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SJM vs TR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) vs. Tootsie Roll Industries (TR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- SJM has delivered stronger year-to-date returns compared to TR, with gains exceeding 26% versus approximately 15-17% for TR.
- Both companies operate in the consumer staples sector, with SJM focused on packaged foods including coffee and spreads, while TR specializes in confectionery products.
- Recent market activity shows SJM benefiting from broader sector resilience and upcoming earnings, whereas TR reported modest revenue pressure in its latest quarter.
- SJM exhibits higher market capitalization and liquidity, while TR maintains a more compact business model with potentially lower volatility exposure.
- Sentiment for both remains tied to consumer spending trends and input cost stability in the current market environment.
Introduction
This comparison examines SJM and TR to highlight differences in business focus, recent price behavior, and relative positioning within the consumer staples space. Investors and traders seeking exposure to defensive sectors, or those evaluating packaged food and confectionery names for portfolio balance, may find the analysis relevant. The review emphasizes observable performance metrics and market context over the recent period without forecasting outcomes.
SJM Overview and Recent Performance
The J. M. Smucker Company produces and markets a range of consumer packaged goods, including coffee, fruit spreads, peanut butter, and pet food. In recent weeks, the stock has shown positive momentum, with year-to-date returns surpassing 26% amid broader market gains in staples. Factors influencing performance include steady demand for core products and anticipation surrounding fiscal first-quarter results scheduled for late August. Relative stability in commodity costs has supported sentiment, though valuation multiples have drawn attention in market commentary.
TR Overview and Recent Performance
Tootsie Roll Industries manufactures and distributes confectionery items such as chewy candies and chocolate products. The stock has recorded year-to-date advances of roughly 15-17% during the recent period, reflecting moderate gains relative to broader indices. Recent quarterly results indicated slight revenue softness, yet the company continues to benefit from established brand loyalty and efficient operations. Market activity has remained measured, with price movements influenced by seasonal demand patterns and overall consumer discretionary spending levels.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
SJM operates a diversified portfolio across multiple food categories with larger scale and greater analyst coverage, contrasting with TR’s narrower focus on confectionery that offers potentially steadier margins but limited growth avenues. Recent momentum favors SJM on stronger year-to-date appreciation, while TR demonstrates resilience through consistent dividend history and lower share count volatility. Sector exposure overlaps in staples, yet SJM carries broader exposure to coffee and pet categories that may respond differently to inflation or supply-chain shifts. Risk factors include commodity price swings for both, with SJM facing higher visibility around earnings events and TR maintaining a more insulated profile due to its specialized product line.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on trend consistency and relative positioning observed in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI models would likely assign a higher probability of favorable near-term behavior to SJM given its stronger year-to-date trajectory and upcoming catalysts. TR presents a more stable but slower-moving profile that could appeal in defensive allocations. This assessment draws from observable performance differentials and sector dynamics rather than guarantees of future results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsTo compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SJM is a Hold and TR is a Hold.
| SJM | TR | SJM / TR | |
| Capitalization | 12.9B | 2.94B | 438% |
| EBITDA | 1.34B | 144M | 927% |
| Gain YTD | 27.666 | 9.849 | 281% |
| P/E Ratio | 56.61 | 30.62 | 185% |
| Revenue | 9.16B | 735M | 1,246% |
| Total Cash | 43.2M | 141M | 31% |
| Total Debt | 6.9B | 13.3M | 51,857% |
SJM | TR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 88 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 58 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 69 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SJM's Valuation (29) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TR (72). This means that SJM’s stock grew somewhat faster than TR’s over the last 12 months.
TR's Profit vs Risk Rating (58) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as SJM (86). This means that TR’s stock grew similarly to SJM’s over the last 12 months.
TR's SMR Rating (69) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as SJM (85). This means that TR’s stock grew similarly to SJM’s over the last 12 months.
SJM's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as TR (58). This means that SJM’s stock grew similarly to TR’s over the last 12 months.
TR's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as SJM (50). This means that TR’s stock grew similarly to SJM’s over the last 12 months.
| SJM | TR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 41% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 66% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SJM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- SJM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SJM’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TR’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SJM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
SJM (@Food: Major Diversified) experienced а -3.92% price change this week, while TR (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was +0.28% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -2.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.08%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.01%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +1.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.78%.
Reported Earning Dates
SJM is expected to report earnings on Dec 01, 2026.
TR is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Major Diversified (-2.77% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+1.17% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
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SJM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SJM has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SJM jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
TR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TR has been loosely correlated with KHC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TR jumps, then KHC could also see price increases.