Analysis and predictions TMHC vs TOL
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TMHC is a Hold and TOL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TMHC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTOL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- TMHC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TOL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TMHC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TOL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- TMHC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TOL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
TMHC (@Homebuilding) experienced а -7.96% price change this week, while TOL (@Homebuilding) price change was -8.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -5.05%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.52%, and the average quarterly price growth was +31.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
TMHC is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2024.
TOL is expected to report earnings on May 21, 2024.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-5.05% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| TMHC | TOL | TMHC / TOL | |
| Capitalization | 6.51B | 13.3B | 49% |
| EBITDA | 1.12B | 1.89B | 59% |
| Gain YTD | 1.818 | 10.567 | 17% |
| P/E Ratio | 8.77 | 9.92 | 88% |
| Revenue | 7.42B | 10.2B | 73% |
| Total Cash | 799M | 755M | 106% |
| Total Debt | 2.1B | 2.85B | 74% |
TMHC | TOL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 65 Fair valued | 42 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | 98 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 17 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TOL's Valuation (42) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TMHC (65). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to TMHC’s over the last 12 months.
TOL's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TMHC (14). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to TMHC’s over the last 12 months.
TOL's SMR Rating (45) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TMHC (57). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to TMHC’s over the last 12 months.
TMHC's Price Growth Rating (94) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (98). This means that TMHC’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.
TMHC's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (17). This means that TMHC’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.
| TMHC | TOL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 77% | 21 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 73% |
TMHC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMHC has been closely correlated with KBH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TMHC jumps, then KBH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TMHC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMHC | 100% | -2.41% | ||
| KBH - TMHC | 89% Closely correlated | -2.07% | ||
| TOL - TMHC | 87% Closely correlated | -2.98% | ||
| PHM - TMHC | 85% Closely correlated | -1.77% | ||
| LEN - TMHC | 84% Closely correlated | -2.27% | ||
| CCS - TMHC | 84% Closely correlated | -2.11% | ||
More | ||||
TOL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOL has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOL jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.