Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) Earnings Date & Reports

Key Takeaways

• Analysts forecast Q1 2026 revenue of €362 million, a 16% increase year-over-year from €311 million in Q1 2025.
• Consensus EPS estimate stands at €0.05, reflecting strong profitability expectations.
• Company guides for 23%-25% full-year 2026 revenue growth on a constant currency basis, targeting €1.56-1.58 billion.
• Q4 2025 delivered €369 million revenue (up 20%) and Adjusted EBITDA of €89 million (up 48%).
• Focus on Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 200-225 basis points for 2026.
• Recent partnerships, like with Hard Rock Bet, bolster U.S. market presence.

Earnings Context and Why It Matters

Sportradar Group AG, a leading provider of sports data and technology solutions for betting operators, media, and federations, faces heightened investor scrutiny ahead of its Q1 2026 earnings on May 6, 2026. The report will offer early insights into 2026 performance following a robust FY 2025, where revenue hit a record €1.29 billion, up 17% year-over-year. With the global sports betting market expanding and key events like major leagues driving demand, this quarter tests Sportradar's ability to sustain momentum amid competitive pressures and regulatory shifts. Investors watch closely as the company leverages its data partnerships with NBA, UEFA, and others to fuel growth.

Earnings Expectations

Wall Street anticipates Q1 2026 revenue of €361.66 million, up 16.2% from €311 million in the prior-year quarter, driven by betting technology and content services. EPS consensus is €0.05, supported by three analysts, signaling improved profitability. Key metrics to monitor include Adjusted EBITDA (a non-GAAP measure excluding interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), building on Q4 2025's €89 million result (24.2% margin).

Historically, Sportradar has shown resilience: Q4 2025 revenue of €369 million slightly missed estimates but grew 20%, with full-year Adjusted EBITDA reaching €297 million (23.0% margin). Stock reactions have varied; Q4 results led to an 11% drop amid guidance scrutiny, underscoring sensitivity to forward outlook.

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Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment

Heading into Q1 earnings, sentiment leans positive, buoyed by 2026 guidance for accelerated growth and a $1 billion share repurchase expansion announced post-Q4. Shares trade around $16.84, down from recent highs, reflecting broader market caution but supported by analyst buy ratings and $24+ price targets. Risks include FX headwinds and competition in U.S. betting data, with investors eyeing guidance reaffirmation.

Forward Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor

Sportradar's 2026 guidance projects revenue of €1.557-1.582 billion (23%-25% constant currency growth) and Adjusted EBITDA of €390-400 million (34%-37% growth), with margins expanding 200-225 basis points. This builds on FY 2025 free cash flow of €167 million (56% conversion), expected to improve.

Investors should track U.S. expansion via partnerships like PGA TOUR and UFC data with Hard Rock Bet, amid rising legalized betting. Customer net retention (109% in 2025 excl. acquisitions) signals sticky demand, but integration of recent deals like IMG will be key.

Broader dynamics include a packed 2026 sports calendar boosting data usage, potential M&A (mergers and acquisitions), and cost discipline amid inflation. Monitor updates on share repurchases and capex for long-term leverage.

Disclaimer

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