UPS
Price
$110.00
Change
+$0.34 (+0.31%)
Updated
Mar 31, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
126.8B
29 days until earnings call
ZTO
Price
$19.83
Change
+$0.01 (+0.05%)
Updated
Mar 31, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
17.46B
44 days until earnings call
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UPS vs ZTO

Header iconUPS vs ZTO Comparison
Open Charts UPS vs ZTOBanner chart's image
United Parcel Service
Price$110.00
Change+$0.34 (+0.31%)
Volume$41.06K
Capitalization126.8B
ZTO Express (Cayman)
Price$19.83
Change+$0.01 (+0.05%)
Volume$23.25K
Capitalization17.46B
UPS vs ZTO Comparison Chart
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UPS
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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ZTO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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UPS vs. ZTO commentary
Mar 31, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is UPS is a Buy and ZTO is a Buy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Mar 31, 2025
Stock price -- (UPS: $109.66 vs. ZTO: $19.82)
Brand notoriety: UPS: Notable vs. ZTO: Not notable
Both companies represent the Air Freight/Couriers industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: UPS: 48% vs. ZTO: 60%
Market capitalization -- UPS: $126.8B vs. ZTO: $17.46B
UPS [@Air Freight/Couriers] is valued at $126.8B. ZTO’s [@Air Freight/Couriers] market capitalization is $17.46B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Air Freight/Couriers] industry ranges from $126.8B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Air Freight/Couriers] industry is $13.19B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

UPS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileZTO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • UPS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • ZTO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, both UPS and ZTO are a good buy in the long-term.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

UPS’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ZTO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • UPS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • ZTO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, UPS is a better buy in the short-term than ZTO.

Price Growth

UPS (@Air Freight/Couriers) experienced а -4.73% price change this week, while ZTO (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was -1.15% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was -0.92%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.37%.

Reported Earning Dates

UPS is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2025.

ZTO is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Air Freight/Couriers (-0.92% weekly)

The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
UPS($127B) has a higher market cap than ZTO($17.5B). UPS has higher P/E ratio than ZTO: UPS (18.93) vs ZTO (14.44). ZTO YTD gains are higher at: 1.381 vs. UPS (-11.793). UPS has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 12.7B vs. ZTO (10.7B). ZTO has more cash in the bank: 16.9B vs. UPS (6.07B). ZTO has less debt than UPS: ZTO (17.5B) vs UPS (26.7B). UPS has higher revenues than ZTO: UPS (91B) vs ZTO (37.7B).
UPSZTOUPS / ZTO
Capitalization127B17.5B726%
EBITDA12.7B10.7B119%
Gain YTD-11.7931.381-854%
P/E Ratio18.9314.44131%
Revenue91B37.7B241%
Total Cash6.07B16.9B36%
Total Debt26.7B17.5B153%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
UPS vs ZTO: Fundamental Ratings
UPS
ZTO
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
5050
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
42
Fair valued
28
Undervalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
68100
SMR RATING
1..100
2955
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
6257
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
6249
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
n/an/a

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

ZTO's Valuation (28) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as UPS (42). This means that ZTO’s stock grew similarly to UPS’s over the last 12 months.

UPS's Profit vs Risk Rating (68) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as ZTO (100). This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

UPS's SMR Rating (29) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as ZTO (55). This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

ZTO's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as UPS (62). This means that ZTO’s stock grew similarly to UPS’s over the last 12 months.

ZTO's P/E Growth Rating (49) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as UPS (62). This means that ZTO’s stock grew similarly to UPS’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
UPSZTO
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
55%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
75%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
58%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
66%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
52%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
80%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
61%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
69%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
52%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
74%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
48%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
64%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
61%
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
68%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 11 days ago
53%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
72%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
59%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
72%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
47%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
57%
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UPS
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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ZTO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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ZTO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that ZTO and XPO have been poorly correlated (+33% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that ZTO and XPO's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ZTO
1D Price
Change %
ZTO100%
-1.93%
XPO - ZTO
33%
Poorly correlated
-5.41%
UPS - ZTO
26%
Poorly correlated
-1.22%
FDX - ZTO
21%
Poorly correlated
-0.91%
PBI - ZTO
20%
Poorly correlated
-2.41%
EXPD - ZTO
20%
Poorly correlated
-0.46%
More