return, though recent volatility persists.
- Market sentiment favors miners pivoting to high-performance computing (HPC), where WULF shows early advantages in zero-carbon energy.
- Relative performance highlights WULF's outperformance in recent market activity, driven by sector tailwinds in energy-efficient mining.
- Both stocks exhibit high beta (RIOT ~2.0, WULF ~4.3), amplifying Bitcoin price moves and broader crypto sentiment.
Introduction
Riot Platforms (RIOT) and TeraWulf (WULF) are key players in the Bitcoin mining sector, a niche highly sensitive to cryptocurrency prices, energy costs, and regulatory shifts. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent stock behavior, and market positioning amid Bitcoin's volatility and the rise of AI-driven data centers. Traders seeking exposure to crypto miners with diversification potential, or investors eyeing energy infrastructure plays, will find value in understanding their relative strengths in the current environment, where clean energy and HPC (high-performance computing) capabilities increasingly influence sentiment.
RIOT Overview and Recent Performance
Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) is a vertically integrated Bitcoin mining company focused on large-scale data centers in the U.S., also providing engineering services for power distribution. In recent market activity, RIOT shares have shown resilience, posting a year-to-date return of approximately 32% and a one-year gain exceeding 126%. The stock recently traded around $16, with notable intraday surges up to 13.5% tied to Bitcoin sales and operational updates. Sentiment has been bolstered by expanded hash rate capacity to 42.5 EH/s and a robust Bitcoin treasury, though volatility persists due to energy costs and crypto market swings. Broader performance metrics include a 52-week range of $6.19–$23.94, reflecting sensitivity to Bitcoin trends.
WULF Overview and Recent Performance
TeraWulf Inc. (WULF) develops and operates digital infrastructure for Bitcoin mining and HPC, emphasizing over 90% zero-carbon energy sources like nuclear and hydro. Recent weeks have seen explosive gains, with shares climbing around 40% in five days to near $19, fueled by AI hosting deals and convertible note upsizes. Year-to-date returns exceed 65%, and one-year performance tops 637%, outpacing peers amid sector rotation toward sustainable mining. The 52-week range spans $2.06–$19.50, with high volume signaling strong interest. Performance drivers include facility expansions and HPC leasing, enhancing resilience to Bitcoin halvings and energy price fluctuations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both RIOT and WULF center on Bitcoin mining but diverge in scale and diversification. RIOT's larger infrastructure supports higher hash rates and Bitcoin holdings (~19,000 BTC), providing stability but exposing it to pure mining risks like halving events. WULF, newer and smaller, leverages zero-carbon energy for cost advantages and pivots aggressively to HPC/AI leasing, securing deals up to $8.7B. Recent momentum favors WULF (YTD +65% vs. RIOT +32%), with higher beta amplifying upside in crypto rallies. Risk factors include energy dependence for both, though WULF's sustainability appeals to ESG investors. Sector exposure ties them to Bitcoin, but WULF's AI catalysts offer growth diversification, trading at a premium P/S ratio amid bullish sentiment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor WULF over RIOT, based on superior recent trend consistency, momentum in clean energy/HPC pivots, and relative outperformance in volatile conditions. With higher short-term gains and catalysts like AI deals, WULF shows probabilistic edge for upward continuation, though RIOT's scale offers stability. Observable factors like win rates in AI bot simulations tilt toward WULF in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RIOT is a Buy and WULF is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RIOT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileWULF’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- RIOT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WULF’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RIOT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WULF’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RIOT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WULF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
RIOT (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а +2.65% price change this week, while WULF (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was -2.21% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was +0.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.78%.
Reported Earning Dates
RIOT is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
WULF is expected to report earnings on Aug 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (+0.13% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
| RIOT | WULF | RIOT / WULF | |
| Capitalization | 10.3B | 13B | 79% |
| EBITDA | -476.51M | -483.91M | 98% |
| Gain YTD | 118.272 | 127.589 | 93% |
| P/E Ratio | 27.24 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 653M | 168M | 389% |
| Total Cash | 206M | 2.63B | 8% |
| Total Debt | 877M | 5.31B | 17% |
RIOT | WULF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 29 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 75 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RIOT's Valuation (91) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as WULF (94) in the null industry. This means that RIOT’s stock grew similarly to WULF’s over the last 12 months.
WULF's Profit vs Risk Rating (75) in the null industry is in the same range as RIOT (100) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that WULF’s stock grew similarly to RIOT’s over the last 12 months.
RIOT's SMR Rating (98) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as WULF (100) in the null industry. This means that RIOT’s stock grew similarly to WULF’s over the last 12 months.
WULF's Price Growth Rating (34) in the null industry is in the same range as RIOT (35) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that WULF’s stock grew similarly to RIOT’s over the last 12 months.
RIOT's P/E Growth Rating (38) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WULF (100) in the null industry. This means that RIOT’s stock grew somewhat faster than WULF’s over the last 12 months.
| RIOT | WULF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 87% | 6 days ago 87% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
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WULF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WULF has been closely correlated with CIFR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WULF jumps, then CIFR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WULF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WULF | 100% | -1.28% | ||
| CIFR - WULF | 72% Closely correlated | -0.19% | ||
| HUT - WULF | 65% Loosely correlated | -1.35% | ||
| CLSK - WULF | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| RIOT - WULF | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.23% | ||
| COIN - WULF | 60% Loosely correlated | -6.19% | ||
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