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UGP vs VVV
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is UGP is a Hold and VVV is a Buy.
Aroon Indicator for UGP shows an upward move is likely
UGP's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 08, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 303 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 248 of the 303 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 44 of 56 cases where UGP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +2.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UGP advanced for three days, in 221 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
UGP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for UGP moved out of overbought territory on October 13, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 66%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UGP as a result. In 53 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UGP turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UGP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 12 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.459) is normal, around the industry mean (4.919). P/E Ratio (2.379) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.476). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.150) is also within normal values, averaging (1.079). Dividend Yield (0.087) settles around the average of (0.057) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.276) is also within normal values, averaging (0.549).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 37, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UGP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
VVV in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
The 10-day moving average for VVV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 16 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where VVV's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 29 of 37 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VVV as a result. In 61 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VVV just turned positive on September 24, 2026. Looking at past instances where VVV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
VVV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VVV advanced for three days, in 177 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 82 of 192 cases where VVV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 43%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 50-day moving average for VVV moved below the 200-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VVV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
VVV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VVV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: VVV's P/B Ratio (9.686) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.288). P/E Ratio (39.537) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.262). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.104) is also within normal values, averaging (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.772) is also within normal values, averaging (0.919).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VVV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
UGP | VVV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 12 Undervalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 56 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UGP's Valuation (12) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is significantly better than the same rating for VVV (87) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that UGP’s stock grew significantly faster than VVV’s over the last 12 months.
UGP's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is significantly better than the same rating for VVV (100) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that UGP’s stock grew significantly faster than VVV’s over the last 12 months.
VVV's SMR Rating (35) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is in the same range as UGP (46) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that VVV’s stock grew similarly to UGP’s over the last 12 months.
UGP's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as VVV (56) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that UGP’s stock grew similarly to VVV’s over the last 12 months.
VVV's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is significantly better than the same rating for UGP (95) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that VVV’s stock grew significantly faster than UGP’s over the last 12 months.
| UGP | VVV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 5 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 76% | 12 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 8 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 43% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
UGP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while VVV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- UGP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- VVV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
UGP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VVV’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- UGP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- VVV’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
UGP (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а -0.77% price change this week, while VVV (@Automotive Aftermarket) price change was +0.54% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was -1.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +31.42%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -2.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.57%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.56%.
Reported Earning Dates
UGP is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
VVV is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil Refining/Marketing (-1.33% weekly)The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
@Automotive Aftermarket (-2.27% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
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UGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that UGP and VVV have been poorly correlated (+25% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that UGP and VVV's prices will move in lockstep.
VVV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VVV has been loosely correlated with CWH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if VVV jumps, then CWH could also see price increases.
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Alpha Architect International Quantitative Value ETF (IVAL) | |||
| LOPP | 35.38 | N/A | N/A |
| Gabelli Love Our Planet & People ETF (LOPP) | |||
| FFC | 14.37 | -0.01 | -0.03% |
| Flaherty & Crumrine Preferred and Income Securities Fund | |||
| SEMG | 27.80 | -0.17 | -0.59% |
| Suncoast Select Growth ETF | |||
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| Vanguard Morningstar Mid-Cap Growth ETF (VOT) | |||