SCHQ
Price
$29.66
Change
-$0.08 (-0.27%)
Updated
Oct 23, 11:21 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
973.73M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TLT
Price
$81.53
Change
-$0.21 (-0.26%)
Updated
Oct 23, 11:27 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
46.91B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SCHQ vs TLT

SCHQ vs TLT Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF (SCHQ) vs. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

Key Takeaways

  • Both SCHQ and TLT provide pure exposure to long-duration U.S. Treasury bonds, serving as tools for interest-rate sensitivity and portfolio diversification rather than competing credit or equity strategies.
  • SCHQ tracks the Bloomberg U.S. Long Treasury Index (maturities of 10 years or more) with approximately 100 holdings and an expense ratio of 0.03%, while TLT tracks the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index with roughly 48 holdings and an expense ratio of 0.15%.
  • The maturity difference creates distinct duration profiles: SCHQ offers broader long-term coverage, whereas TLT concentrates on the longest end of the curve, resulting in higher interest-rate sensitivity for TLT.
  • Both ETFs maintain 100% allocation to U.S. government securities with no corporate or securitized exposure, delivering comparable liquidity profiles suited for institutional and retail fixed-income allocation.
  • Cost efficiency favors SCHQ over extended holding periods, while TLT benefits from significantly larger assets under management and deeper trading volume.
  • In recent market cycles, both funds have exhibited similar directional behavior driven by Treasury yield movements, with relative performance influenced by duration and rebalancing frequency.

Introduction

Investors seeking long-duration government bond exposure often evaluate SCHQ and TLT as alternatives within the Treasury segment. These ETFs do not compete directly with equity or credit products but offer differentiated access to U.S. government debt. SCHQ provides slightly broader maturity coverage at a lower cost, while TLT delivers concentrated exposure to the longest maturities with greater liquidity. The comparison helps investors align structural features with objectives such as duration management and cost control in varying interest-rate environments.

Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF (SCHQ) Overview

SCHQ is a passively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the Bloomberg U.S. Long Treasury Index. The index includes publicly issued U.S. Treasury securities with remaining maturities of 10 years or more. The fund holds approximately 100 securities, with top holdings concentrated in individual long-term Treasury bonds such as the 4.75% May 2055 and 4.75% August 2055 issues. Sector allocation is 100% U.S. government bonds. The expense ratio stands at 0.03%. The fund employs physical replication and market-value weighting with periodic rebalancing to match the index. Distinguishing features include ultra-low costs and a maturity profile that spans the long end of the Treasury curve without extending exclusively to the longest bonds.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Overview

TLT is a passively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. The index consists of publicly issued U.S. Treasury securities with remaining maturities greater than 20 years. The fund holds approximately 48 securities, with top holdings including the 4.75% May 2055, 4.625% May 2054, and 5% May 2056 issues. Sector allocation is 100% U.S. government bonds. The expense ratio stands at 0.15%. The fund employs physical replication and market-value weighting with periodic rebalancing to match the index. Distinguishing features include high liquidity from substantial assets under management and precise targeting of the longest-duration Treasury segment.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The long-term U.S. Treasury segment operates within a macroeconomic environment shaped by Federal Reserve monetary policy, inflation expectations, and fiscal dynamics. Capital flows into government bonds often increase during periods of economic uncertainty or anticipated rate cuts, while rising yields can pressure prices. Regulatory developments remain stable for Treasury securities, with no material changes affecting ETF structures. Risks include interest-rate volatility that amplifies duration effects and potential shifts in supply from Treasury auctions. Both ETFs provide exposure to this environment without credit risk, positioning them as vehicles for duration management amid evolving yield-curve dynamics.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, both SCHQ and TLT have moved in tandem with broader Treasury yield changes, reflecting their shared sensitivity to interest-rate expectations. TLT’s longer average maturity typically produces larger price swings during rate movements compared with SCHQ’s slightly shorter profile. Over recent market cycles, relative performance has hinged on yield-curve steepening or flattening rather than issuer-specific factors. SCHQ offers marginally broader diversification across long bonds, while TLT provides deeper liquidity for larger position adjustments. Volatility differences stem primarily from duration, with both funds exhibiting low correlation to equities during risk-off periods.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore opportunities with the AI Screener.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favor to SCHQ. The lower expense ratio, broader holding count, and competitive maturity coverage support cost-efficient positioning across market cycles. TLT retains advantages in liquidity and established market presence, yet the cost differential and diversification profile tilt the balance toward SCHQ for long-term Treasury allocation under prevailing conditions.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SCHQ vs. TLT commentary
Oct 23, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SCHQ is a StrongBuy and TLT is a StrongBuy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SCHQ with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

SCHQ in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

SCHQ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 28 of 40 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SCHQ as a result. In 61 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SCHQ just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where SCHQ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Following a +1.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SCHQ advanced for three days, in 192 of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SCHQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

SCHQ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for SCHQ entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TLT with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

TLT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

TLT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 40 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLT as a result. In 70 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLT just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +2.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in 194 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

TLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TLT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SCHQTLT
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
66%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
74%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
64%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
72%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
66%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 19 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 19 days ago
78%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
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