ADP (ADP, $220.80) beats fiscal Q2 earnings expectations
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. posted second-quarter fiscal 2023 earnings that exceeded analysts’ expectations.
The human resources management company’s adjusted earnings per share for the quarter grew +19% from the year-ago quarter to $1.96, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.5% (according to Zacks Equity Research).
Total revenues were up +9.1% year-over-year to $4.4 billion, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate by +0.3%.
Employer Services’ revenues rose +8% year-over-year on a reported basis and +10% on an organic constant-currency basis. Pays per control climbed +5% from the year-ago fiscal quarter.
PEO Services’ revenues grew +11% year over year to $1.5 billion. Average worksite employees paid by PEO Services rose +8% year-over-year to 711,000.
Interest on funds held for clients grew +77% to $187 million. Average client funds balance increased 4% to $33.4 billion, while average interest yield on client funds widened 90 basis points to 2.2%.
For fiscal 2023, ADP reaffirmed expectations of revenues growth of 8-9%. Adjusted EPS is still expected to increase 15-17%. Adjusted effective tax rate is estimated to be around 23%.
The company projects Employer Services revenues growth of about 8-9%, higher than prior outlook of 7-8%. It continues to expect PEO Services revenues to grow at 8-9% rate vs. prior estimate of 10-12%.
ADP in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on March 17, 2025
The 10-day moving average for ADP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 05, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ADP as a result. In of 105 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ADP turned negative on March 05, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
ADP moved below its 50-day moving average on March 11, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ADP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 17 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 51 cases where ADP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADP advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ADP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 305 cases where ADP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
