Advertisement
VOOG or VUG or WINN
Which ETF would AI Choose? Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF (VOOG) vs. Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) vs. Harbor Long-Term Growers ETF (WINN)
Key Takeaways
- VOOG and VUG are both passive large-cap growth ETFs from Vanguard, with VOOG tracking the S&P 500 Growth Index and VUG tracking the CRSP U.S. Large Cap Growth Index, offering broad exposure at very low expense ratios of 0.07% and 0.03% respectively.
- WINN is an actively managed ETF from Harbor Capital that employs fundamental research to select companies with above-average long-term growth prospects, resulting in a higher expense ratio of 0.57% and potentially higher concentration risk.
- All three ETFs emphasize large-cap growth stocks with heavy technology sector allocations, though passive structures in VOOG and VUG provide greater diversification through hundreds of holdings compared to WINN’s more selective approach.
- Expense efficiency favors VUG and VOOG for cost-conscious investors, while WINN’s active strategy may appeal to those seeking differentiated stock selection within the growth theme.
- Structural differences include full replication indexing for VOOG and VUG versus active management for WINN, influencing rebalancing frequency and sensitivity to index composition changes.
- Relative positioning shows VOOG and VUG as core passive holdings with strong liquidity, while WINN serves as a complementary active satellite with higher costs offset by potential alpha generation.
Introduction
VOOG, VUG, and WINN represent distinct approaches to large-cap growth equity exposure within the U.S. market. VOOG and VUG are passive index-tracking ETFs from Vanguard that capture broad segments of the growth universe through low-cost replication strategies. WINN, by contrast, is an actively managed fund from Harbor Capital that applies proprietary research to identify long-term growers. These ETFs compete in the same thematic space but differ in structure, cost, and selectivity, making them relevant for investors evaluating passive versus active implementation in the current growth-oriented market environment.
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF (VOOG) Overview
VOOG seeks to track the S&P 500 Growth Index through a passively managed, full-replication approach that holds all constituent stocks in proportion to their index weights. The fund typically maintains around 150 holdings focused on large-capitalization growth companies. Top holdings commonly include major technology names such as NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Apple. Sector allocation is heavily weighted toward technology and communication services. The expense ratio stands at 0.07%. Distinguishing features include quarterly rebalancing aligned with the index and strong liquidity as a Vanguard product listed on NYSE Arca.
Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) Overview
VUG aims to replicate the performance of the CRSP U.S. Large Cap Growth Index using a passively managed, full-replication strategy. It generally holds approximately 136 to 170 large-cap growth stocks. Prominent holdings often feature NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet. The portfolio shows significant exposure to technology and consumer sectors. With an expense ratio of 0.03%, it ranks among the lowest-cost options in its category. Key characteristics include low turnover, full investment posture, and high trading volume on major exchanges.
Harbor Long-Term Growers ETF (WINN) Overview
WINN pursues long-term capital growth through active management by sub-advisor Jennison Associates, selecting U.S. companies with above-average growth prospects and allowing up to 20% in foreign issuers. The fund is non-diversified and typically features a more concentrated portfolio than its passive peers. Top holdings frequently include NVIDIA, Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft. Technology dominates sector exposure. The expense ratio is 0.57%. Distinguishing elements include fundamental bottom-up research, systematic portfolio construction, and annual dividend distribution.
Industry and Thematic Landscape
The large-cap growth segment remains influenced by technology sector leadership, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and semiconductor demand. Capital flows have favored growth-oriented strategies amid favorable earnings trends for mega-cap technology firms. Macroeconomic drivers such as interest rate expectations and corporate spending on digital infrastructure continue to shape performance. Geopolitical tensions and regulatory scrutiny in technology and healthcare introduce sector risks, while strong balance sheets among leading holdings support resilience across market cycles.
Performance and Positioning Comparison
In recent market cycles, VOOG and VUG have delivered competitive returns aligned with their respective growth indexes, benefiting from broad diversification that mitigates single-stock volatility. WINN’s active approach has shown potential for differentiated results through stock selection, though it may exhibit higher volatility due to concentration. Relative drawdowns have varied based on exposure depth, with passive funds demonstrating trend consistency tied to index rebalancing. Performance differences stem primarily from structural factors: indexing versus active selection, and expense differentials that compound over time.
AI Screener
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable structural strength, VUG demonstrates advantages in cost efficiency and broad diversification within the large-cap growth space, supporting stable risk-adjusted positioning. VOOG offers similar passive benefits with slightly higher fees. WINN provides active differentiation that may suit investors prioritizing manager expertise, though its higher costs and concentration warrant careful evaluation. Probabilistic analysis favors VUG for core allocations seeking efficiency and consistency.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
VOOG in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026
VOOG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 24 of 27 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VOOG as a result. In 66 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VOOG turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.
The 10-day moving average for VOOG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VOOG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for VOOG's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VOOG advanced for three days, in 309 of 365 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
VOOG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 340 of 378 cases where VOOG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
VUG in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
VUG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 33 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for VUG moved out of overbought territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 36 of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 78%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VUG as a result. In 69 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VUG turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VUG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VUG advanced for three days, in 304 of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
VUG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 317 of 353 cases where VUG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
WINN in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
WINN moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 27 of 30 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for WINN moved out of overbought territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 38 of the 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 79%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WINN as a result. In 58 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WINN turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WINN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +1.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WINN advanced for three days, in 279 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
WINN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 338 of 368 cases where WINN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
| VOOG | VUG | WINN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 85% | 19 days ago 85% | 19 days ago 86% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| VEGN | 74.65 | -0.04 | -0.05% |
| US Vegan Climate ETF (VEGN) | |||
| SIXF | 35.21 | -0.08 | -0.24% |
| AllianzIM U.S. Equity 6 Month Buffer10 Feb/Aug ETF (SIXF) | |||
| EWC | 60.69 | -0.25 | -0.41% |
| iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC) | |||
| IONZ | 34.64 | -0.16 | -0.46% |
| Defiance Daily Target 2x Short IONQ ETF (IONZ) | |||
| FPAG | 41.78 | -0.25 | -0.59% |
| FPA Global Equity ETF (FPAG) | |||
WINN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WINN has been closely correlated with TSM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WINN jumps, then TSM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WINN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WINN | 100% | -0.27% | ||
| TSM - WINN | 68% Closely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| ORCL - WINN | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.49% | ||
| GS - WINN | 57% Loosely correlated | -1.75% | ||
| ANET - WINN | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.76% | ||
| APH - WINN | 52% Loosely correlated | +1.40% | ||
More | ||||