ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADPT moved out of overbought territory on September 28, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 87%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ADPT as a result. In 66 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

ADPT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ADPT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADPT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +5.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADPT advanced for three days, in 236 of 276 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

ADPT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 188 cases where ADPT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 11 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 20 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (28.287) is normal, around the industry mean (64.450). P/E Ratio (-63.325) is within average values for comparable stocks, (2.086). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.473). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.002) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.966) is also within normal values, averaging (9.775).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADPT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADPT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.