UPS
Price
$84.35
Change
-$0.30 (-0.35%)
Updated
Sep 12 closing price
Capitalization
71.49B
43 days until earnings call
ZTO
Price
$19.06
Change
-$0.28 (-1.45%)
Updated
Sep 12 closing price
Capitalization
15.31B
71 days until earnings call
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UPS vs ZTO

Header iconUPS vs ZTO Comparison
Open Charts UPS vs ZTOBanner chart's image
United Parcel Service
Price$84.35
Change-$0.30 (-0.35%)
Volume$5.55M
Capitalization71.49B
ZTO Express (Cayman)
Price$19.06
Change-$0.28 (-1.45%)
Volume$792.27K
Capitalization15.31B
UPS vs ZTO Comparison Chart in %
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UPS
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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ZTO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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UPS vs. ZTO commentary
Sep 15, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is UPS is a Hold and ZTO is a Hold.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Sep 15, 2025
Stock price -- (UPS: $84.35 vs. ZTO: $19.06)
Brand notoriety: UPS: Notable vs. ZTO: Not notable
Both companies represent the Other Transportation industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: UPS: 69% vs. ZTO: 39%
Market capitalization -- UPS: $71.49B vs. ZTO: $15.31B
UPS [@Other Transportation] is valued at $71.49B. ZTO’s [@Other Transportation] market capitalization is $15.31B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Other Transportation] industry ranges from $71.49B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Other Transportation] industry is $8.83B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

UPS’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileZTO’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).

  • UPS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
  • ZTO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
According to our system of comparison, UPS is a better buy in the long-term than ZTO.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

UPS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ZTO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • UPS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
  • ZTO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, UPS is a better buy in the short-term than ZTO.

Price Growth

UPS (@Other Transportation) experienced а -0.81% price change this week, while ZTO (@Other Transportation) price change was +3.93% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was +1.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.09%.

Reported Earning Dates

UPS is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2025.

ZTO is expected to report earnings on Nov 25, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Other Transportation (+1.97% weekly)

Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
UPS($71.5B) has a higher market cap than ZTO($15.3B). ZTO (12.79) and UPS (12.55) have similar P/E ratio . ZTO YTD gains are higher at: -0.555 vs. UPS (-29.733). UPS (11.8B) and ZTO (11.8B) have comparable annual earnings (EBITDA) . ZTO has more cash in the bank: 26.5B vs. UPS (6.29B). ZTO has less debt than UPS: ZTO (18.9B) vs UPS (28.9B). UPS has higher revenues than ZTO: UPS (90.3B) vs ZTO (46.3B).
UPSZTOUPS / ZTO
Capitalization71.5B15.3B467%
EBITDA11.8B11.8B100%
Gain YTD-29.733-0.5555,353%
P/E Ratio12.5512.7998%
Revenue90.3B46.3B195%
Total Cash6.29B26.5B24%
Total Debt28.9B18.9B153%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
UPS vs ZTO: Fundamental Ratings
UPS
ZTO
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
119
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
27
Undervalued
70
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
100100
SMR RATING
1..100
2756
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
6460
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
9069
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
5050

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

UPS's Valuation (27) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ZTO (70). This means that UPS’s stock grew somewhat faster than ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

UPS's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as ZTO (100). This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

UPS's SMR Rating (27) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as ZTO (56). This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

ZTO's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as UPS (64). This means that ZTO’s stock grew similarly to UPS’s over the last 12 months.

ZTO's P/E Growth Rating (69) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as UPS (90). This means that ZTO’s stock grew similarly to UPS’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
UPSZTO
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
65%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
65%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
63%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
74%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
54%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
70%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
61%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
71%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
53%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
64%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
49%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
68%
Advances
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
67%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 21 days ago
54%
Bearish Trend 14 days ago
70%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
59%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
74%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
55%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
60%
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UPS
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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ZTO
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ZTO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that ZTO and XPO have been poorly correlated (+33% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that ZTO and XPO's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ZTO
1D Price
Change %
ZTO100%
-1.45%
XPO - ZTO
33%
Poorly correlated
-3.13%
EXPD - ZTO
28%
Poorly correlated
+0.13%
FDX - ZTO
27%
Poorly correlated
+0.32%
UPS - ZTO
23%
Poorly correlated
-0.35%
GXO - ZTO
22%
Poorly correlated
-1.03%
More