AAIC Price Prediction, Arlington Asset Investment Corp AI Recommendations

AAIC in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on May 22, 2023

AAIC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 22, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 31 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AAIC moved out of overbought territory on May 24, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 16 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 16 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAIC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AAIC entered a downward trend on May 17, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 17, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AAIC as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAIC just turned positive on April 26, 2023. Looking at past instances where AAIC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AAIC moved above its 50-day moving average on May 23, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAIC advanced for three days, in of 231 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AAIC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.420) is normal, around the industry mean (2.425). P/E Ratio (24.570) is within average values for comparable stocks, (45.137). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.422). AAIC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.075). P/S Ratio (2.782) is also within normal values, averaging (6.123).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAIC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

AAIC is expected to report earnings to rise 50.00% to 7 cents per share on August 08

Q2'23

Est.

$0.08

Q1'23

Missed

by $0.03

Q4'22

Beat

by $0.02

Q3'22

Beat

by $0.06

Q2'22

Missed

by $0.02

AAIC paid dividends on February 03, 2020