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XPO vs ZTO
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is XPO is a Buy and ZTO is a Hold.
Aroon Indicator for XPO shows an upward move is likely
XPO's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 28, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 218 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 187 of the 218 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XPO as a result. In 66 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
XPO moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for XPO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +6.36% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPO advanced for three days, in 220 of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
XPO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 46 of 67 cases where XPO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XPO turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XPO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: XPO's P/B Ratio (10.560) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.749). P/E Ratio (51.439) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.505). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.707) is also within normal values, averaging (12.936). XPO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.010). P/S Ratio (2.421) is also within normal values, averaging (2.068).
Aroon Indicator for ZTO shows an upward move is likely
ZTO's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 10, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 193 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 129 of the 193 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ZTO as a result. In 59 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
ZTO moved above its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ZTO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
Following a +1.12% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZTO advanced for three days, in 184 of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 61 cases where ZTO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZTO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
ZTO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 36 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.246) is normal, around the industry mean (2.483). P/E Ratio (1.579) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.339). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.001) is also within normal values, averaging (5.110). ZTO's Dividend Yield (0.074) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.020). P/S Ratio (2.023) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ZTO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ZTO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
XPO | ZTO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 34 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 90 Overvalued | 36 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ZTO's Valuation (36) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XPO (90) in the Trucking industry. This means that ZTO’s stock grew somewhat faster than XPO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Trucking industry is significantly better than the same rating for ZTO (100) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew significantly faster than ZTO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's SMR Rating (45) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ZTO (53) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to ZTO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ZTO (58) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to ZTO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's P/E Growth Rating (41) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ZTO (97) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew somewhat faster than ZTO’s over the last 12 months.
| XPO | ZTO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 6 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 67% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
XPO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while ZTO’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- XPO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ZTO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
XPO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ZTO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- XPO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ZTO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
XPO (@Trucking) experienced а -1.54% price change this week, while ZTO (@Other Transportation) price change was +1.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -2.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.98%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was +0.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was -27.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
XPO is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
ZTO is expected to report earnings on Nov 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucking (-2.38% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
@Other Transportation (+0.53% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
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XPO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPO has been closely correlated with FWRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPO jumps, then FWRD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XPO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPO | 100% | +0.10% | ||
| FWRD - XPO | 75% Closely correlated | +3.85% | ||
| GXO - XPO | 71% Closely correlated | -1.36% | ||
| HUBG - XPO | 70% Closely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| SNDR - XPO | 69% Closely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| JBHT - XPO | 68% Closely correlated | +0.87% | ||
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ZTO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that ZTO and XPO have been poorly correlated (+33% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that ZTO and XPO's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ZTO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZTO | 100% | -0.82% | ||
| XPO - ZTO | 33% Poorly correlated | +0.10% | ||
| LSTR - ZTO | 22% Poorly correlated | -0.52% | ||
| HUBG - ZTO | 20% Poorly correlated | -1.01% | ||
| PAL - ZTO | 20% Poorly correlated | -4.44% | ||
| GXO - ZTO | 16% Poorly correlated | -1.36% | ||
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