TPZ
Price
$20.84Alerts
Change
-$0.05 (-0.24%)
Updated
Nov 13 closing price
Net Assets
117.26M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XLU
Price
$44.04Alerts
Change
+$0.23 (+0.52%)
Updated
Nov 13 closing price
Net Assets
23.67B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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TPZ vs XLU

TPZ vs XLU Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Tortoise Electrification Infrastructure ETF (TPZ) vs. Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU)

1) Key Takeaways

  • TPZ is an actively managed fund concentrated on energy and electrification infrastructure, blending regulated utilities with midstream energy names; XLU is a passive, market-cap-weighted portfolio tracking the Utilities Select Sector Index.
  • XLU is a pure-play utilities vehicle with roughly 98–100% of assets in the utilities sector, while TPZ splits exposure between utilities and energy infrastructure, historically weighting energy more heavily.
  • Cost structure differs sharply: XLU charges a 0.08% net expense ratio, whereas TPZ carries a 0.85% expense ratio reflective of active management and an income-oriented covered call strategy.
  • XLU is a large, highly liquid fund with tens of billions in assets and roughly 31–34 holdings; TPZ is a smaller, non-diversified vehicle with around 37–45 positions and materially lower trading volume.
  • Both funds share exposure to power-demand and electrification themes, but TPZ adds sensitivity to commodity and midstream cycles that XLU largely excludes.

2) Introduction

Utilities and energy infrastructure have become central to a defining investment narrative: rising electricity demand driven by data centers, reshoring of manufacturing, and electrification of the broader economy. These two funds capture that theme from very different angles. The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) offers low-cost, passive exposure to regulated and independent power producers, while the Tortoise Electrification Infrastructure ETF (TPZ) blends utility equities with pipeline and midstream energy names in an actively managed, income-focused wrapper. They do not compete directly; rather, they represent alternative exposures that can appeal to investors with different income needs, risk tolerances, and views on how the electrification trade will play out.

3) Tortoise Electrification Infrastructure ETF (TPZ) Overview

TPZ, formerly known as the Tortoise Power and Energy Infrastructure Fund, was renamed the Tortoise Electrification Infrastructure ETF in January 2026 following its conversion to an actively managed exchange-traded structure. The fund invests primarily in U.S. electrification and energy infrastructure, targeting companies engaged in power generation, transmission, distribution, pipelines, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities.

The portfolio holds roughly 37–45 positions and is non-diversified, meaning single-issuer concentration carries greater weight. Top holdings have recently included Targa Resources (TRGP), Cheniere Energy (LNG), Energy Transfer (ET), Williams Companies (WMB), Entergy (ETR), Constellation Energy (CEG), TC Energy (TRP), MPLX (MPLX), and ONEOK (OKE). Sector allocation spans utilities and energy, with a meaningful energy weighting that distinguishes it from pure utility funds. TPZ charges a 0.85% expense ratio and may employ a covered call strategy on select equity positions to enhance income.

4) Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) Overview

XLU is a passively managed ETF that seeks to track the Utilities Select Sector Index, a market-cap-weighted subset of the S&P 500 utilities sector. Launched in 1998 and sponsored by State Street, it is among the largest and most established utilities ETFs, holding roughly 31–34 large-cap positions and commanding tens of billions in assets with deep secondary-market liquidity.

Its top holdings center on regulated and independent power names, led by NextEra Energy (NEE), Southern Company (SO), Duke Energy (DUK), Constellation Energy (CEG), American Electric Power (AEP), Sempra (SRE), Dominion Energy (D), Entergy (ETR), Vistra (VST), and Xcel Energy (XEL). The portfolio is essentially 100% utilities, with the top ten holdings representing a substantial share of assets. The fund carries a 0.08% net expense ratio, making it one of the cheapest vehicles for broad utilities exposure.

5) Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds sit at the intersection of energy demand growth and electrification. Utilities have been re-rated as investors anticipate multi-year load growth from artificial intelligence data centers, electrified transport, and industrial reshoring, while independent power producers have attracted attention for their ability to supply power to large technology customers. At the same time, midstream and pipeline operators have benefited from resilient demand for natural gas and LNG, stable fee-based cash flows, and disciplined capital spending.

