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ADSK
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ADSK stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Founded in 1982, Autodesk is a multinational software company best known for pioneering computer-aided design, or CAD, with its AutoCAD product... Show more

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Why Autodesk (ADSK) Stock Is Down -18.3% in the Last 30 Days

Key Takeaways

  • Autodesk shares fell approximately 18.3% over the past 30 days, dropping from $248.16 to $202.69 as of July 1, 2026.
  • The steepest declines occurred in mid-June, coinciding with the company’s quarterly earnings release and a broader sell-off in software stocks.
  • Over the last quarter, ADSK declined roughly 14.8%, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment from growth-oriented tech names toward more defensive sectors.
  • Key pressure points include cautious forward guidance, slowing billings growth, and macroeconomic uncertainty weighing on enterprise software spending.
  • Despite the pullback, Autodesk’s core design and engineering software franchises maintain strong competitive positions, leaving the stock on watch for a potential sentiment turnaround.

Autodesk (ADSK) Company Overview and Market Position

Autodesk, Inc. is a global leader in 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software. The company’s portfolio includes industry-standard products such as AutoCAD, Revit, Fusion 360, and Maya, serving professionals in architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing, and media. Autodesk has successfully transitioned to a subscription-based cloud model, generating recurring revenue and expanding its addressable market through digital transformation trends. Its competitive moat is reinforced by a vast user base, deep integration into professional workflows, and ongoing investments in artificial intelligence and generative design. Investors closely follow ADSK as a bellwether for enterprise software spending and innovation in the design and make sectors.

Autodesk (ADSK) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter

Over the last 30 days, Autodesk’s stock experienced a sharp decline of 18.3%, falling from a closing price of $248.16 on June 1, 2026, to $202.69 on July 1. The sell-off accelerated in the second week of June, with the stock breaking below the $200 level intraday before a modest recovery. The quarterly performance paints a similar picture: from the April 1 close of $237.87, ADSK has dropped approximately 14.8%. The quarter initially saw a rally to a high of $251.04 in early May, but that strength evaporated as macroeconomic headwinds and company-specific concerns took hold. The resulting downtrend has pushed the stock to levels not seen since early 2024, erasing months of gains in a matter of weeks.

What Drove ADSK Stock Price in the Last 30 Days

The primary catalyst for the 30-day decline was the company’s fiscal first-quarter earnings report, released in mid-June. While Autodesk posted results that were largely in line with consensus estimates, forward guidance disappointed investors. Management’s outlook for billings and free cash flow came in below Wall Street expectations, raising concerns about the pace of growth in a maturing subscription base. Several analysts subsequently lowered their price targets, citing slowing deal activity and elongated sales cycles in key verticals such as construction and manufacturing.

Compounding the earnings-driven sell-off, broader market forces intensified the pressure. A rotation out of high-valuation software stocks gained momentum as bond yields remained elevated and recession fears resurfaced. The technology sector faced a wave of institutional de-risking, and Autodesk, with its premium valuation multiple, was particularly vulnerable. Additionally, reports of increased competition from cloud-native design platforms and uncertainty around federal infrastructure spending added to the negative sentiment. The combination of a cautious internal outlook and an unforgiving macro environment created a powerful downdraft that defined the stock’s performance over the past month.

What Drove ADSK Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter

Autodesk’s quarterly decline reflects a broader narrative shift that began in late spring. Early in the quarter, the stock benefited from enthusiasm around AI-powered design tools and the company’s expanding platform strategy. However, that optimism faded as investors grew increasingly concerned about the durability of enterprise software budgets in a slowing economy. The May peak near $251 gave way to a steady grind lower, punctuated by the sharp post-earnings drop in June. The quarterly performance underscores how quickly sentiment can pivot when growth expectations are reset, even for a company with a dominant market position. The stock’s inability to hold key technical support levels further amplified selling pressure, as algorithmic trading and stop-loss orders accelerated the decline.

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ADSK Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next

Looking ahead, Autodesk’s stock trajectory will likely hinge on several key factors. The next quarterly earnings report will be critical, as investors seek evidence that billings growth is stabilizing and that the company’s AI initiatives are translating into tangible revenue acceleration. Macroeconomic data, particularly around interest rates and construction spending, will also play a significant role in shaping demand expectations. Additionally, any updates on the competitive landscape, including the adoption of alternative design platforms, could influence sentiment. Analysts will be watching for signs of margin expansion and free cash flow improvement, as well as any strategic moves such as acquisitions or partnerships that could reignite growth. While the recent sell-off has reset valuations, the path forward depends on Autodesk’s ability to execute against a more cautious spending backdrop.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ADSK with price predictions
Jul 02, 2026

Momentum Indicator for ADSK turns positive, indicating new upward trend

ADSK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on July 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 85 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ADSK's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 62 cases where ADSK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADSK just turned positive on June 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADSK advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ADSK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

ADSK moved below its 50-day moving average on June 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ADSK crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADSK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ADSK entered a downward trend on July 01, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ADSK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.422) is normal, around the industry mean (25.888). P/E Ratio (27.404) is within average values for comparable stocks, (73.594). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.720) is also within normal values, averaging (1.394). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.051) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.350) is also within normal values, averaging (52.457).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADSK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

ADSK paid dividends on April 08, 2005

Autodesk ADSK Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.01 per share was paid with a record date of April 08, 2005, and an ex-dividend date of March 22, 2005. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Zoom Communications Inc (NASDAQ:ZM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 8.89B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 195.82B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 195.82B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 25%. ILLR experienced the highest price growth at 46%, while SAGT experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 45%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 72% and the average quarterly volume growth was 176%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 79
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: 5 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a developer of multimedia software products

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
One Market Street
Phone
+1 415 507-5000
Employees
14300
Web
https://www.autodesk.com
Why Autodesk (ADSK) Stock Is Down -18.3% in the Last 30 Days