Global defense spending continues to influence capital allocation across the aerospace and defense sector, making targeted exchange-traded funds (ETFs) increasingly relevant for portfolio construction. The Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD) and the SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) provide distinct avenues for exposure within this theme. They do not compete directly but instead offer alternative strategies—one centered on defense technology innovation and the other on established aerospace and defense industry participants—allowing investors to align selections with specific risk, diversification, and growth objectives.
The Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD) seeks to track the Global X Defense Tech Index. It invests in companies positioned to benefit from defense technology adoption, encompassing cybersecurity systems, artificial intelligence, big data, and advanced military hardware such as robotics and aircraft. The fund maintains approximately 50 holdings and carries an expense ratio of 0.50%. Top positions typically include Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), RTX Corp. (RTX), General Dynamics Corp. (GD), Lockheed Martin Corp. (LMT), and Northrop Grumman Corp. (NOC). Sector exposure centers on industrials at about 89% with information technology comprising roughly 11%. As a passive, thematic, cap-weighted product, it delivers global reach with significant U.S. weighting alongside international defense technology firms.
The SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) tracks the S&P Aerospace & Defense Select Industry Index. It provides exposure to companies in the aerospace and defense segment of the S&P Total Market Index through a modified equal-weighted methodology that balances large-, mid-, and small-capitalization stocks. The fund holds approximately 48 securities and features a lower expense ratio of 0.35%. Holdings are more evenly distributed, with top positions often around 3% each, including names such as Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON), VSE Corp. (VSEC), RTX Corp. (RTX), and General Dynamics Corp. (GD). Nearly all assets reside in the industrials sector, with strong U.S. concentration. This passive approach supports targeted industry access without heavy concentration in any single issuer.
The aerospace and defense sector benefits from sustained government budgets and technological advancement amid evolving geopolitical dynamics. Key drivers include modernization of military systems, integration of artificial intelligence and cybersecurity solutions, and supply-chain resilience for commercial aerospace. Regulatory support for domestic manufacturing and export controls shapes capital flows, while interest rate environments and commodity costs influence profitability across the value chain. Risks encompass policy shifts in defense appropriations, supply disruptions, and competition from non-traditional entrants in emerging technologies. Both ETFs operate within this framework, though their differing emphases on tech innovation versus traditional hardware create varied sensitivities to these macro and sector-specific factors.
In recent market cycles, the two ETFs have exhibited distinct behaviors tied to their structural profiles. SHLD's emphasis on defense technology has aligned it with periods of heightened focus on digital capabilities and innovation spending, potentially amplifying returns during technology-driven rallies while introducing volatility from growth-oriented holdings. XAR's modified equal weighting and broader inclusion of mid- and small-cap aerospace names have supported more balanced participation across the industry, often resulting in lower concentration risk and steadier exposure during traditional defense procurement cycles. Relative positioning reflects trade-offs between concentrated thematic bets and diversified industry representation, with performance differentials arising from sector rotation patterns, earnings momentum in top holdings, and shifts in investor preference between pure-play defense contractors and technology-enabled solutions providers.
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.
Based on observable structural characteristics, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic preference to XAR due to its lower expense ratio, more balanced diversification across capitalization tiers, and established track record within the core aerospace and defense segment. SHLD remains compelling for investors seeking incremental exposure to defense technology themes, particularly where innovation and global reach align with portfolio goals. Selection ultimately depends on individual risk tolerance and thematic priorities rather than a definitive ranking.
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| SHLD | XAR | SHLD / XAR | |
| Gain YTD | -2.172 | 1.023 | -212% |
| Net Assets | 7.14B | 6.1B | 117% |
| Total Expense Ratio | 0.50 | 0.35 | 143% |
| Turnover | 32.79 | 33.00 | 99% |
| Yield | 0.65 | 0.31 | 205% |
| Fund Existence | 3 years | 15 years | - |
| SHLD | XAR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 88% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 88% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 90% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 72% | 5 days ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 90% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| PLTA | 20.69 | 1.25 | +6.41% |
| ProShares Ultra PLTR (PLTA) | |||
| VCV | 9.66 | 0.01 | +0.10% |
| INVESCO CALIFORNIA VALUE MUNI Income TRUST | |||
| GSEE | 69.01 | N/A | N/A |
| Goldman Sachs MarketBeta Emerging Markets Equity ETF (GSEE) | |||
| TFFI | 21.43 | -0.14 | -0.63% |
| Chesapeake Trend-Following Fixed Income ETF | |||
| MLPA | 55.85 | -0.64 | -1.13% |
| Global X MLP ETF (MLPA) | |||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHLD has been loosely correlated with KRMN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SHLD jumps, then KRMN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHLD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHLD | 100% | +0.80% | ||
| KRMN - SHLD | 66% Loosely correlated | -1.51% | ||
| NOC - SHLD | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| LHX - SHLD | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.15% | ||
| GD - SHLD | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| LMT - SHLD | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.38% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XAR has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XAR jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAR | 100% | +1.54% | ||
| CW - XAR | 76% Closely correlated | -0.04% | ||
| BWXT - XAR | 74% Closely correlated | -0.03% | ||
| KRMN - XAR | 71% Closely correlated | -1.51% | ||
| AIR - XAR | 70% Closely correlated | +3.09% | ||
| HEI - XAR | 68% Closely correlated | +1.61% | ||
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