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AU or DRD or HMY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) vs. DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) vs. Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- All three gold miners have faced downward pressure in recent weeks amid a pullback in gold prices from near-record highs around $5,000 per ounce, with AU down approximately 25% over the past 30 days.
- DRD and HMY show stronger YTD returns at 13.61% and 21.26%, respectively, compared to AU's 8.13%, reflecting relative resilience in South African-focused operations.
- AU boasts the largest market cap at $45.8B and global diversification across Africa, Australia, and the Americas, while DRD ($2.32B) specializes in low-cost tailings retreatment.
- Recent catalysts include AU's Arthur Gold Project announcement with 4.9Moz reserves, bolstering long-term growth prospects.
- One-year returns highlight AU's superior 136% gain versus DRD's 93% and HMY's 5%, driven by strong revenue growth to $9.89B.
- Analyst targets suggest upside: AU at $120.57, DRD at $46.50, with HMY recently upgraded to Overweight.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AU, DRD, and HMY, three prominent gold mining companies sensitive to gold price fluctuations amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures. Investors seeking exposure to the gold sector—whether for portfolio diversification, inflation hedging, or commodity-driven growth—will find value in understanding their business models, recent market positioning, and relative performance. With gold trading around $4,570 per ounce after retreating from peaks, these stocks offer insights into operational resilience, cost structures, and growth catalysts in the current environment.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) is a global gold producer with operations in Africa, Australia, and the Americas, focusing on exploration and production of gold alongside by-products like silver and sulfuric acid. Its flagship Geita mine in Tanzania anchors a diversified portfolio. In recent market activity, AU has declined sharply, down about 25% over recent weeks following gold's pullback from highs near $5,000/oz, trading around $90.69 with a market cap of $45.8B. Sentiment has been influenced by volatile gold prices and insider sales, though positive developments like the Arthur Gold Project's 4.9Moz probable reserves and $1.7B NPV have supported long-term optimism. YTD return stands at 8.13%, with robust TTM revenue of $9.89B and net income of $2.64B driving a forward P/E of 9.81.
DRD Overview and Recent Performance
DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) specializes in low-cost gold recovery from surface mine tailings in South Africa, selling gold and silver bullion while offering ancillary services like renewable power production. As a Sibanye Gold subsidiary, it benefits from efficient retreatment operations in the Witwatersrand Basin. Recent weeks have seen DRD extend declines, down around 14% monthly to $26.72, mirroring gold's correction despite strong fundamentals. Performance reflects operational headwinds like weather-impacted production dips, offset by higher realized gold prices boosting margins. YTD return is 13.61%, with a market cap of $2.32B; analysts note upside potential amid upgraded guidance and a $46.50 target.
HMY Overview and Recent Performance
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) operates underground and surface gold mines primarily in South Africa, with additional exposure in Papua New Guinea and Australia, exploring gold alongside uranium, silver, and copper. Key assets include Witwatersrand Basin operations and the Hidden Valley mine. In recent market activity, HMY has traded lower to $15.49 amid gold's retreat, pressured by production challenges from weather and safety stoppages. H1 FY26 results showed revenue growth and doubled interim dividends, supported by higher gold prices. YTD return leads at 21.26%, with a $9.78B market cap; a recent Morgan Stanley Overweight upgrade highlights copper diversification potential.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AU, DRD, and HMY operate in gold mining but differ markedly in scale and focus. AU's global diversification reduces single-jurisdiction risks compared to South Africa-heavy DRD and HMY, though the latter benefits from DRD's niche low-cost tailings model (AISC advantages) and HMY's copper exposure. Recent momentum favors none decisively, with all down amid gold's ~20% monthly drop, but HMY shows YTD strength. Valuation sensitivity is high across the board—AU's forward P/E at 9.81 contrasts DRD's efficiency and HMY's 1.55 EPS—while risks include operational disruptions (weather/safety) and rand volatility. Market sentiment tilts toward diversified growth like AU's Nevada project versus regional trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors AU due to its trend consistency in longer-term gains (136% one-year return), global stability, and catalysts like the Arthur project's reserves amid gold's volatility. Probabilistic edge stems from superior scale, revenue trajectory, and analyst targets implying ~33% upside, positioning it favorably relative to DRD and HMY in a recovering gold environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileDRD’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and HMY’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- DRD’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- HMY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DRD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and HMY’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- DRD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- HMY’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а -14.37% price change this week, while DRD (@Precious Metals) price change was -14.86% , and HMY (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated -8.65% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -6.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +62.79%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-6.12% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AU | DRD | HMY | |
| Capitalization | 45.2B | 2.31B | 10.2B |
| EBITDA | 5.76B | 3.59B | 31.8B |
| Gain YTD | 6.521 | -16.298 | -14.474 |
| P/E Ratio | 13.12 | 16.63 | 10.65 |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 7.88B | 81.2B |
| Total Cash | 3.15B | N/A | N/A |
| Total Debt | 2.29B | N/A | N/A |
AU | DRD | HMY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 55 | 5 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 4 Undervalued | 12 Undervalued | 9 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 39 | 49 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 21 | 24 | 20 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 57 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 25 | 82 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (4) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (9) and is in the same range as DRD (12). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to HMY’s and similarly to DRD’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as DRD (39) and is in the same range as HMY (49). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to DRD’s and similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
HMY's SMR Rating (20) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (21) and is in the same range as DRD (24). This means that HMY's stock grew similarly to AU’s and similarly to DRD’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as DRD (57) and is in the same range as HMY (60). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to DRD’s and similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
DRD's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (53) and is somewhat better than the same rating for HMY (82). This means that DRD's stock grew similarly to AU’s and somewhat faster than HMY’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | DRD | HMY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 83% | 10 days ago 81% | 10 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 74% | 6 days ago 72% | 6 days ago 79% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 83% |
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AU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AU has been closely correlated with GFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AU jumps, then GFI could also see price increases.
DRD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DRD has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DRD jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.