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Kodiak AI (KDK) Earnings Date & Reports

Kodiak AI Inc is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI)-powered autonomous vehicle technology... Show more

A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

KDK is expected to report earnings to fall 57.14% to -18 cents per share on May 07

Kodiak AI KDK Stock Earnings Reports
Q1'26
Est.
$-0.18
Q4'25
Missed
by $0.26
The last earnings report on March 10 showed earnings per share of -41 cents, missing the estimate of -15 cents. With 312.96K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 1.37B.

Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) Q4 2025 Earnings Recap: Revenue Beats, EPS Misses Amid Scaling Push

Key Takeaways

  • KDK reported Q4 2025 revenue of $1.1 million, up 37% quarter-over-quarter and beating consensus estimates of $0.52 million.
  • GAAP EPS came in at -$0.42, missing expectations of -$0.16, with a Q4 net loss of $73.7 million.
  • Deployed 20 fully driverless trucks, a 100% increase from Q3, and over 10,700 cumulative paid driverless hours, up 106% QoQ.
  • Cash position stood at $120.7 million; Q4 free cash flow (non-GAAP) was -$34.4 million, beating internal guidance.
  • Full-year 2025 revenue totaled $3.8 million, with net loss of $585.5 million driven partly by non-cash SPAC-related charges.
  • Autonomy Readiness Measure at 84% as of February 2026, targeting long-haul driverless launch by year-end.

Earnings Context and Why It Matters

Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK), a developer of AI-powered autonomous trucking technology, released its Q4 and full-year 2025 results on March 10, 2026. As a recent public company via SPAC merger, these figures mark its first full-year report as KDK. Investors are focused on progress toward commercial scalability amid intense R&D spending in the competitive autonomous vehicle (AV) sector. Strong operational metrics like doubled driverless truck deployments signal advancing technology readiness, crucial for addressing trucking labor shortages and efficiency needs. However, persistent losses highlight cash burn risks in a capital-intensive industry facing regulatory hurdles. This report shapes views on KDK's path to long-haul driverless operations by late 2026.

Kodiak AI reported Q4 2025 revenue of $1,053 thousand ($1.1 million), a 37% increase from Q3, driven by driver-as-a-service revenue from expanded customer-owned driverless trucks. This beat analyst consensus of approximately $0.52 million. GAAP EPS was -$0.42 on a net loss of $73.7 million, wider than the expected -$0.16 loss, reflecting heavy investments in research and development (R&D) and operations. GAAP operating loss totaled $38.7 million; non-GAAP operating loss (excluding stock-based compensation) was $29.8 million.

Key metrics shone operationally: 20 deployed driverless trucks (100% QoQ growth), over 10,700 cumulative paid driverless hours (106% QoQ), and new multi-trailer capabilities. Net cash used in operations was $24.2 million, with free cash flow at -$34.4 million—outperforming company guidance. Full-year revenue was $3.8 million, down from 2024 due to ended U.S. Army contracts, while net loss reached $585.5 million, inflated by $472.9 million in non-cash SPAC adjustments. Cash ended at $120.7 million, bolstered by a $30 million debt facility.

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Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment

Following the March 10 after-market release, KDK stock rose 1.9% to $8.98 on March 11, buoyed by revenue beat and operational milestones despite the EPS miss. Sentiment focused positively on scaling progress—doubling trucks and new partnerships (e.g., Bosch, U.S. Marine Corps)—outweighing losses attributed to growth investments. However, shares have since declined over 20% from post-earnings levels amid broader AV sector volatility and cash burn concerns, trading around $6.50 by late March.

Forward Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor

KDK provided 2026 free cash flow guidance of -$160 million to -$170 million, with Q1 at -$36 million to -$38 million, signaling continued investment in commercialization. The company targets long-haul driverless trucking launch by year-end, supported by its 84% Autonomy Readiness Measure.

Investors should watch truck deployment expansion, particularly customer-owned fleets and new pilots like the Fortune 500 private fleet route. Partnerships in defense (U.S. Marine Corps) and commercial (Verizon, Bosch) could drive revenue diversification beyond industrial trucking.

Cash management remains critical, with $120.7 million runway extended by debt refinancing (no repayments until 2028). Monitor R&D efficiency, as non-GAAP losses reflect scaling costs. Regulatory approvals for long-haul operations and industry demand amid driver shortages will be pivotal. Cyclical oil markets may impact freight volumes, while AI advancements could accelerate development.

Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings (estimated mid-May) will offer updates on these metrics.

Disclaimer

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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. KDK showed earnings on March 10, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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