UGA
Price
$136.50
Change
+$2.74 (+2.05%)
Updated
Nov 3 closing price
Net Assets
157.15M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
USOI
Price
$44.09
Change
+$0.35 (+0.80%)
Updated
Nov 3 closing price
Net Assets
320.16M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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UGA vs USOI

UGA vs USOI Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? United States Gasoline Fund, LP (UGA) vs. ETRACS Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETN (USOI)

Key Takeaways

  • United States Gasoline Fund, LP (UGA) provides direct exposure to gasoline prices through near-month RBOB futures contracts on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), while ETRACS Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETN (USOI) delivers crude oil exposure via a covered call strategy on the United States Oil Fund, LP (USO).
  • UGA operates as a commodity pool with an expense ratio of approximately 0.97%, whereas USOI is structured as an exchange-traded note (ETN) with a lower expense ratio of 0.85% and generates monthly distributions from option premiums.
  • Both ETFs offer targeted energy commodity exposure but differ significantly in risk profiles: UGA exhibits higher volatility tied to gasoline futures rolls, while USOI caps upside potential through its covered call overlay in exchange for income generation.
  • UGA maintains minimal holdings focused on futures and collateral instruments, whereas USOI employs a synthetic strategy that combines crude oil price returns with notional short call positions for yield enhancement.
  • In the current commodity environment, UGA suits investors seeking pure gasoline price movements, while USOI appeals to those prioritizing income within the broader crude oil sector amid fluctuating energy prices.

Introduction

United States Gasoline Fund, LP (UGA) and ETRACS Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETN (USOI) represent distinct approaches to energy commodity investing. These ETFs do not compete directly for the same mandate but provide alternative exposures within the energy sector. UGA targets gasoline price dynamics through futures, while USOI combines crude oil tracking with a covered call mechanism. Investors comparing the two often seek to balance commodity price participation against income generation and volatility management in evolving energy markets.

United States Gasoline Fund, LP (UGA) Overview

United States Gasoline Fund, LP (UGA) is a passively managed commodity pool designed to track the daily percentage changes in the price of reformulated gasoline blendstock for oxygen blending (RBOB) gasoline. It primarily holds near-month NYMEX RBOB futures contracts, rolling positions as expiration approaches, supplemented by collateral in Treasury bills and money market instruments. The fund typically maintains a concentrated structure with one primary futures position alongside cash equivalents. Its expense ratio stands at approximately 0.97%. Distinguishing features include its focus on a single commodity without leverage and its partnership structure, which subjects returns to specific tax treatment.

ETRACS Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETN (USOI) Overview

ETRACS Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETN (USOI) is a passively managed exchange-traded note (ETN) that seeks returns linked to the Credit Suisse NASDAQ WTI Crude Oil FLOWS 106 Index. This index implements a covered call strategy on the United States Oil Fund, LP (USO), capturing crude oil price changes while selling monthly out-of-the-money call options on USO shares. The ETN structure results in one primary synthetic exposure rather than multiple holdings. It carries an expense ratio of 0.85% and distributes income monthly from option premiums. Key characteristics include its note issuer credit risk and emphasis on yield generation alongside moderated volatility compared to direct crude oil futures.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The energy commodities sector remains influenced by global supply dynamics, geopolitical developments, and demand patterns tied to transportation and industrial activity. Gasoline and crude oil prices respond to refinery utilization rates, inventory levels, and broader macroeconomic factors such as interest rate expectations and economic growth. Regulatory shifts in emissions standards and energy transition policies introduce additional considerations for long-term positioning. Capital flows into commodity-linked products have varied with inflation concerns and sector rotation, while risks include contango effects in futures markets and potential disruptions from weather or geopolitical events.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, United States Gasoline Fund, LP (UGA) has demonstrated sensitivity to gasoline-specific supply and demand shifts, often exhibiting pronounced moves during periods of elevated travel demand or refinery outages. ETRACS Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETN (USOI) has provided more tempered participation in crude oil trends due to its covered call overlay, which generates income but limits gains during strong upward moves. Relative positioning highlights UGA's higher beta to gasoline volatility versus USOI's focus on yield in sideways or moderately trending crude oil environments. Both have navigated commodity cycles influenced by broader energy sector rotation and macroeconomic shifts.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on structural strength, cost efficiency, diversification profile, trend consistency, sector momentum, and risk exposure, Tickeron’s AI would likely favor ETRACS Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETN (USOI) in the current environment. Its lower expense ratio, income-generating covered call strategy, and moderated volatility profile offer a probabilistic edge for investors seeking balanced commodity exposure with yield characteristics amid ongoing energy market fluctuations.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
UGA vs. USOI commentary
Nov 04, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is UGA is a StrongBuy and USOI is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for UGA with price predictions
Nov 03, 2026

UGA sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

On October 23, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for UGA moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 68 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 65 of the 68 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +0.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UGA advanced for three days, in 329 of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

UGA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UGA as a result. In 70 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

UGA moved below its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UGA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator for UGA entered a downward trend on October 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for USOI with price predictions
Nov 03, 2026

USOI in +0.72% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on October 30, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where USOI advanced for three days, in 321 of 361 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 279 of 331 cases where USOI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 84%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for USOI moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 78%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 49 of 68 cases where USOI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on USOI as a result. In 71 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for USOI turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 48 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where USOI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

USOI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
UGAUSOI
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
78%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
MACD
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
89%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 16 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 15 days ago
85%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
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