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TRGP vs WMB
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) vs. The Williams Companies, Inc. (WMB) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both TRGP and WMB operate in the U.S. midstream energy sector, primarily focused on natural gas gathering, processing, and transportation.
- Recent market activity shows both companies reporting strong first-quarter 2026 results with increased full-year outlooks and dividend declarations.
- TRGP has highlighted record adjusted EBITDA growth and raised its 2026 guidance more aggressively in recent updates.
- WMB maintains a consistent dividend policy and is positioned ahead of its second-quarter 2026 earnings release in early August.
- Sector exposure to rising energy demand supports both stocks, though relative performance hinges on commodity price stability and execution on expansion projects.
- Market sentiment remains constructive for midstream names amid broader infrastructure needs, with both tickers exhibiting resilience in recent weeks.
Introduction
Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) and The Williams Companies, Inc. (WMB) represent two leading players in the U.S. midstream energy infrastructure space. Investors and traders often compare these stocks due to their overlapping focus on natural gas value chains, similar exposure to domestic production growth, and roles in facilitating energy delivery. This analysis appeals to those seeking sector-specific insights, relative performance evaluation, and positioning within energy infrastructure portfolios amid evolving supply and demand dynamics.
TRGP Overview and Recent Performance
Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) is a major midstream provider specializing in natural gas gathering, processing, fractionation, and transportation, with significant operations in the Permian Basin and other key basins. In recent market activity, the company reported record first-quarter 2026 financial results, including adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion, up 19% year-over-year, alongside a raised full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook to $5.7–5.9 billion. Sentiment has been supported by operational expansions, such as the Falcon II plant, and a quarterly dividend increase to $1.25 per share (annualized $5.00). Broader performance reflects steady volume growth and favorable positioning in NGL and export markets.
WMB Overview and Recent Performance
The Williams Companies, Inc. (WMB) focuses on natural gas gathering, processing, and interstate pipeline transportation, serving key production regions and demand centers. Recent market activity includes robust first-quarter 2026 results with GAAP net income of $864 million (up 25% year-over-year) and adjusted EBITDA of $2.254 billion (up 13% year-over-year). The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.525 per share (annualized $2.10) and is scheduled to release second-quarter 2026 earnings in early August. Sentiment draws from sustained energy infrastructure demand and operational efficiency improvements highlighted in its latest sustainability report.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business model terms, both TRGP and WMB derive the majority of revenue from fee-based midstream services, reducing direct commodity price exposure compared with upstream producers. Growth drivers differ in emphasis: TRGP has accelerated Permian-focused expansions and NGL fractionation capacity, while WMB leverages its extensive pipeline network for long-haul transport. Recent momentum favors TRGP on the back of larger percentage EBITDA increases, whereas WMB offers more predictable dividend stability and a lower beta profile. Risk factors include regulatory hurdles for new infrastructure and volume sensitivity to producer activity; TRGP carries higher project-execution exposure, while WMB faces greater leverage considerations. Sector exposure remains aligned, yet market sentiment has rewarded TRGP’s volume growth narrative more visibly in recent weeks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in volume growth, stability of fee-based cash flows, and relative positioning within expansion catalysts, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to TRGP for near-term momentum. WMB remains competitive on dividend reliability and earnings visibility ahead of its upcoming report. Outcomes will depend on second-quarter execution and broader commodity environment stability.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TRGP is a StrongBuy and WMB is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TRGP’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileWMB’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- TRGP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- WMB’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TRGP’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WMB’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- TRGP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- WMB’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
TRGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а -0.50% price change this week, while WMB (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was +1.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was +3.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.18%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
TRGP is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
WMB is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (+3.39% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
| TRGP | WMB | TRGP / WMB | |
| Capitalization | 57.2B | 89.3B | 64% |
| EBITDA | 5.22B | 7.67B | 68% |
| Gain YTD | 46.786 | 23.288 | 201% |
| P/E Ratio | 25.51 | 29.10 | 88% |
| Revenue | 16.6B | 11.9B | 139% |
| Total Cash | 100M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 19.1B | 30.3B | 63% |
TRGP | WMB | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 31 Undervalued | 24 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 16 | 44 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 19 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WMB's Valuation (24) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as TRGP (31) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that WMB’s stock grew similarly to TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
WMB's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as TRGP (7) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that WMB’s stock grew similarly to TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
TRGP's SMR Rating (16) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as WMB (44) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry. This means that TRGP’s stock grew similarly to WMB’s over the last 12 months.
TRGP's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as WMB (51) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry. This means that TRGP’s stock grew similarly to WMB’s over the last 12 months.
TRGP's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as WMB (49) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry. This means that TRGP’s stock grew similarly to WMB’s over the last 12 months.
| TRGP | WMB | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 51% | 8 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 42% |
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TRGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TRGP has been closely correlated with OKE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TRGP jumps, then OKE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TRGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRGP | 100% | -0.67% | ||
| OKE - TRGP | 74% Closely correlated | +0.18% | ||
| KMI - TRGP | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.10% | ||
| AM - TRGP | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.72% | ||
| WMB - TRGP | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| DTM - TRGP | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.98% | ||
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