SPEM
Price
$48.27
Change
-$0.37 (-0.76%)
Updated
Nov 3, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
16.38B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VWO
Price
$55.34
Change
-$0.36 (-0.65%)
Updated
Nov 3 closing price
Net Assets
119.81B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SPEM vs VWO

SPEM vs VWO Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 01, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? SPDR Portfolio Emerging Markets ETF (SPEM) vs. Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO)

Key Takeaways

  • SPEM and VWO are both low-cost, passively managed, broadly diversified emerging markets equity ETFs, but they track different indexes with meaningfully different holdings breadth.
  • VWO holds several thousand more stocks than SPEM and includes China A-shares, giving it broader, more granular diversification across emerging economies.
  • VWO carries a slightly lower expense ratio (0.06% vs. 0.07%) and substantially greater scale and liquidity, making it among the cheapest vehicles in its category.
  • Both funds are heavily weighted toward Taiwan and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., tying a large share of their returns to the semiconductor and artificial intelligence (AI) investment cycle.
  • Structural differences in index methodology mean SPEM offers slightly more concentrated large-cap exposure, while VWO spans the full market-capitalization spectrum.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on cost efficiency, diversification breadth, liquidity, and trend consistency, Tickeron's AI currently favors VWO.

Introduction

Emerging markets remain a focal point for investors seeking growth beyond developed economies, and choosing the right low-cost vehicle can meaningfully shape long-term outcomes. SPEM and VWO compete directly as core, market-capitalization-weighted emerging markets equity ETFs, offering similar broad exposure to the same underlying opportunity set. Despite their overlap, the two funds diverge in index construction, holdings count, China A-share inclusion, and liquidity. Understanding these structural differences is essential for investors comparing sector exposure, cost structure, and relative positioning before allocating capital.

SPDR Portfolio Emerging Markets ETF (SPEM) Overview

SPEM is a passively managed fund from State Street Global Advisors that seeks to track the performance of the S&P Emerging BMI Index, a float-adjusted, market-capitalization-weighted benchmark covering publicly traded companies domiciled in emerging markets. The fund holds roughly 2,700 securities and charges a net expense ratio of 0.07%.

Its largest positions include Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Tencent Holdings, Alibaba Group Holding, MediaTek, and Delta Electronics, reflecting a meaningful tilt toward Asian technology leaders. From a sector standpoint, SPEM allocates approximately one-third of assets to technology, with financials representing roughly one-fifth of the portfolio, followed by smaller weights in consumer discretionary and communication services. The fund excludes South Korea from its index universe and uses a physical replication approach, holding the underlying securities and depositary receipts that constitute the benchmark.

Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) Overview

VWO is Vanguard's flagship emerging markets ETF, tracking the FTSE Emerging Markets All Cap China A Inclusion Index. It employs a sampling approach to replicate a benchmark that spans large-, mid-, and small-cap companies and notably includes China A-shares, broadening access to mainland-listed Chinese equities. The fund holds well over 5,000 securities and charges one of the lowest fees in the category at 0.06%.

Its top holdings mirror the emerging markets opportunity set: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Tencent Holdings, Alibaba Group Holding, MediaTek, and Delta Electronics. Technology accounts for roughly 30% of the portfolio, financial services close to 19%, and consumer cyclical near 10%, with meaningful regional exposure to China, India, Taiwan, and Brazil. With assets well above $100 billion, VWO offers deep liquidity and tight trading spreads for institutional and retail investors alike.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within the diversified emerging markets equity landscape, where performance has been driven in recent cycles by a handful of powerful themes. The global AI buildout and semiconductor demand have lifted Taiwan-centric technology names, while China's evolving policy stance on stimulus and regulation continues to influence a large portion of index weight. India's structural growth story, currency dynamics tied to U.S. Federal Reserve rate expectations, and commodity-linked economies such as Brazil and Saudi Arabia add further layers of macro sensitivity.

Geopolitical risk remains a defining feature, particularly around Taiwan and U.S.-China trade relations, while a weakening U.S. dollar has historically acted as a tailwind for emerging market assets. Capital flows into emerging markets have been uneven, rotating between technology-heavy exposure and value-oriented sectors as investors weigh growth momentum against valuation and regulatory uncertainty.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and market cycles, SPEM and VWO have delivered broadly similar directional returns, a reflection of their overlapping top holdings and shared sensitivity to the same macro drivers. Both funds have benefited from strength in semiconductor leaders and from improving risk appetite across Asian equities. Relative positioning differences emerge from index construction: VWO's China A-share inclusion and larger small-cap component give it a broader, more diversified return profile, while SPEM's concentrated large-cap bias can amplify moves in its heaviest technology names.

On a cost-adjusted and liquidity basis, VWO holds structural advantages, while SPEM offers a slightly leaner, more focused exposure for investors who prefer fewer, larger holdings. Volatility in both funds has tracked emerging market benchmarks closely, with sector rotation between technology and financials shaping short-term relative performance.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. To refine your emerging markets research and uncover actionable ideas, explore the AI Screener today.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor VWO over SPEM. The assessment weighs VWO's marginally lower expense ratio, its substantially broader diversification across more than 5,000 holdings, its inclusion of China A-shares, and its superior scale and liquidity as advantages in most market environments. While SPEM remains an excellent, cost-efficient emerging markets vehicle, VWO's combination of cost efficiency, breadth, and relative positioning gives it a modest structural edge. This conclusion reflects probabilistic, model-driven analysis of fund characteristics rather than a forecast of short-term price movement.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
SPEM vs. VWO commentary
Nov 04, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SPEM is a Hold and VWO is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SPEM with price predictions
Nov 03, 2026

SPEM sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

SPEM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 07, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 48 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPEM as a result. In 62 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

SPEM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SPEM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPEM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The Aroon Indicator for SPEM entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 12 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +0.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPEM advanced for three days, in 261 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

SPEM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VWO with price predictions
Nov 03, 2026

VWO sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

VWO saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 08, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 82%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VWO as a result. In 67 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

VWO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VWO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VWO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator for VWO entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +0.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VWO advanced for three days, in 257 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

VWO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SPEMVWO
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
76%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
81%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
81%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
77%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
77%
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SPEM
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
VWO
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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SPEM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPEM has been closely correlated with JD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SPEM jumps, then JD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SPEM
1D Price
Change %
SPEM100%
-0.74%
JD - SPEM
71%
Closely correlated
+2.32%
BILI - SPEM
70%
Closely correlated
-2.37%
BIDU - SPEM
67%
Closely correlated
+0.09%
BABA - SPEM
67%
Closely correlated
-1.12%
BZUN - SPEM
64%
Loosely correlated
+1.58%
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