UGP
Price
$2.92
Change
+$0.04 (+1.39%)
Updated
May 9 closing price
Capitalization
6.18B
94 days until earnings call
VLO
Price
$122.93
Change
+$1.20 (+0.99%)
Updated
May 9 closing price
Capitalization
56.23B
74 days until earnings call
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UGP vs VLO

Header iconUGP vs VLO Comparison
Open Charts UGP vs VLOBanner chart's image
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
Price$2.92
Change+$0.04 (+1.39%)
Volume$2.13M
Capitalization6.18B
Valero Energy
Price$122.93
Change+$1.20 (+0.99%)
Volume$2.17M
Capitalization56.23B
UGP vs VLO Comparison Chart
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UGP
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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VLO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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UGP vs. VLO commentary
May 11, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is UGP is a Hold and VLO is a Buy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
May 11, 2025
Stock price -- (UGP: $2.92 vs. VLO: $122.93)
Brand notoriety: UGP: Not notable vs. VLO: Notable
Both companies represent the Oil Refining/Marketing industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: UGP: 101% vs. VLO: 57%
Market capitalization -- UGP: $6.18B vs. VLO: $56.23B
UGP [@Oil Refining/Marketing] is valued at $6.18B. VLO’s [@Oil Refining/Marketing] market capitalization is $56.23B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Oil Refining/Marketing] industry ranges from $73.66B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Oil Refining/Marketing] industry is $8.61B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

UGP’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileVLO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • UGP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
  • VLO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, both UGP and VLO are a bad buy in the long-term.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

UGP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VLO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • UGP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • VLO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, VLO is a better buy in the short-term than UGP.

Price Growth

UGP (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а -7.01% price change this week, while VLO (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was +3.36% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was +1.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.17%.

Reported Earning Dates

UGP is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2025.

VLO is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Oil Refining/Marketing (+1.69% weekly)

The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
VLO($56.2B) has a higher market cap than UGP($6.19B). UGP has higher P/E ratio than VLO: UGP (12.68) vs VLO (6.93). UGP YTD gains are higher at: 14.114 vs. VLO (1.096). VLO has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 15.1B vs. UGP (5.85B). VLO has higher revenues than UGP: VLO (145B) vs UGP (129B).
UGPVLOUGP / VLO
Capitalization6.19B56.2B11%
EBITDA5.85B15.1B39%
Gain YTD14.1141.0961,287%
P/E Ratio12.686.93183%
Revenue129B145B89%
Total CashN/A5.42B-
Total DebtN/A12.6B-
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
UGP vs VLO: Fundamental Ratings
UGP
VLO
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
7222
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
36
Fair valued
91
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
8234
SMR RATING
1..100
4383
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
6058
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
832
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
50n/a

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

UGP's Valuation (36) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for VLO (91). This means that UGP’s stock grew somewhat faster than VLO’s over the last 12 months.

VLO's Profit vs Risk Rating (34) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UGP (82). This means that VLO’s stock grew somewhat faster than UGP’s over the last 12 months.

UGP's SMR Rating (43) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for VLO (83). This means that UGP’s stock grew somewhat faster than VLO’s over the last 12 months.

VLO's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as UGP (60). This means that VLO’s stock grew similarly to UGP’s over the last 12 months.

VLO's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is significantly better than the same rating for UGP (83). This means that VLO’s stock grew significantly faster than UGP’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
UGPVLO
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
69%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
77%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
76%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
72%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
77%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
77%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
76%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
75%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
75%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
73%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
78%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
71%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
68%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
67%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
81%
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UGP
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
VLO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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UGP and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UGP has been closely correlated with CSAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UGP jumps, then CSAN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To UGP
1D Price
Change %
UGP100%
+1.39%
CSAN - UGP
69%
Closely correlated
-1.76%
DK - UGP
32%
Poorly correlated
+0.79%
CTXAY - UGP
28%
Poorly correlated
-2.10%
VVV - UGP
25%
Poorly correlated
-2.65%
BPT - UGP
24%
Poorly correlated
+1.48%
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