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RR vs SMR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR) vs. NuScale Power (SMR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR) — its established, cash-generating business and more consistent trend profile currently outweigh NuScale Power's higher-risk, pre-revenue growth story.
- RR is a diversified aerospace, defense, and power systems company posting rising profits, while SMR is an early-stage small modular reactor (SMR) developer still seeking its first commercial reactor order.
- Relative performance has diverged sharply: RR has held near record levels, while SMR has fallen sharply over the past year amid a lack of firm contracts.
- For ongoing coverage, explore RR Major News and RR Today's Price Move, as well as SMR Major News and SMR Today's Price Move.
- Discover how AI-driven strategies are navigating these names by exploring Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors weighing exposure to the nuclear and advanced-energy theme often encounter two very different companies: Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR), a global aerospace, defense, and power systems giant, and NuScale Power (SMR), a pure-play developer of small modular nuclear reactors. Both are linked to growing demand for reliable, low-carbon power, yet they sit at opposite ends of the maturity spectrum. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and investors evaluating whether to favor an established, profitable industrial with nuclear upside or a speculative, pre-revenue technology leader. Understanding each company's business model, recent momentum, and market positioning can help frame that decision.
RR Overview and Recent Performance
Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR) operates across three main divisions: Civil Aerospace, Defence, and Power Systems. Its civil aerospace earnings are closely tied to engine "flying hours" through long-term service agreements, while its defense arm benefits from rising government spending and its power systems unit supplies backup and prime power increasingly used by data centers. The company has also been developing small modular reactor technology, winning selections in European markets such as the UK and Sweden.
Recent market activity has been mixed. After a multi-year turnaround, the shares reached an all-time high in the summer before pulling back roughly 20% over recent weeks, even as the underlying business strengthened. Half-year results showed revenue up sharply and operating profit up double digits, driven in part by a surge in data-center-related power demand. Management raised full-year profit and free cash flow guidance and continued a substantial share buyback program. The pullback appears tied more to valuation and broader market concerns than to any deterioration in fundamentals.
SMR Overview and Recent Performance
NuScale Power (SMR) is a developer of small modular nuclear reactors and holds the distinction of being the only company with a standard design certified by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). Its technology centers on a factory-built, 77-megawatt pressurized light-water module that can be combined into larger plants. The company works through partner ENTRA1 Energy and is in discussions with the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) toward a potential power purchase agreement (PPA) for a multi-gigawatt deployment, while also advancing a project in Romania.
Recent performance has been challenging. The stock has declined substantially over the past year and year to date, reflecting the absence of a binding commercial order and a steep drop in revenue as earlier engineering work concluded. The company retains a sizeable cash position but continues to post operating losses, and its share count has grown as it raised capital. Positive developments, such as a manufacturing contract with Doosan Enerbility to begin building reactor components, have offered periodic support, but execution and contract certainty remain the central investor concerns.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page highlights a curated selection of AI trading bots from a broader universe of hundreds of bots that trade thousands of different tickers. Because market conditions constantly shift, only the bots best suited to the current environment earn a place in this featured section. Each bot operates with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance history, and set of tickers, giving traders a range of approaches to explore. Whether you are tracking momentum in established industrials like RR or volatility in emerging names like SMR, reviewing the Trending AI Robots page can help you see how algorithmic strategies are currently positioning across the market.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The most fundamental contrast between RR and SMR is stage of development. Rolls-Royce is a profitable, diversified industrial with multiple revenue streams, a strengthened balance sheet, and capital returns to shareholders. NuScale is an early-stage company with a certified design, substantial cash, and meaningful partnerships, but essentially no current revenue and no binding commercial orders.
Growth drivers also differ. RR benefits from recovering air travel, higher defense budgets, and data-center power demand, while its nuclear ambitions are a longer-term option. SMR is concentrated almost entirely on the future commercialization of one technology, making it highly sensitive to contract news and regulatory milestones. Risk profiles diverge accordingly: Rolls-Royce faces supply-chain, valuation, and cyclical risks, whereas NuScale faces execution, funding, and timeline risks. Sentiment reflects this gap, with RR trading near record levels and SMR trading well below its prior highs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, financial stability, catalyst visibility, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently favor RR. Rolls-Royce combines an established, cash-generating business with multiple near-term demand drivers and a clearer, more durable earnings path. In contrast, SMR offers higher theoretical upside but carries greater uncertainty, with its investment case contingent on contract announcements that have not yet materialized. In probabilistic terms, the AI verdict leans toward the stock whose trend and fundamentals are more firmly supported today, while acknowledging that a definitive commercial order could materially shift sentiment around SMR in the future.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RR is a Hold and SMR is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for RR turns negative, indicating new downward trend
RR saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 48 of the 52 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RR turned negative on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 27 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
RR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
The Aroon Indicator for RR entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 15 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 19 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
RR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 38 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.543) is normal, around the industry mean (3.805). P/E Ratio (12.720) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.482). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (60.606) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. RR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
SMR in -18.62% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on November 05, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where SMR declined for three days, in 266 of 308 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Aroon Indicator for SMR entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SMR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 29 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SMR just turned positive on October 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where SMR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
SMR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 28 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.011) is normal, around the industry mean (3.805). P/E Ratio (-2.309) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.482). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (208.333) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SMR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SMR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
SMR | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 97 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 91 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| RR | SMR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 86% | 4 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 85% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 87% | 5 days ago 86% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 85% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while SMR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- RR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SMR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SMR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
RR (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -5.81% price change this week, while SMR (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -9.61% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -2.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22.45%.
Reported Earning Dates
RR is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
SMR is expected to report earnings on Mar 18, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-2.81% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
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RR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RR has been loosely correlated with NNE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RR jumps, then NNE could also see price increases.
SMR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMR has been closely correlated with NNE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMR jumps, then NNE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMR | 100% | +16.25% | ||
| NNE - SMR | 79% Closely correlated | +15.31% | ||
| SERV - SMR | 63% Loosely correlated | +38.79% | ||
| RR - SMR | 52% Loosely correlated | +6.23% | ||
| AMSC - SMR | 52% Loosely correlated | -2.46% | ||
| MIR - SMR | 48% Loosely correlated | +4.90% | ||
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