SEMI
Price
$36.56
Change
+$0.13 (+0.36%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
43.71M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SMH
Price
$527.20
Change
+$3.85 (+0.74%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
69.59B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SEMI vs SMH

SEMI vs SMH Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 23, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Columbia Seligman Semiconductor and Technology ETF (SEMI) vs. VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)

Key Takeaways

  • Structural difference: SEMI is an actively managed, semi-transparent fund, while SMH is a passive, index-tracking ETF.
  • Exposure profile: SMH is a pure-play semiconductor basket, whereas SEMI layers large non-chip technology names such as Apple and Microsoft on top of a semiconductor core.
  • Cost: SMH carries a 0.35% expense ratio versus 0.75% for SEMI, giving the index fund a meaningful cost advantage.
  • Liquidity and scale: SMH manages tens of billions in assets with deep daily volume; SEMI is a much smaller, newer fund launched in 2022.
  • Concentration: Both funds lean heavily on NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, but SMH is more concentrated in megacap chipmakers.
  • Risk profile: SEMI's broader technology holdings can dilute semiconductor-specific volatility, while SMH offers more direct sector beta.

Introduction

Semiconductors sit at the center of the artificial intelligence (AI) investment cycle, making semiconductor ETFs among the most closely watched sector products in the market today. SEMI and SMH both give investors access to the chip industry, but they do so through fundamentally different structures. This ETF comparison matters because the two funds are not interchangeable: one is a passive, index-linked pure play on semiconductors, while the other is an actively managed portfolio that blends chipmakers with other technology leaders. Understanding their relative positioning helps investors decide whether they want concentrated, low-cost semiconductor exposure or a broader, actively steered technology allocation.

Columbia Seligman Semiconductor and Technology ETF (SEMI) Overview

SEMI is an actively managed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks long-term capital appreciation by investing primarily in semiconductor, semiconductor equipment, and related technology companies. Unlike an index fund, it does not track a published benchmark; portfolio managers use fundamental research to select holdings, and the fund operates under a semi-transparent (non-transparent) active ETF structure that discloses holdings less frequently than a conventional ETF. The portfolio typically holds roughly 30 to 50 securities.

Top holdings include NVDA, AVGO, AAPL, MSFT, LRCX, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). Notably, the inclusion of names such as Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), and Meta (META) means the fund is not a pure semiconductor product—it blends chipmakers with broader megacap technology franchises. Sector allocation is dominated by information technology, with a secondary tilt toward communication services. The expense ratio is 0.75%, and the fund is classified as non-diversified, meaning individual positions can be sized more aggressively.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Overview

SMH is a passively managed ETF that seeks to track the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, a market-capitalization-weighted index of the 25 largest US-listed semiconductor companies. Because the index applies no strict position cap, the fund carries a pronounced megacap tilt. The portfolio holds roughly 26 securities, all concentrated in the semiconductor value chain.

Top holdings include NVDA, TSM, AVGO, AMD, MU, TXN, KLAC, ASML, ADI, and AMAT. Sector exposure is essentially 100% semiconductors, with a small software sleeve tied to certain index constituents. The fund's expense ratio is 0.35%, significantly below SEMI, and it has operated since 2000, giving it a long track record, substantial assets under management (AUM), and deep liquidity. Rebalancing follows the index methodology on a scheduled basis rather than discretionary manager decisions.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds are shaped by the same powerful secular forces: AI-driven demand for graphics processing units and accelerators, expanding data center capital expenditure, and a recovering memory cycle. At the same time, the sector carries structural risks, including export-control restrictions on advanced chips, geopolitical tensions around Taiwan, and the semiconductor industry's well-known cyclicality. Recent market cycles have shown how quickly sentiment can shift between euphoria over AI infrastructure spending and concern about overcapacity or slowing orders. These dynamics drive fund performance in both directions, but they affect a concentrated pure-play product like SMH more directly than a diversified portfolio like SEMI.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, both ETFs have generally moved with the broader semiconductor trade, reflecting their shared heavy weighting to NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. However, relative positioning differs. SMH, with its larger concentration in megacap chipmakers and no diversification into software or consumer technology, tends to amplify both upside momentum and downside drawdowns during semiconductor-specific swings. SEMI's inclusion of Apple, Microsoft, and other non-chip technology giants has historically provided a modest buffer against chip-industry volatility, though its active management introduces idiosyncratic risk tied to stock selection. On a cost-adjusted and liquidity-adjusted basis, SMH has offered more efficient, higher-beta sector exposure, while SEMI has presented a more balanced but pricier alternative.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your semiconductor and technology watchlist.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors such as cost efficiency, liquidity, diversification profile, trend consistency, and sector momentum, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward SMH for investors seeking direct, low-cost semiconductor exposure. SMH's lower expense ratio, deeper liquidity, longer track record, and concentrated pure-play positioning make it a more efficient vehicle for capturing sector momentum. That said, for investors prioritizing reduced single-industry volatility and willing to accept higher fees and active-management risk, SEMI's broader technology mix may offer a more diversified risk profile. The appropriate choice depends on each investor's tolerance for concentration, cost sensitivity, and desired level of semiconductor beta.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
SEMI vs. SMH commentary
Oct 25, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SEMI is a Hold and SMH is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SEMI with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

SEMI in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026

SEMI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 35 of 37 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SEMI as a result. In 67 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SEMI turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 89%.

The 10-day moving average for SEMI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SEMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.14% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SEMI advanced for three days, in 295 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

SEMI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 249 of 276 cases where SEMI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SMH with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

SMH in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026

The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMH as a result. In 69 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMH turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.

SMH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in 328 of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SMH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 299 of 315 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SEMISMH
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 19 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 20 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
81%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
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SEMI
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Gain/Loss:
SMH
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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SEMI and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SEMI has been closely correlated with TSM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SEMI jumps, then TSM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SEMI
1D Price
Change %
SEMI100%
+0.36%
TSM - SEMI
83%
Closely correlated
+1.49%
GLW - SEMI
68%
Closely correlated
-0.24%
STM - SEMI
65%
Loosely correlated
-0.16%
ANET - SEMI
62%
Loosely correlated
+0.76%
PENG - SEMI
61%
Loosely correlated
+2.89%
More

SMH and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMH has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMH jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SMH
1D Price
Change %
SMH100%
+0.74%
LRCX - SMH
89%
Closely correlated
-0.02%
AMAT - SMH
86%
Closely correlated
+0.44%
KLAC - SMH
86%
Closely correlated
-1.50%
ASML - SMH
84%
Closely correlated
+0.72%
AMD - SMH
81%
Closely correlated
+1.74%
More