RSPT
Price
$57.02
Change
-$4.28 (-6.98%)
Updated
Nov 5, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
6.19B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XLK
Price
$162.31
Change
-$14.19 (-8.04%)
Updated
Nov 5, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
118.53B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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RSPT vs XLK

RSPT vs XLK Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 29, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Technology ETF (RSPT) vs. Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK)

Key Takeaways

  • Weighting methodology drives the gap: XLK is market-cap weighted and heavily concentrated in mega-cap leaders, while RSPT is equal weighted, distributing exposure more evenly across roughly 70 information technology names.
  • Cost asymmetry is significant: XLK charges a 0.08% expense ratio versus 0.40% for RSPT, a meaningful long-term cost advantage for the Select Sector SPDR.
  • Concentration risk differs sharply: XLK's top 10 holdings account for roughly 60% of assets, whereas RSPT's top 10 represent only about 15%, lowering single-stock risk.
  • Liquidity and scale favor XLK: XLK holds well over $120 billion in assets with deep secondary-market trading, compared with roughly $5–6 billion for RSPT.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: On balance, Tickeron's AI favors XLK for its cost efficiency, liquidity, and consistent large-cap momentum, while recognizing RSPT's superior diversification.

Introduction

Investors seeking concentrated exposure to U.S. information technology often weigh two structurally different funds: RSPT and XLK. Both target the same underlying sector, yet they compete as alternative implementations of the same investor goal rather than direct clones. One pursues equal weighting to dilute mega-cap dominance; the other leans into market-cap weighting to capture the sector's most powerful trends. This ETF comparison clarifies how sector exposure, relative positioning, and cost structure can produce meaningfully different outcomes even within the same industry.

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Technology ETF (RSPT) Overview

RSPT, launched in 2006, is a passively managed fund that tracks the S&P 500 Equal Weight Information Technology Index. The index includes every S&P 500 company classified under the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) as information technology, with each constituent reset to an equal weight and rebalanced quarterly. The fund typically holds around 70 positions.

Because of equal weighting, no single name dominates. Top holdings — including MU, WDC, INTC, AMAT, and AMD — each generally represent roughly 1.5% to 2% of the portfolio. The fund is overwhelmingly allocated to the technology sector and skews toward large-cap names, but its structure gives mid-sized and semiconductor-focused constituents greater influence than in cap-weighted peers. The expense ratio is 0.40%, and the strategy's defining feature is the reduction of concentration risk at the cost of lower mega-cap participation.

Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) Overview

XLK, launched in 1998, is a passively managed fund tracking the Technology Select Sector Index, which selects technology companies from within the S&P 500 and weights them by market capitalization. The fund holds roughly 70 to 80 positions and rebalances in line with its index, with portfolio turnover typically low.

Market-cap weighting concentrates the portfolio heavily at the top. NVDA, AAPL, and MSFT typically combine for more than one-third of assets, with AVGO and AMD also prominent. The top 10 holdings generally account for around 60% of the fund. XLK is one of the most liquid and lowest-cost technology products available, carrying a 0.08% expense ratio and managing well over $120 billion in assets, with deep trading volume and an active options market.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds sit at the center of the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure cycle, which continues to drive capital spending on semiconductors, data centers, cloud computing, and networking hardware. Demand for advanced chips, memory, and accelerated-computing systems has supported the earnings of many top constituents across both ETFs, while software and IT-services names have faced more uneven demand. Macroeconomic factors — particularly interest rate expectations — remain influential, given that technology equities tend to carry longer-duration valuations. Regulatory scrutiny of large platforms and periodic supply-chain concentration in advanced chipmaking represent ongoing sector risks. Within this environment, cap-weighted mega-caps have been primary beneficiaries of the AI trend, while equal-weighted exposure captures broader participation from secondary names that may lag or lead in different phases of the cycle.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent market cycles, XLK's concentration in mega-cap leaders has allowed it to capture outsized gains when the largest AI and platform companies rally, while also amplifying drawdowns when those same names correct. RSPT's equal-weight design has historically reduced single-stock impact, producing more balanced relative positioning and often lower dispersion from any individual constituent's earnings surprise. However, this diversification comes with a higher expense ratio and less exposure to the fastest-growing mega-caps. Volatility has generally been higher in the more concentrated XLK, while RSPT's broader distribution has provided a degree of insulation during rotations away from the largest technology names. Fund performance ultimately tracks whether leadership remains concentrated at the top or broadens across the sector.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics, making it easier to identify trade ideas, trending names, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own technology-sector research.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor XLK in the current environment. Its 0.08% expense ratio, deep liquidity, and consistent exposure to the sector's strongest momentum leaders — particularly the AI-driven mega-caps — give it an edge in trend-following efficiency. RSPT remains the more diversified choice for investors seeking to reduce concentration risk, but its 0.40% cost and lower participation in the sector's largest winners weigh on its relative appeal. The AI would therefore lean toward XLK with moderate-to-high confidence, contingent on continued large-cap technology leadership rather than a broad-based rotation into smaller names.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
RSPT vs. XLK commentary
Nov 06, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RSPT is a Hold and XLK is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for RSPT with price predictions
Nov 04, 2026

RSPT's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for RSPT entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 131 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 111 of the 131 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 85%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RSPT as a result. In 72 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RSPT turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 81%.

RSPT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for RSPT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RSPT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RSPT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +1.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RSPT advanced for three days, in 295 of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

RSPT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XLK with price predictions
Nov 04, 2026

XLK's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for XLK entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 138 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 124 of the 138 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLK as a result. In 67 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLK turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.

XLK moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XLK crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XLK's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +2.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLK advanced for three days, in 331 of 377 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

XLK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
RSPTXLK
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 9 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 9 days ago
88%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
82%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
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RSPT and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RSPT has been closely correlated with Q. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RSPT jumps, then Q could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To RSPT
1D Price
Change %
RSPT100%
-1.11%
Q - RSPT
70%
Closely correlated
-0.09%
KEYS - RSPT
65%
Loosely correlated
-6.31%
HPE - RSPT
65%
Loosely correlated
-5.67%
COHR - RSPT
64%
Loosely correlated
-5.98%
GLW - RSPT
63%
Loosely correlated
-5.84%
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