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BigBearai Holdings (BBAI) Earnings Date & Reports

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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

BBAI is expected to report earnings to fall 25.00% to -4 cents per share on March 11

BigBearai Holdings BBAI Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'26
Est.
$-0.05
Q3'26
Est.
$-0.06
Q2'26
Est.
$-0.05
Q1'26
Missed
by $0.04
Q4'25
Beat
by $0.06
The last earnings report on October 27 showed earnings per share of -5 cents, meeting the estimate of -5 cents. With 8.72M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 1.06B.
A.I.Advisor
Oct 27, 2026

BigBear.ai (BBAI) Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Recap: Growth Accelerates as Guidance Moves Higher

Key Takeaways

  • Revenue rose 31% year over year to $43.6 million, marking a third consecutive quarter of organic growth.
  • Gross margin expanded by 878 basis points (8.78 percentage points) to 31.2%, driven by the Generative AI Platform acquired with Ask Sage.
  • A $76.7 million non-cash goodwill impairment pushed the company to a net loss of $91.9 million, or $0.19 per diluted share.
  • Management raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $150 million to $165 million, up from the prior $135 million to $165 million.
  • The company added more than 25 new contracts worth over $225 million since the prior quarter, and backlog grew 22% to $330 million.
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Earnings Context and Why It Matters

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: BBAI) is a specialized defense and security technology company delivering mission-ready artificial intelligence to national security and trade-and-travel customers. Its third quarter report matters because it tests whether the company can sustain accelerating revenue growth while narrowing losses in a competitive AI-for-defense market. Coming off double-digit growth in the prior quarter and a strengthened balance sheet, investors were watching closely to see whether recent federal contract wins would convert into revenue and whether management would adjust its full-year outlook. The results offer a read on demand for generative AI tools across agencies such as the FBI, U.S. Coast Guard, and Department of Energy, making this a key checkpoint for the company's broader growth story.

Reported Results

BigBear.ai reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $43.6 million, up 31% from $33.1 million in the same period last year and ahead of consensus estimates near $39 million. This marked the company's third straight quarter of organic growth, with management attributing the increase primarily to its Generative AI Platform, acquired through Ask Sage in December 2025.

Gross margin expanded to 31.2% from 22.4% a year earlier. However, the company recorded a non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $76.7 million, or $0.16 per share, which drove a net loss of $91.9 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, compared with net income of $2.5 million in the prior-year quarter. On a non-GAAP basis, Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, excluding certain items) improved to a loss of $9.1 million from a loss of $9.4 million.

Management raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to between $150 million and $165 million, up from $135 million to $165 million, representing the first revenue guidance increase in the company's history.

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Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment

Initial trading suggested a mixed reception. Despite the revenue beat and raised guidance, BigBear.ai shares moved lower in after-hours trading, falling roughly 4% as investors weighed the wider net loss against the underlying operational strength. The non-cash goodwill impairment, while not affecting cash flow, appeared to temper enthusiasm and raised questions about the valuation of past acquisitions.

Sentiment remained anchored by the company's accelerating revenue and expanding backlog, which reached $330 million. The improved guidance signaled management's confidence in near-term pipeline conversion, though the stock's reaction reflected caution over continued GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) losses and the pace of progress toward profitability.

Forward Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor

Looking ahead, investors will focus on whether BigBear.ai can sustain its revenue momentum into the fourth quarter and hit the midpoint of its newly raised guidance, which would imply roughly 23% growth for the full year. Contract execution and the conversion of backlog into recognized revenue will be central themes, particularly as recent wins across homeland security and national security programs ramp up.

Margin trends also remain important. The company has demonstrated consistent gross margin expansion, and further improvement would support the path toward positive Adjusted EBITDA. At the same time, rising selling, general, and administrative expenses tied to headcount and sales investments will need to be monitored against revenue growth.

Finally, management has signaled interest in mergers and acquisitions to accelerate capabilities and scale, while holding nearly $400 million in cash and investments. Any strategic activity, along with broader federal budget and procurement dynamics, represents a key catalyst to watch in the quarters ahead.

Disclaimer

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