SH
Price
$32.86
Change
+$0.60 (+1.86%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
953.1M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SRTY
Price
$26.36
Change
+$1.28 (+5.10%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
67.42M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SH vs SRTY

SH vs SRTY Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 25, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? ProShares Short S&P500 (SH) vs. ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (SRTY)

Key Takeaways

  • SH delivers a single daily inverse (-1x) of the S&P 500, while SRTY provides triple daily inverse (-3x) exposure to the Russell 2000 small-cap index — two very different risk profiles.
  • Both are non-diversified, derivatives-based products that use swaps and futures rather than directly holding the underlying equities, and both reset daily.
  • SH targets large-cap U.S. equity risk; SRTY targets small-cap equity risk with roughly three times the daily magnitude and volatility.
  • Expense ratios are similar on the surface — about 0.89% for SH and 0.95% net for SRTY — but SRTY carries materially higher compounding and path-dependency risk over holding periods longer than a day.
  • SRTY is the far more aggressive instrument, suitable only for short-term tactical positioning, whereas SH is a more moderate single-inverse hedge.
  • Neither fund is a traditional buy-and-hold vehicle; both are designed for active, short-horizon traders.

Introduction

Investors comparing SH and SRTY are effectively weighing two inverse, or "short," equity strategies that share a family and a defensive purpose but diverge sharply in scale. Both are issued by ProShares and belong to the inverse-equity category, yet they do not compete directly: SH hedges against declines in large-cap U.S. stocks, while SRTY amplifies bets against small-cap stocks. This ETF comparison matters right now because market participants are increasingly debating sector exposure, valuation dispersion between large and small caps, and how best to hedge equity drawdowns in a shifting rate and growth environment. Understanding their structural differences is essential before choosing one for relative positioning.

ProShares Short S&P500 (SH) Overview

SH seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, corresponding to the inverse (-1x) of the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index. It is a passive, non-diversified fund that obtains exposure primarily through index swaps, S&P 500 futures, and U.S. Treasury bills held as collateral, rather than by shorting the 500 stocks directly. Its portfolio therefore lists a handful of derivative positions and cash instruments instead of conventional equity holdings; reported position counts typically range from roughly 10 to 20 lines, dominated by swap contracts with major counterparties and short-term Treasury bills.

Because its objective is expressed in large-cap terms, SH's effective sector profile mirrors the S&P 500's composition — heavily weighted toward information technology, financials, health care, and consumer discretionary — but in inverse form. The fund carries a net expense ratio of approximately 0.89%, making it relatively cost-efficient within the inverse-equity category. Launched in 2006, it offers strong liquidity and is widely used as a simple, single-inverse hedging tool. Its key constraint is the daily reset: performance over periods longer than one day can diverge from a simple -1x multiple of the index's cumulative return.

ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (SRTY) Overview

SRTY seeks daily investment results corresponding to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the Russell 2000 Index, a benchmark of roughly 2,000 of the smallest U.S.-listed public companies. It is a passive, non-diversified fund that achieves its leveraged inverse exposure through derivatives — principally total return swaps and futures — with the bulk of assets held as cash and collateral, including a money-market ETF and Treasury instruments. Reported holdings number roughly 10 to 20 positions, reflecting these derivative contracts rather than individual small-cap stocks.

Because its underlying index is small-cap oriented, SRTY's effective inverse exposure skews toward financials, industrials, health care, information technology, and consumer discretionary — sectors that tend to be more cyclical and rate-sensitive than large-cap benchmarks. The fund carries a net expense ratio of about 0.95% (gross expense ratio is higher before fee waivers). Inception was in 2010, and it has historically experienced reverse splits as a consequence of leveraged decay in trending markets. SRTY is best understood as a short-term tactical vehicle: over multi-day or multi-week horizons, compounding and daily rebalancing can cause returns to deviate substantially from -3x the index's cumulative move.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds sit at the intersection of equity-index directionality and monetary policy expectations. Inverse and leveraged-inverse products tend to attract capital when investors anticipate equity weakness, tighter financial conditions, or elevated volatility. In recent market cycles, attention has centered on interest-rate trajectories, inflation persistence, and earnings durability — themes that affect large-cap and small-cap indexes differently. Small caps generally carry more domestic revenue exposure, higher debt-servicing sensitivity, and thinner profitability cushions, making the Russell 2000 comparatively more reactive to rate and credit shifts than the S&P 500. This means SRTY's three-times inverse exposure amplifies not only small-cap directional moves but also the macro forces driving them, while SH offers a broader, more diversified hedge across the largest U.S. companies. Structural risks for both include daily-reset decay, counterparty exposure through swaps, and the inherent difficulty of timing short-side trades in a market with a long-term upward bias.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and months, the two funds have demonstrated very different volatility profiles. SH, at -1x the S&P 500, has moved in a relatively restrained band, tracking the inverse of large-cap equities — a function of the continued concentration of large-cap gains in a narrow set of mega-cap technology names. SRTY, by contrast, has shown far wider swings because its -3x exposure multiplies both daily gains and losses in the more volatile small-cap segment. In periods when the Russell 2000 has rallied on risk-on sentiment or easing-rate hopes, SRTY has suffered amplified declines; conversely, small-cap selloffs have produced outsized gains. This divergence underscores a central point of fund performance analysis: SH is better suited to measured hedging of broad-market large-cap risk, while SRTY is a high-octane tool for traders with strong short-term conviction on small-cap weakness. Long-horizon investors should recognize that both products are structurally biased to lose value in persistently rising markets.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to help identify trade ideas, trending names, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. For investors evaluating inverse and leveraged products like SH and SRTY, screening tools can add a layer of signal-based discipline to timing decisions. Explore the AI Screener to surface candidates that align with your current market outlook.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor SH as the more balanced choice for most risk-aware market participants. SH's single-inverse, large-cap profile offers a cleaner hedge with lower volatility, lower path-dependency risk, and a more diversified underlying exposure than SRTY's triple-inverse small-cap structure. While SRTY can deliver substantial short-term gains during sharp small-cap selloffs, its leveraged decay, reverse-split history, and elevated volatility make trend consistency and capital preservation more difficult over anything beyond a very short horizon. That said, for experienced traders with strong short-term conviction on Russell 2000 weakness, SRTY remains a legitimate tactical instrument. The AI's preference therefore reflects a probabilistic, risk-adjusted view rather than a prediction of absolute returns, and should not be interpreted as personalized investment advice.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
SH vs. SRTY commentary
Nov 02, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SH is a StrongBuy and SRTY is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SH with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

SH in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026

SH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 34 of 40 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SH as a result. In 57 of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SH just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where SH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

The 10-day moving average for SH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Following a +2.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SH advanced for three days, in 198 of 260 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 44 of 52 cases where SH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

SH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for SH entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SRTY with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

SRTY's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SRTY moved out of overbought territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 25 of the 25 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SRTY as a result. In 88 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SRTY turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SRTY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +7.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SRTY advanced for three days, in 246 of 269 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SRTY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 163 of 183 cases where SRTY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SHSRTY
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
88%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
78%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
71%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
76%
Bullish Trend 19 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
78%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
90%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
89%
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Daily Signal:
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