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AAP stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Advance Auto Parts is a leading auto-parts retailer in North America with more than 4,000 store and branch locations... Show more

AAP
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a Summary for AAP with price predictions
Sep 10, 2026

AAP in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on August 20, 2026

AAP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 32 of 43 cases where AAP's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AAP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 28 of 38 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 60 cases where AAP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAP just turned positive on September 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where AAP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

Following a +1.47% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAP advanced for three days, in 187 of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AAP as a result. In 76 of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

AAP moved below its 50-day moving average on August 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AAP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 12 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.158) is normal, around the industry mean (2.822). P/E Ratio (24.196) is within average values for comparable stocks, (69.969). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.810) is also within normal values, averaging (0.957). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.306) is also within normal values, averaging (49.073).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AAP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

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published Dividends

AAP paid dividends on July 24, 2026

Advance Auto Parts AAP Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.25 per share was paid with a record date of July 24, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of July 10, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP), Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (The) (NASDAQ:GT).

Industry description

OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Auto Parts: OEM Industry is 5.06B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 206 to 69.17B. ORLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 69.17B. The lowest valued company is JBZY at 206.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. GTEC experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while MKDW experienced the biggest fall at -52%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was -1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -33%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -22 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of automotive parts and accessories stores

Industry AutoPartsOEM

Profile
Details
Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
4200 Six Forks Road
Phone
+1 540 362-4911
Employees
54007
Web
https://www.advanceautoparts.com
AAP in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on August 20, 2026