The primary macro variables affecting these funds are interest rates and regulatory policy. Because utilities are capital-intensive and often viewed as bond proxies, their valuations are sensitive to changes in long-term yields. TPZ adds commodity-linked and midstream exposure, making it more responsive to energy prices, pipeline volumes, and the LNG export cycle. Risks include rate volatility, permitting and grid-connection bottlenecks, and concentration in a handful of large power names.

6) Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, XLU has tended to behave as a lower-beta, defensive allocation, with a beta historically below the broader market. Its performance has tracked the utilities sector's re-rating around the power-demand theme, though its heavy weighting in regulated names means it captures less of the upside from volatile independent power producers. TPZ, by contrast, has shown a more hybrid profile, blending the stability of utilities with the cyclicality and higher distribution yields of midstream energy companies.

Relative positioning matters more than isolated price moves. TPZ's covered call strategy can generate income but may cap participation in sharp rallies, while its energy weighting introduces commodity sensitivity that XLU lacks. XLU offers cleaner, cheaper, and more liquid utilities exposure, whereas TPZ offers a differentiated income-oriented tilt toward electrification and energy infrastructure. Volatility in TPZ has generally been shaped by energy market moves and single-stock concentration, while XLU's risk profile is dominated by rate expectations and regulatory headlines.

7) AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps surface trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. If you want to evaluate funds like TPZ and XLU alongside the broader opportunity set, explore the AI Screener to identify candidates that match your specific criteria.

8) Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor XLU for most investors seeking broad, cost-efficient utilities exposure. Its 0.08% expense ratio, deep liquidity, passive index methodology, and pure-play sector focus offer a cleaner, lower-cost way to access the electrification and power-demand theme. TPZ's 0.85% expense ratio, non-diversified structure, commodity sensitivity, and covered call strategy introduce additional complexity and risk. That said, TPZ could be favored by income-oriented investors who specifically want midstream energy exposure and higher distributions, provided they accept the higher cost and concentration risk. The appropriate choice depends on whether an investor prioritizes cost efficiency and liquidity or differentiated income and energy infrastructure exposure.

9) Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
TPZ vs. XLU commentary
Nov 14, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TPZ is a Buy and XLU is a StrongBuy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TPZ with price predictions
Nov 13, 2026

TPZ sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

On November 11, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for TPZ moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 53 of the 57 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TPZ just turned positive on November 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where TPZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

TPZ moved above its 50-day moving average on November 11, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPZ advanced for three days, in 289 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

TPZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 267 of 313 cases where TPZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 85%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TPZ as a result. In 71 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

The 10-day moving average for TPZ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XLU with price predictions
Nov 13, 2026

XLU in -1.10% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on November 06, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where XLU declined for three days, in 210 of 244 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XLU moved out of overbought territory on November 03, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 28 of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 85%.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

XLU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

XLU moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XLU crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Following a +1.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLU advanced for three days, in 296 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 270 of 336 cases where XLU Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
TPZXLU
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
75%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
N/A
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
88%
N/A
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 13 days ago
86%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 10 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
86%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
80%
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TPZ and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPZ has been closely correlated with WMB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TPZ jumps, then WMB could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TPZ
1D Price
Change %
TPZ100%
-0.20%
WMB - TPZ
69%
Closely correlated
-0.50%
DTM - TPZ
68%
Closely correlated
+0.10%
TRP - TPZ
64%
Loosely correlated
+0.39%
ETR - TPZ
62%
Loosely correlated
-0.11%
VST - TPZ
61%
Loosely correlated
-1.12%
More

XLU and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLU has been closely correlated with PEG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLU jumps, then PEG could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XLU
1D Price
Change %
XLU100%
+0.52%
PEG - XLU
86%
Closely correlated
+1.44%
DTE - XLU
84%
Closely correlated
+0.37%
AEE - XLU
84%
Closely correlated
+1.10%
ETR - XLU
83%
Closely correlated
-0.11%
CMS - XLU
83%
Closely correlated
+1.68%
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