SOXS
Price
$52.47
Change
-$0.98 (-1.83%)
Updated
Oct 23, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
3.54B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SPXS
Price
$25.21
Change
+$0.43 (+1.74%)
Updated
Oct 23, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
336.48M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SOXS vs SPXS

SOXS vs SPXS Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF (SOXS) vs. Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF (SPXS)

Key Takeaways

  • SOXS seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the inverse of the NYSE Semiconductor Index, providing targeted -3x exposure to the semiconductor sector.
  • SPXS seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the inverse of the S&P 500 Index, offering -3x exposure to the broad U.S. large-cap equity market.
  • Both ETFs employ derivatives such as swap agreements and futures to achieve leveraged inverse daily targets and reset exposure each trading day.
  • Expense ratios stand at 1.00% for SOXS and 1.04% for SPXS, reflecting the higher costs associated with leveraged and inverse strategies.
  • SOXS offers concentrated sector exposure to approximately 30 semiconductor companies, while SPXS provides diversified exposure across 500 large-cap U.S. companies.
  • These products suit short-term tactical use due to daily compounding effects and elevated volatility profiles compared with unleveraged inverse or long-only ETFs.

Introduction

SOXS and SPXS represent two distinct leveraged inverse strategies within the Direxion family, both designed for investors seeking amplified daily downside exposure. They do not compete directly but instead provide alternative bearish positioning: one focused on a high-volatility technology subsector and the other on the broader equity market benchmark. In the current market environment marked by sector rotation and macroeconomic uncertainty, these ETFs allow investors to express differentiated views on technology-specific versus market-wide declines without direct short selling.

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF (SOXS) Overview

SOXS tracks the NYSE Semiconductor Index, a rules-based, modified float-adjusted market-capitalization-weighted index of the 30 largest U.S.-listed semiconductor companies. The fund uses swap agreements, futures contracts, and short positions to deliver -300% of the index’s daily performance before fees and expenses. It maintains a non-diversified structure with holdings primarily consisting of cash equivalents and derivatives rather than individual equities. The expense ratio is 1.00%. Rebalancing occurs daily to maintain the target leverage, and the fund is structured as an open-ended ETF. Distinguishing features include its narrow focus on the semiconductor industry, which results in higher potential volatility tied to chip demand cycles, supply-chain dynamics, and technological innovation trends.

Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF (SPXS) Overview

SPXS tracks the S&P 500 Index, a market-capitalization-weighted benchmark of 500 leading U.S. large-cap companies across multiple sectors. Like SOXS, it employs derivatives including swaps to achieve -300% daily inverse exposure before fees and expenses. The fund holds cash instruments and swap positions rather than a full basket of underlying stocks. Its expense ratio is 1.04%. Daily rebalancing ensures the leverage target is reset each trading day. SPXS offers broad diversification across large-cap equities, making its performance sensitive to overall market sentiment, interest-rate expectations, and macroeconomic indicators rather than sector-specific events.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The semiconductor sector, central to SOXS, continues to experience volatility driven by artificial intelligence adoption, geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains, and fluctuating capital expenditure by chipmakers. Meanwhile, the broader S&P 500 tracked by SPXS reflects economy-wide factors including monetary policy, corporate earnings growth, and investor risk appetite. Capital flows into technology have influenced both products, while regulatory developments around trade and export controls add uncertainty to semiconductor valuations. Macroeconomic drivers such as interest-rate paths and inflation trends affect the entire equity market, with sector rotation potentially amplifying or dampening moves in concentrated versus diversified inverse exposures.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, SOXS has exhibited greater volatility than SPXS due to its concentrated semiconductor exposure, leading to more pronounced swings during technology-driven rallies or selloffs. SPXS, by contrast, has provided steadier inverse participation aligned with broad market movements. Over recent weeks and months, relative positioning has favored the broader benchmark inverse when market-wide corrections occur, while sector-specific weakness has amplified SOXS returns. Both products experience compounding effects from daily resets, making longer-term holding periods diverge from simple multiple of index returns. Liquidity remains robust for both, supporting tactical positioning amid shifting sector momentum and macroeconomic shifts.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on structural strength, cost efficiency, diversification profile, and risk exposure, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favor to SPXS. Its broader market exposure provides more consistent alignment with overall equity trends and potentially lower idiosyncratic sector risk compared with the concentrated semiconductor focus of SOXS, though both remain high-risk leveraged products suited only for sophisticated short-term strategies.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
SOXS vs. SPXS commentary
Oct 23, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SOXS is a Hold and SPXS is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SOXS with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

Momentum Indicator for SOXS turns positive, indicating new upward trend

SOXS saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 96 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 88 of the 96 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SOXS just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where SOXS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SOXS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SOXS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Following a +15.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SOXS advanced for three days, in 218 of 247 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SOXS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

SOXS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for SOXS entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SPXS with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

SPXS saw its Stochastic Oscillator peaks and leaves the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for SPXS moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 45 of the 48 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPXS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for SPXS entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPXS as a result. In 65 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPXS just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPXS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 48 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SPXS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPXS advanced for three days, in 224 of 263 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SOXSSPXS
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 10 days ago
85%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 19 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
N/A
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
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