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CAG or HSY or KHC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Conagra Brands (CAG) vs. The Hershey Company (HSY) vs. The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CAG trades near its 52-week low of $13.86 amid ongoing sales declines and margin pressures, with shares down significantly over the past year.
- HSY recently beat Q1 earnings expectations through pricing actions and premium products, despite volume softness, supporting relative stability.
- KHC offers a compelling dividend yield of over 7%, backed by new product launches, though faces volume headwinds ahead of upcoming earnings.
- All three stocks provide defensive exposure in the consumer staples sector, which has remained relatively flat in recent market activity.
- Valuation metrics show CAG at the lowest P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) around 10x, while HSY trades at a premium near 34x.
- Analyst consensus rates all as "Hold," with average price targets implying 7-19% upside potential.
Introduction
Conagra Brands (CAG), The Hershey Company (HSY), and The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) are prominent players in the consumer staples sector, focusing on packaged foods, snacks, and beverages. This comparison is particularly relevant for income-focused investors and traders seeking defensive positions amid market volatility, as these stocks offer dividends and resilience to economic cycles. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in earnings execution, pricing power, and volume trends, helping evaluate relative performance and positioning in a sector facing inflationary pressures and shifting consumer preferences.
CAG Overview and Recent Performance
Conagra Brands (CAG) is a leading producer of branded packaged foods, including frozen meals, snacks, and grocery products under names like Healthy Choice and Birds Eye. In recent market activity, CAG shares have traded near 52-week lows around $14, down over 40% in the past year due to persistent sales volume declines and margin compression from inflation. Post-Q3 earnings miss, the stock fell about 8.7%, reflecting concerns over competitive dynamics and weaker demand. Sentiment remains cautious, with analysts maintaining "Hold" ratings and a $16.22 target price. A standout feature is its nearly 10% dividend yield, appealing to yield seekers despite elevated risks from ongoing challenges.
HSY Overview and Recent Performance
The Hershey Company (HSY) specializes in confectionery, chocolate, and snacks, leveraging iconic brands like Hershey's and Reese's. Shares recently hovered around $182, within a 52-week range of $150-$239, after a Q1 earnings beat where revenue rose 10.6% to $3.10 billion on pricing and premium initiatives, offsetting 2% volume declines. Strong Easter sales and product innovation have bolstered sentiment in recent weeks, though cocoa costs and competition temper gains. Analysts hold a "Hold" consensus with a $217 target, supported by a 3.2% dividend yield and low beta of 0.07, indicating stability.
KHC Overview and Recent Performance
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) offers a wide array of condiments, cheeses, and meals via brands like Heinz ketchup and Kraft Mac & Cheese. Trading near $22.50 in its 52-week range of $21-$29, the stock has shown modest YTD gains amid volume pressures and a projected revenue dip. Recent product launches like Capri Sun Hydrate aim to counter declines, with upcoming Q1 earnings in focus. A 7.1% dividend yield attracts income investors, while Berkshire Hathaway's stake adds scrutiny. "Hold" ratings prevail, with a $23.97 target signaling limited near-term upside.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CAG, HSY, and KHC operate in consumer staples but differ in business models: CAG's broad frozen and grocery focus contrasts HSY's premium confectionery and KHC's iconic packaged goods amid turnaround efforts. Growth drivers include HSY's pricing and innovation versus volume struggles across the board. Recent momentum favors HSY post-earnings, while CAG lags. Risks involve inflation, competition, and consumer shifts, with low betas (0.05-0.07) for all. Valuation sensitivity highlights CAG's cheap P/E and high yield against HSY's premium multiple; market sentiment is neutral "Hold" across.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward HSY based on earnings beat consistency, pricing resilience, and innovation catalysts positioning it favorably relative to peers' volume and margin issues. While CAG and KHC offer value via dividends, HSY's trend stability suggests higher probability of outperformance in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileHSY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and KHC’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- CAG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HSY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KHC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAG’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HSY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and KHC’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- HSY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- KHC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CAG (@Food: Major Diversified) experienced а 0.00% price change this week, while HSY (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was +3.79% , and KHC (@Food: Major Diversified) price fluctuated +3.68% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -0.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.72%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3633.07%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +1.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAG is expected to report earnings on Jul 09, 2026.
HSY is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
KHC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Major Diversified (-0.45% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+1.17% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
| CAG | HSY | KHC | |
| Capitalization | 6.7B | 38.9B | 27.7B |
| EBITDA | 938M | 2.23B | -3.52B |
| Gain YTD | -15.447 | 6.149 | -2.011 |
| P/E Ratio | 10.12 | 35.74 | 13.04 |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 12B | 25B |
| Total Cash | 55.1M | 877M | 4.09B |
| Total Debt | 7.33B | 5.68B | 21.1B |
CAG | HSY | KHC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 6 | 4 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 8 Undervalued | 35 Fair valued | 5 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 73 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 41 | 94 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 61 | 56 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 13 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KHC's Valuation (5) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as CAG (8) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as HSY (35) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that KHC's stock grew similarly to CAG’s and similarly to HSY’s over the last 12 months.
HSY's Profit vs Risk Rating (73) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as KHC (100) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as CAG (100) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that HSY's stock grew similarly to KHC’s and similarly to CAG’s over the last 12 months.
HSY's SMR Rating (41) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CAG (90) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KHC (94) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that HSY's stock grew somewhat faster than CAG’s and somewhat faster than KHC’s over the last 12 months.
KHC's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as HSY (61) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry, and is in the same range as CAG (64) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that KHC's stock grew similarly to HSY’s and similarly to CAG’s over the last 12 months.
HSY's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KHC (62) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for CAG (97) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that HSY's stock grew somewhat faster than KHC’s and significantly faster than CAG’s over the last 12 months.
| CAG | HSY | KHC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 46% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 45% | 6 days ago 62% | 5 days ago 47% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 9 days ago 57% | 9 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 58% | N/A |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| PMMY | 26.68 | N/A | N/A |
| PGIM S&P 500 Max Buffer ETF - May | |||
| INTF | 41.22 | -0.24 | -0.57% |
| iShares International Equity Factor ETF | |||
| BKSE | 124.46 | -0.78 | -0.62% |
| BNY Mellon US Small Cap Core Equity ETF | |||
| DRIV | 39.85 | -0.90 | -2.21% |
| Global X Atnms & Elctrc Vhcls ETF | |||
| TSLG | 7.86 | -0.43 | -5.20% |
| Leverage Shares 2X Long TSLA Daily ETF | |||
CAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAG has been closely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CAG jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
HSY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HSY has been loosely correlated with KHC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HSY jumps, then KHC could also see price increases.