COWZ stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
The investment seeks to track the total return performance, before fees and expenses, of the Pacer U... Show more
Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) ETF Analysis: Free Cash Flow Leadership in a Rotating Market
Key Takeaways
- COWZ is a passively managed ETF that tracks a rules-based index of roughly 100 large- and mid-cap U.S. companies with high free cash flow (FCF) yields.
- The fund's portfolio skews toward Technology, Healthcare, and Energy, with meaningful exposure to Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples.
- Over the trailing 30 days, COWZ gained about 2.6%, while its three-month trend remained broadly range-bound.
- Energy-related holdings and select cash-generative technology and healthcare names have been the most notable contributors to recent ETF performance.
- The fund's value and free-cash-flow orientation provides a defensive tilt but can lag in momentum-driven growth markets.
- For additional detail on this ticker, explore Price Targets and Forecast pages.
- Discover Trending AI Robots to explore AI-driven trading strategies.
Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) Overview
The Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ) seeks to track the total return performance, before fees and expenses, of the Pacer US Cash Cows 100 Index. The index applies an objective, rules-based methodology that selects large- and mid-capitalization U.S. companies with high free cash flow yields—firms often described as "cash cows." Rather than weighting by market capitalization, the underlying index weights constituents by free cash flow, which gives the portfolio a distinct value and profitability tilt.
The fund holds approximately 100–103 securities and carries a net expense ratio of 0.49%. It is a passively managed, diversified equity ETF, with the vast majority of assets allocated to U.S. equities. Sector exposure is concentrated in Technology (roughly 23%), Healthcare (about 20%), and Energy (approximately 16–20%), followed by Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Communication Services, and Industrials. Notable top holdings include VLO, MPC, ACN, COP, CVX, QCOM, MO, and PFE, among others.
Industry and Thematic Landscape
COWZ operates at the intersection of value investing and cash-flow quality, two themes that have shaped broader market behavior in recent months. The fund's sizable Energy allocation links it closely to oil and refined-product markets, where integrated and refining companies such as Valero, Marathon Petroleum, ConocoPhillips, and Chevron generate substantial free cash flow. Meanwhile, its Technology and Healthcare exposures anchor the portfolio in mature, cash-generative franchises rather than early-stage growth names.
The macroeconomic backdrop remains a key influence on sector exposure. Persistent inflation dynamics, the path of Federal Reserve interest-rate policy, and corporate earnings cycles all affect how investors rotate between value and growth styles. When capital favors high-multiple growth stocks, cash-flow-oriented strategies can underperform; when investors emphasize balance-sheet strength, share buybacks, and dividends, the free-cash-flow factor tends to attract inflows.
Performance and Positioning Snapshot
COWZ's recent ETF price movement has been measured rather than volatile. Over the trailing 30 days, the fund advanced roughly 2.6%, reflecting a gradual recovery from a late-September pullback. The broader three-month trend has been largely range-bound, with the fund trading between approximately $66 and $72 as gains accumulated through late August gave way to a September decline and a subsequent rebound into November.
This performance pattern reflects the interplay of several positioning drivers. Energy holdings, which represent a meaningful share of the portfolio, have been a source of relative strength amid firm commodity and refining conditions. Select cash-generative technology and healthcare names have also provided ballast, while the absence of dedicated Financials and Utilities exposure distinguishes the fund from broader value benchmarks. Because COWZ weights by free cash flow rather than market capitalization, its performance can diverge meaningfully from cap-weighted indexes during periods of sector rotation.
AI Screener
Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery platform that helps investors scan thousands of securities using technical indicators, fundamentals, volatility measures, AI-generated signals, market trends, price patterns, and customizable filters. It is designed to surface trending securities, breakout candidates, and new trading opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. For investors seeking to complement their ETF analysis with a data-driven approach to security selection, the AI Screener offers a practical way to refine watchlists and monitor shifting market conditions.
2026 Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor
Several structural factors are likely to influence COWZ through 2026. The trajectory of inflation and Federal Reserve policy will remain central, as changes in interest-rate expectations directly affect the relative appeal of free-cash-flow and value strategies. Energy markets—including crude prices, refining margins, and capital-discipline decisions among major integrated and independent producers—will continue to drive a meaningful portion of portfolio performance.
Earnings cycles across Technology and Healthcare holdings, along with capital-allocation trends such as buybacks and dividends, represent additional factors to monitor. Investors should also watch for shifts in style rotation, changes in sector leadership, and ETF competition, as well as any policy or regulatory developments affecting energy, healthcare, and technology. These themes, rather than short-term price swings, are likely to shape the fund's positioning and returns in the months ahead.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
COWZ sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
On November 10, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for COWZ moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 52 of the 57 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
COWZ moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for COWZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +0.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COWZ advanced for three days, in 271 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
COWZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 270 of 338 cases where COWZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for COWZ moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 33 of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 85%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COWZ as a result. In 68 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COWZ turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COWZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
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