SDS
Price
$55.23
Change
+$0.66 (+1.21%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
378.06M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SPXU
Price
$35.41
Change
+$0.62 (+1.78%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
414.76M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TZA
Price
$48.69
Change
+$0.56 (+1.16%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
239.99M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
Interact to see
Advertisement

SDS or SPXU or TZA

SDS vs SPXU vs TZA Comparison Chart in %
loading
loading
loading
View a ticker or compare two or three
A.I.Advisor
Oct 02, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) vs. ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU) vs. Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF (TZA)

Key Takeaways

  • SDS, SPXU, and TZA are all leveraged inverse exchange-traded funds (ETFs) designed for short-term bearish exposure, but they differ in leverage levels and underlying indices.
  • SDS delivers -2x daily performance of the S&P 500 Index, while SPXU provides -3x daily exposure to the same index, resulting in higher potential volatility for SPXU.
  • TZA targets -3x daily returns of the Russell 2000 Index, offering small-cap focus distinct from the large-cap emphasis of SDS and SPXU.
  • Expense ratios are comparable, with SDS at 0.91%, SPXU at 0.90%, and TZA at 0.99%, reflecting the costs of maintaining leveraged and inverse strategies.
  • These ETFs employ derivatives such as swaps and futures with daily rebalancing, making them suitable for tactical use rather than long-term holding due to compounding effects.
  • Structural differences in leverage and index exposure create varying risk profiles, with TZA adding small-cap sector sensitivity and SPXU amplifying large-cap moves more aggressively than SDS.

Introduction

SDS, SPXU, and TZA represent specialized tools for investors seeking inverse exposure to U.S. equity markets. While SDS and SPXU both target the S&P 500 Index with differing leverage multiples, TZA focuses on the Russell 2000 Index of small-cap stocks. These ETFs compete in the leveraged inverse category, offering tiered risk exposures for short-term hedging or directional bets rather than core long-term portfolios. Their relevance stems from ongoing market volatility and the need for precise tactical instruments in dynamic environments.

ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) Overview

ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times the inverse (-2x) of the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index. The fund primarily uses derivatives including swaps and futures contracts to achieve its objective, with daily rebalancing to reset leverage. It holds a small number of holdings focused on cash equivalents and derivative positions rather than individual equities. The expense ratio stands at 0.91%. As a passive leveraged inverse product from ProShares, SDS emphasizes daily performance tracking with structural features suited for short-term market hedging.

ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU) Overview

ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU) aims for daily results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index. Like SDS, it relies on swaps, futures, and other derivatives with daily rebalancing. Holdings consist mainly of derivative instruments and cash management vehicles. The expense ratio is 0.90%. Issued by ProShares, this passive leveraged inverse ETF provides amplified short exposure to large-cap U.S. equities through its higher leverage factor compared to SDS.

Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF (TZA) Overview

Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF (TZA) seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the Russell 2000 Index. The fund achieves its target through swaps, futures, and short positions, with daily resets. Holdings are concentrated in derivatives and liquidity instruments. The expense ratio is 0.99%. Managed by Direxion, this passive leveraged inverse ETF distinguishes itself with small-cap index exposure rather than large-cap focus.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

These ETFs operate within the broader U.S. equity market, where large-cap and small-cap segments respond differently to macroeconomic factors such as interest rate changes, inflation trends, and corporate earnings cycles. Capital flows into inverse products often increase during periods of heightened uncertainty or sector rotations. Regulatory oversight of leveraged products emphasizes disclosure of daily reset mechanics and compounding risks. Geopolitical events and shifts in monetary policy can influence volatility across both large- and small-cap indices, affecting the external environment for all three funds.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, SDS and SPXU have exhibited sensitivity to S&P 500 movements, with SPXU showing greater amplitude due to its higher leverage. TZA has displayed distinct behavior tied to small-cap dynamics, often with elevated volatility relative to large-cap peers. Structural differences in leverage and index coverage contribute to varying drawdown patterns and trend responsiveness. Concentration in derivatives across all three supports precise daily targeting but introduces basis risk from rebalancing. Relative positioning favors consideration of leverage tolerance and index preference for tactical applications.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Tickeron’s AI would likely favor SDS on balance due to its moderate -2x leverage on the S&P 500 Index, which offers a balanced risk-adjusted profile compared to the higher-amplification SPXU and the small-cap-specific TZA. The structure supports efficient daily inverse exposure with relatively lower expense considerations and broad large-cap diversification depth.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Interact to see
Advertisement
SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SDS with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

SDS's Stochastic Oscillator soars into overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for SDS moved into overbought territory on October 23, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SDS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for SDS entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SDS as a result. In 62 of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SDS just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where SDS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 43 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SDS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SDS advanced for three days, in 227 of 270 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SPXU with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

SPXU's Stochastic Oscillator soaring into overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for SPXU moved into overbought territory on October 23, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPXU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for SPXU entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPXU as a result. In 67 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPXU just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPXU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 50 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SPXU moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +5.42% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPXU advanced for three days, in 228 of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TZA with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

TZA's RSI Indicator peaks and leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TZA moved out of overbought territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 25 of the 26 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 51 of 55 cases where TZA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TZA turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TZA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

TZA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +7.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TZA advanced for three days, in 249 of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 168 of 186 cases where TZA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SDSSPXUTZA
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
N/A
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
87%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bullish Trend 11 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
View a ticker or compare two or three
SDS
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SPXU
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
TZA
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
Interesting Tickers
1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
1 Day
STOCK / NAMEPrice $Chg $Chg %
SCWO2.350.04
+1.73%
374Water Inc.
THG237.73-1.86
-0.78%
Hanover Insurance Group (The)
TWFG28.29-0.38
-1.33%
TWFG Inc
SLMBP70.19-1.25
-1.76%
SLM Corp
EZPW28.70-0.65
-2.21%
EZCORP