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AAIC
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
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Capitalization
123.27M

AAIC Arlington Asset Investment Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a financial conglomerate

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AAIC with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Sep 27, 2023

AAIC sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

AAIC saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 18, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AAIC moved out of overbought territory on September 11, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 20, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AAIC as a result. In of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AAIC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 20, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AAIC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAIC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAIC advanced for three days, in of 239 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AAIC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 125 cases where AAIC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AAIC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.684) is normal, around the industry mean (1.985). P/E Ratio (16.181) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.366). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.339). AAIC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.073). P/S Ratio (3.934) is also within normal values, averaging (6.169).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAIC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NYSE:PLD), American Tower Corp (NYSE:AMT), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG), Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY), Rithm Capital Corp (NYSE:RITM), Tanger Factory Outlet Centers (NYSE:SKT), Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE:IIPR).

Industry description

A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry is 4.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 51.9K to 243.79B. COFRF holds the highest valuation in this group at 243.79B. The lowest valued company is PDNLB at 51.9K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. MDV experienced the highest price growth at 13%, while PRETL experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry was -9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 22% and the average quarterly volume growth was -11%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: -31 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

AAIC is expected to report earnings to fall 16.67% to 5 cents per share on November 07

Arlington Asset Investment Corp AAIC Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'23
Est.
$0.05
Q2'23
Est.
$0.05
Q1'23
Missed
by $0.03
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.02
Q3'22
Beat
by $0.06
The last earnings report on August 14 showed earnings per share of 5 cents, beating the estimate of 5 cents. With 115.91K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 123.27M.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

AAIC paid dividends on February 03, 2020

Arlington Asset Investment Corp AAIC Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.22 per share was paid with a record date of February 03, 2020, and an ex-dividend date of December 30, 2019. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a financial conglomerate

Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Financial Conglomerates
Address
6862 Elm Street
Phone
+1 703 373-0200
Employees
9
Web
https://www.arlingtonasset.com
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AAIC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAIC has been loosely correlated with UBP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AAIC jumps, then UBP could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AAIC
1D Price
Change %
AAIC100%
+1.66%
UBP - AAIC
55%
Loosely correlated
N/A
UBA - AAIC
48%
Loosely correlated
N/A
SAFE - AAIC
45%
Loosely correlated
+1.77%
ARR - AAIC
45%
Loosely correlated
+0.95%
IVR - AAIC
44%
Loosely correlated
+1.32%
More

Groups containing AAIC

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AAIC
1D Price
Change %
AAIC100%
+1.66%
mortgage industry
(undefined stocks)
31%
Poorly correlated
+0.08%
rental
(undefined stocks)
30%
Poorly correlated
+0.52%
lease
(undefined stocks)
27%
Poorly correlated
+0.75%
Real Estate Investment Trusts
(undefined stocks)
27%
Poorly correlated
+0.09%
Real Estate Investment Trusts
(undefined stocks)
27%
Poorly correlated
+0.09%
More