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QCOM stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Qualcomm develops and licenses wireless technology and designs chips for smartphones... Show more

A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I.Advisor
Nov 07, 2026

Qualcomm (QCOM) Stock Analysis: Smartphone Slump Meets an AI Data Center Ramp

Key Takeaways

  • Qualcomm shares traded near $165 in early November 2026, down roughly 6% over the trailing 30-day period after a stretch of elevated volatility.
  • Fiscal Q4 2026 results, reported on November 4, topped revenue estimates but a softer profit outlook weighed on sentiment.
  • Handset chip revenue fell 26% year over year as rising memory prices pressured smartphone demand, while Apple's modem transition remains an overhang.
  • Automotive revenue jumped 89% year over year to a quarterly record, and the data center business entered its commercialization phase.
  • Renewed licensing agreements and new AI data center and connectivity partnerships anchor Qualcomm's diversification strategy.
  • For deeper analysis, explore Qualcomm's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
  • Discover AI-driven trading strategies at Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page.

Current Market Snapshot

Qualcomm (QCOM) has been trading well below its 52-week high as investors weigh a contracting smartphone business against accelerating growth in automotive, IoT, and data center segments. Over the trailing 30 days, the stock declined about 6%, with sharp single-session swings around its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings release and broader semiconductor-sector volatility. The shares settled near $165 after falling more than 10% in a single session amid the earnings reaction and a midterm-election-driven pullback in AI infrastructure names.

Qualcomm (QCOM) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Qualcomm is a global semiconductor and wireless-technology company best known for its Snapdragon mobile processors and modem chips, which power a large share of Android smartphones. The company operates two core segments: QCT (Qualcomm CDMA Technologies), which sells chips across handsets, automotive, and IoT, and QTL (Qualcomm Technology Licensing), which monetizes a broad intellectual-property and patent portfolio through licensing.

Investors follow QCOM because of its dominant position in mobile connectivity and its expanding reach into adjacent markets. Automotive, where the Snapdragon Digital Chassis supports advanced driver-assistance and cockpit systems, and data center, where Qualcomm is building custom AI accelerators and high-speed connectivity, represent the company's most-watched growth engines. Key competitive strengths include a durable licensing business, deep design-win momentum, and a growing roster of hyperscaler and enterprise customers.

Recent Developments Driving QCOM

Qualcomm's fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 report, released on November 4, framed the stock's recent move. Non-GAAP revenue of about $10.44 billion declined 8% year over year but came in above consensus, while non-GAAP earnings per share of $2.17 fell 28% year over year and narrowly exceeded estimates. The reaction was driven more by guidance than by the headline beat: first-quarter fiscal 2027 EPS guidance of $2.15 to $2.35 (midpoint $2.25) landed below analyst expectations.

The biggest pressure point remains handsets. Handset chip revenue of roughly $5.14 billion fell 26% year over year, below Wall Street forecasts, as a surge in memory prices—fueled by AI data center demand—raised device costs and dampened smartphone purchasing. Counterpoint Research data showed global smartphone shipments dropped 20% in the September quarter, a 14-year low. Qualcomm has raised product prices to offset higher input costs, but management indicated the full margin benefit will not materialize until the second half of fiscal 2027.

Offsetting that weakness, automotive revenue climbed 89% year over year to a record of about $1.99 billion, and IoT revenue rose 4%. The company said it had renewed long-term licensing agreements with Apple, Huawei, and Transsion, providing stability for its QTL segment. It also cited a multi-generation AI data center partnership with Amazon and a multi-year 5G agreement to support SpaceX's planned Starlink Mobile network. Management reiterated a $5 billion data center revenue target for fiscal 2027 and signaled that Q1 fiscal 2027 guidance no longer includes incremental Apple revenue.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Heading into 2026's final stretch and fiscal 2027, the central question for Qualcomm is whether non-handset growth can offset a shrinking smartphone franchise quickly enough. Investors will monitor handset revenue trends, particularly signs of a sequential Android recovery in China and the pace of the Apple modem transition. Memory pricing, input-cost inflation, and the timing of price-increase pass-throughs will remain key swing factors for QCT margins.

On the growth side, the data center ramp is a primary catalyst. Analysts will track the initial contribution from custom silicon and connectivity programs, progress toward the fiscal 2027 revenue target, and any additional hyperscaler customer wins. Automotive design-win momentum, the durability of QTL licensing revenue into the 6G era, and the company's ability to manage rising capital expenditures and inventory levels are also worth watching. Competitive pressures in AI silicon from players such as NVIDIA and AMD remain part of the broader landscape.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for QCOM with price predictions
Nov 06, 2026

QCOM in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026

QCOM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 29 of 37 cases where QCOM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 62 cases where QCOM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Following a +6.86% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QCOM advanced for three days, in 215 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QCOM as a result. In 58 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for QCOM turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.

QCOM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for QCOM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QCOM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator for QCOM entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. QCOM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.388) is normal, around the industry mean (5.436). P/E Ratio (18.733) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.192). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.832) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.513) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

QCOM is expected to pay dividends on December 17, 2026

QUALCOMM QCOM Stock Dividends
A quarterly dividend of $0.92 per share will be paid with a record date of December 17, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of December 03, 2026. The last dividend of $0.92 was paid on September 24. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 178.29B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 86.8K to 4.51T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.51T. The lowest valued company is STRB at 86.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -10%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -28%, and the average quarterly price growth was -32%. LSCC experienced the highest price growth at 13%, while MRVL experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -26%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 74% and the average quarterly volume growth was -49%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 71
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 22 (-100 ... +100)